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Fatima Sadiqi

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The Limits of Biden’s Middle East Diplomacy: An Assessment of US Policy, April-July 2024
Photographer: Michael Reynolds/EPA/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Limits of Biden’s Middle East Diplomacy: An Assessment of US Policy, April-July 2024

    In reaction to the Oct. 7 Hamas attack on Israel and the subsequent Gaza war, the Biden administration articulated six main objectives. After nine months of the Israel-Hamas conflict, which has repeatedly threatened to spill out into neighboring theaters, the Biden administration’s success toward achieving these goals has mostly declined, not for a lack of effort but rather a reflection of considerable challenges in the environment and major shortcomings in policy conceptualization and implementation.

    Why President-elect Pezeshkian’s focus on Arab ties makes sense for an Iran facing monumental socio-economic challenges
    Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Why President-elect Pezeshkian’s focus on Arab ties makes sense for an Iran facing monumental socio-economic challenges

    The conventional wisdom is that Iranian President-elect Masoud Pezeshkian is yet another bit of window dressing put up by the “deep state” in Tehran, which effectively calls the shots on the most contentious foreign policy files. But it might just be that Pezeshkian’s sudden emergence as president was orchestrated from the outset as a pretext for the Iranian regime to change course.

    Houthi drone strike on Tel Aviv illustrates unstoppable “democratization” of high-technological capabilities
  • Commentary
  • Houthi drone strike on Tel Aviv illustrates unstoppable “democratization” of high-technological capabilities

    The recent Houthi drone attack on Tel Aviv, which struck an Israeli apartment building near the Embassy of the United States, killing at least one person, should surprise no one. And the fact Israel’s state-of-the-art air defense could not prevent it will probably embolden future attempts.

    The geopolitical implications of Houthi attacks and Israeli retaliation
    Photo by MOHAMMED HUWAIS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The geopolitical implications of Houthi attacks and Israeli retaliation

    The Houthis’ strategy of escalation has the potential to upset the fragile balance of power in the Middle East and underlines the ability of smaller actors to influence larger geopolitical outcomes through calculated risks and alliances.

    July 23, 2024

    Turkey is not “lost,” but it is time for other NATO allies to more strongly reengage
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Turkey is not “lost,” but it is time for other NATO allies to more strongly reengage

    Turkey’s loyalty to the Alliance is frequently questioned, including accusations of fence-sitting, especially when it comes to Russia. To ask, “Who lost Turkey?” is to misread the situation. Turkey is increasingly, albeit carefully, moving away from the Kremlin.

    July 23, 2024

    The situation in the Red Sea is not getting better
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The situation in the Red Sea is not getting better

    The current situation is not only intolerable – it is unsustainable. It is time to recognize that the Houthis, with strong and persistent support from Iran, are in a position to hold not only the US but virtually the entire global system hostage.

    A Palestinian-led approach for Gaza’s day after
    MAHMUD HAMS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A Palestinian-led approach for Gaza’s day after

    US President Joe Biden will meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during his visit to Washington this week. The meeting provides an opportunity to double down on considerations of what a “day after” might look like and how best to promote moderate Palestinian voices in the effort to rebuild Gaza.

    July 23, 2024

    The Limits of Economic Integration in the Maghreb
  • Commentary
  • The Limits of Economic Integration in the Maghreb

    The common understanding of the state of economic integration in the Maghreb is that it is victim to geopolitical rivalries and poor economic management, both of which prevent the region from flourishing to the same extent as other regional blocs. The forgone conclusion is that greater economic integration would generate trade, boost levels of growth and increase the region’s bargaining position.

    Iraq’s competition to control local administrations goes national
    Photo by Safin HAMID/AFP
  • Analysis
  • Iraq’s competition to control local administrations goes national

    In the aftermath of the December 2023 Provincial Council (PC) elections, political parties across Iraq have been seeking to shore up their gains or minimize their losses in the formation of the provincial executive governments, with some provinces, like Kirkuk and Diyala, remaining in deadlock at time of writing. However, in other provinces, such as Ninewa, those now in power are looking to ensure that they are maximizing their new gains by dominating key administrative positions at the district and subdistrict levels.

    July 22, 2024

    Morocco, Algeria and the Western Mediterranean tension game
  • Commentary
  • Morocco, Algeria and the Western Mediterranean tension game

    As the aftermath of the earthquake that struck Morocco in early September unfolded, one notable aspect of the response to the devastation was the geopolitical element of aid and disaster relief. Specifically, what drew attention was Algeria’s offer of assistance and whether it might signal an implicit desire to reduce tensions between the hostile neighbours. Yet, mistrust between the two continues to run high, and a single gesture of offering support is unlikely to undo decades of animosity.

    Another Uprising Has Started in Syria
  • Commentary
  • Another Uprising Has Started in Syria

    Six years ago, the Syrian regime conquered the southern province of Daraa, popularly known by millions of Syrians as the “cradle of the revolution.” That military victory represented a pivotal moment for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. After all, it was the last time the regime captured a sizable swath of opposition territory, and in doing so in July 2018, its impunity was laid bare for all the world to see. On paper, Daraa had been designated a “de-escalation zone” after months of intensive international diplomacy in which the United States had played a central role.