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Bilal Y. Saab

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The politics of Saudi normalization with Israel
Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The politics of Saudi normalization with Israel

    As the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Bahrain move forward with their separate processes to normalize relations with Israel, the question that seems to be on the mind of many, both in Washington and in the region, is whether or when the Saudis will follow.

    October 1, 2020

    Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East

    In a new briefing book released ahead of the U.S. elections in November, entitled Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East, MEI scholars lay out key issues across the region, highlight the U.S. interests at stake, and provide policy insights and recommendations for the path forward. 

    In historic deal with the UAE, Israel is the biggest winner
  • Commentary
  • In historic deal with the UAE, Israel is the biggest winner

    No matter how one reads the diplomatic deal announced Thursday between Israel and the United Arab Emirates­—and there will surely be many supporters and detractors given its historic nature—there is one conclusion that seems irrefutable: Israel was the biggest victor.

    August 14, 2020

    A silver lining in Lebanon?
    Photo by Houssam Shbaro/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A silver lining in Lebanon?

    Beirut will rise again from the ashes, like it always has. But the real rebuilding that must occur is not physical in nature. It is political. Nothing will truly change in Lebanon unless the country’s corrupt and incompetent leaders, who have been in power for decades, are unseated.

    August 7, 2020

    Iran’s latest naval drill is embarrassing
    U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Dalton Reidhead/Released
  • Commentary
  • Iran’s latest naval drill is embarrassing

    I don’t understand why Iran’s Revolutionary Guards insist on conducting military exercises in the Gulf waters that are as devoid of credibility as they are comical. Because if the goal of these drills is to intimidate or change the calculations of the U.S. Navy, nobody is flinching or losing any sleep in the Bahrain-headquartered U.S. Naval Forces Central Command, or NAVCENT.

    July 29, 2020

    From Dependents To Allies: America's Gulf Relations Need Reform
  • Analysis
  • From Dependents To Allies: America's Gulf Relations Need Reform

    During three major crises, each happening under a different administration, the U.S.-Gulf partnership failed to effectively address the security concerns of the Gulf states. While no partnership is perfect, such major and persistent breakdowns in coordination among longstanding security partners are uncommon, and can be deadly if left unresolved.

    July 7, 2020

    Gulf Partners Can No Longer Afford To Stay The Course With U.S. Iran Policy
  • Analysis
  • Gulf Partners Can No Longer Afford To Stay The Course With U.S. Iran Policy

    To help prevent a U.S.-Iran war in their neighborhood, the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council have called for diplomacy. They have reached out to Iranian officials to de-escalate. And they have provided Tehran with humanitarian assistance to deal with the coronavirus pandemic.

    It's not about the Patriots
    Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • It's not about the Patriots

    The best way to describe the Trump administration’s decision to remove Patriot missile defense systems from Saudi Arabia is by highlighting its military irrelevance and political significance.

    May 8, 2020

    Lebanon crisis: How the US can bypass Hezbollah and help the people
    Supporters shout slogans during a rally for Qassem Soleimani in southern suburbs of Beirut, Lebanon, on Jan. 5, 2020. Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah urged on Sunday its fighters to attack U.S. soldiers in the region in retaliation for the assassination of Iranian top commander Qassem Soleimani by the United States. (Photo by Bilal Jawich/Xinhua via Getty) (Xinhua/ via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Lebanon crisis: How the US can bypass Hezbollah and help the people

    As Lebanon nears a breaking point due to its acute financial crisis, the Trump administration faces a policy dilemma: should it financially support a corrupt ruling faction that is allied with Hezbollah – Iran’s friend and Washington’s nemesis – or should it hold off on aid and watch the country fall apart?

    March 3, 2020

    Battered Survivor: Hezbollah at Home and Abroad
    Supporters shout slogans during a rally for Qassem Soleimani in southern suburbs of Beirut, Lebanon, on Jan. 5, 2020. Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah urged on Sunday its fighters to attack U.S. soldiers in the region in retaliation for the assassination of Iranian top commander Qassem Soleimani by the United States. (Photo by Bilal Jawich/Xinhua via Getty) (Xinhua/ via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Battered Survivor: Hezbollah at Home and Abroad

    The past decade and a half have been a real whirlwind for Hezbollah, but the group seems to have weathered all of these storms, at least for now. However, it’s one thing for Hezbollah to survive and another altogether for it to thrive. In a special roundtable report from MEI, renowned Hezbollah analysts offer their perspectives on a series of key questions about the major upcoming challenges facing the group. This report includes contributions from Bilal Y. Saab, Nicholas Blanford, Nizar Hamzeh, Matthew Levitt, Magnus Ranstorp, Bruce Riedel, Randa Slim, and Michael Young.

    February 28, 2020

    Regional security from the ground up
    Middle East map
  • Analysis
  • Regional security from the ground up

    U.S. Middle East policy tends to elicit the most heated debates in Washington. But if there’s one issue on which there’s near unanimous consensus it is that the region is in desperate need of a new security architecture that ideally would generate stability but more realistically reduce tensions and the risk of hostilities and escalation. Even regional antagonists agree that the time to form such an architecture is now.

    February 27, 2020

    Trump’s Curious Multilateralism
  • Analysis
  • Trump’s Curious Multilateralism

    His administration may end up besting its predecessors’ records in bringing partners together in the Persian Gulf.

    February 4, 2020