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The Syrian Conflict and the Ascendancy of the Lebanese Armed Forces
  • Analysis
  • The Syrian Conflict and the Ascendancy of the Lebanese Armed Forces

    In the past, the Lebanese Armed Forces’ (LAF) inability to confront or deter Israel was reflected as political weakness for the Lebanese government vis-à-vis Hezbollah. Israel’s withdrawal from south Lebanon in 2000 heralded a growing political role for Hezbollah. This role was further enhanced by the 2006 war with Israel, with Hezbollah claiming victory and consolidating its influence within the LAF and the government.

    November 25, 2014

    Hezbollah: In Syria for the Long Haul
  • Analysis
  • Hezbollah: In Syria for the Long Haul

    As Syrian President Bashar al-Assad gazes across Damascus from his palace on Mount Qasioun, he can be grateful to his Russian, Iranian, and Hezbollah allies that he is still in a position to enjoy such a view.

    November 18, 2014

    Obama's Legacy in Afghanistan
  • Analysis
  • Obama's Legacy in Afghanistan

    This paper is part of an MEI scholar series, titled “Obama’s Legacy in the Middle East: Passing the Baton in 2017.” Click here to view the full project, or navigate using the table of contents to the right.

    Why Kobani could be an opportunity for Turkey, the Kurds and the U.S.
  • Analysis
  • Why Kobani could be an opportunity for Turkey, the Kurds and the U.S.

    Read the full article on CNN.

    In the space of just 48 hours last week, Turkey went from calling the PYD — the Kurds defending the Syrian border town of Kobani — a terrorist group to opening up an arms corridor from Iraq to aid its fight against ISIS.

    Iran-Pakistan: Will Border Tensions Boil Over?
  • Analysis
  • Iran-Pakistan: Will Border Tensions Boil Over?

    This article was first published on BBC News.

    There have been a number of rounds of border skirmishes between Iran and Pakistan since the first week of October. However, reports that Pakistani forces have returned mortar fire is highly unusual and represents an increase in tensions that have marred this region for years.

    Turkey's tough choice: Take on ISIS or the PKK?
  • Analysis
  • Turkey's tough choice: Take on ISIS or the PKK?

    Read the full article on CNN.com.

    Turkey is in a tough spot. It has ISIS militants threatening the Syrian border town of Kobani, inching ever closer to confronting Turkish security forces. In addition thousands of Syrian Kurds, fleeing ISIS attacks, have massed along its border, adding further to Ankara’s troubles.

    Remember Our Syrian Allies
  • Analysis
  • Remember Our Syrian Allies

    This article was first published in The New York Times.

    President Obama made the right decision to boost military aid to moderate Syrian rebels last year, but today America’s approach to attacking Islamic State fighters risks undermining the moderate opposition and alienating support among the Syrian public.

    Defeating the Islamic State Militarily is Only Half the Battle
  • Analysis
  • Defeating the Islamic State Militarily is Only Half the Battle

    In his speech on September 10 President Obama characterized the Islamic State (ISIS) as a terrorist group.[1] There were clear political benefits to using this label, not the least of which was to facilitate the formation of a broad-based military coalition against the organization.

    The Afghan Unity Government: A Victory for Democracy
  • Analysis
  • The Afghan Unity Government: A Victory for Democracy

    Afghanistan is often thought of as a place where some of the world’s most dangerous Islamists have taken refuge, been nurtured, and been allowed to launch regional and global jihad. Yet, with the agreement to form a unity government, the nation has provided an answer to extremism. Admittedly, the presidential election results were so riddled with fraud that it is probably impossible to determine who actually won. But it may nevertheless result in a victory for democracy. Seven million people risked their lives to vote.

    A Promising Ally in Syria
  • Analysis
  • A Promising Ally in Syria

    This article was first published on LobeLog.

    Alongside the wave of Syrian Kurdish refugees into Turkey this month is an equally unsettling story: alarming gains by the Islamic State in an offensive against a potential ally. Syria’s Kurds carved out their own regional bastion extending west from their main base in the extreme northeast corner of Syria. For two years they have fiercely defended their lands against the Islamic State and other extremists, employing many thousands of veteran Kurdish fighters.

    September 26, 2014

    Is Turkey Finally Ready to Aid Military Strikes Against ISIS?
  • Analysis
  • Is Turkey Finally Ready to Aid Military Strikes Against ISIS?

    This article was first published on CNN.

    Turkey, a key U.S. ally and a NATO member that borders the territory captured by ISIS, which now calls itself the Islamic State, in Syria and Iraq, could play a critical role in the U.S.-led military assault against the jihadist group.

    Testimony: US Strategy To Defeat ISIS
  • Analysis
  • Testimony: US Strategy To Defeat ISIS

    The following is the written testimony prepared and delivered by Amb (ret) Robert S. Ford for the Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing held on September 17, 2014. Click here to watch video of the full hearing (Amb. Ford’s testimony begins at the 3 hours and 26 minutes mark).

    A Coalition of Uncertainty
  • Analysis
  • A Coalition of Uncertainty

    One way to grasp the immense difficulty facing President Obama as he tries to forge an effective international coalition to oppose the Islamic State is to examine the difference between this effort and the last time the United States led a diverse group of countries to take on a conflict in the Middle East: Operation Desert Storm, in 1991.

    September 15, 2014