After weeks of inter-party disputes, the US Congress ended the first month of 2024 without agreeing to an additional $61bn military aid package for Ukraine.

The same can be said of the EU, where Hungary blocked a $55bn aid package.

There was no matching uncertainty in the Kremlin. Putin persists, his aim unchanged — the emasculation of an independent and sovereign Ukraine.

What will the rest of 2024 bring? Here are three scenarios.

Continue reading in the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA)

Photo by Metin Aktas/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

The Middle East Institute (MEI) is an independent, non-partisan, non-for-profit, educational organization. It does not engage in advocacy and its scholars’ opinions are their own. MEI welcomes financial donations, but retains sole editorial control over its work and its publications reflect only the authors’ views. For a listing of MEI donors, please click here.