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Salam Kawakibi

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After Afghanistan: What’s next for Pakistan and the US?
Photo by AAMIR QURESHI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • After Afghanistan: What’s next for Pakistan and the US?

    The evacuation crisis precipitated by the Taliban’s swift takeover of Afghanistan following the rapid withdrawal of American troops may further widen the divide between Pakistan and the United States. The Aug. 26 terror attack at Kabul airport claimed by Islamic State-Khorasan Province (ISKP), ISIS’s local affiliate, is a clear manifestation of Washington’s epic defeat in the two-decade-long “war on terror” and a sign that President Joe Biden is losing his grip on the Afghan narrative.

    September 2, 2021

    Islamic State Under-Reporting in Central Syria: Misdirection, Misinformation, or Miscommunication?
  • Analysis
  • Islamic State Under-Reporting in Central Syria: Misdirection, Misinformation, or Miscommunication?

    The central media apparatus of the Islamic State group is mis-reporting on the activities of its cells in central Syria. Rather than exaggerating their capabilities, something that it is conventionally assumed to be doing all the time, its Central Media Diwan appears either to be deliberately under-playing them, or, less likely, to be unaware of their full extent, possibly due to communication issues.

    September 2, 2021

    Jihadi Recruitment and Return: Asian Threat and Response
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Jihadi Recruitment and Return: Asian Threat and Response

    The large number of foreign fighters joining ISIS is reminiscent of the flow of volunteers who joined the Afghan jihad against the Soviet occupation in the 1980s. At that time, many young Muslims from Southeast Asia traveled to Pakistan to support the Afghan mujahideen. Some of them returned to their countries of origin to establish extremist groups, most notably Jemaah Islamiyah.

    September 2, 2021

    What’s driving the escalating tensions between Algeria and Morocco?
    Photo by RYAD KRAMDI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What’s driving the escalating tensions between Algeria and Morocco?

    On Aug. 24 Algeria broke off its already minimal bilateral relations with Morocco, declaring this was due to the kingdom’s “hostile actions” and accusing it of involvement in the wildfires that struck the Kabylia region earlier that month. The heightened tension between the two countries brings into focus regional uncertainty and may spell the end of their limited collaboration in the energy sector.

    In Afghanistan, the Gulf Arab states stepped up
    Photo by Jimmie Baker/U.S. Army via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • In Afghanistan, the Gulf Arab states stepped up

    We rarely miss an opportunity to criticize our Gulf Arab partners — sometimes rightly so — for not doing enough to safeguard collective interests. But one must acknowledge that on Afghanistan, and especially our just-completed exit from the country, most of our Gulf Arab partners absolutely shined. They deserve a ton of credit for the role they played in our large, challenging, and deadly evacuation — a role which was nothing short of indispensable.

    September 1, 2021

    A Case Study in Irregular Warfare
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • A Case Study in Irregular Warfare

    Mick Mulroy and Ken Tovo join host Alistair Taylor to discuss their recent paper on how US intelligence and military operatives effectively collaborated with local Kurdish partners in Northern Iraq in the early 2000s, why it was a successful partnership, and what lessons it may provide for future operations. The paper, “Irregular Warfare: A Case Study in CIA and US Army Special Forces Operations in Northern Iraq, 2002-03,” is available now on MEI’s website.

    September 1, 2021

    The CIA Is Better Than the U.S. Military at Creating Foreign Armies
  • Commentary
  • The CIA Is Better Than the U.S. Military at Creating Foreign Armies

    The failure of the Afghan army is a reminder that Pentagon-led security cooperation programs are more expensive and less effective than those led by spies.

    September 1, 2021

    Déjà vu all over again in Afghanistan: Negotiating with the Taliban to save heritage sites
    Photo copyright by UNESCO
  • Analysis
  • Déjà vu all over again in Afghanistan: Negotiating with the Taliban to save heritage sites

    As the world watches the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan and its aftermath, it’s like déjà vu all over again for the nation’s long-suffering peoples. With the Taliban back in the Bamiyan Valley, the UNESCO World Heritage site where Mullah Omar sanctioned the destruction of the 6th century Buddhas 20 years ago, we’ve seen this movie before and we know how it ends.

    September 1, 2021

    “Our greatest value is our experience”: An interview with Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Vasyl Bodnar
    Photo by Hennadii Minchenko/ Ukrinform/Barcroft Media via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • “Our greatest value is our experience”: An interview with Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Vasyl Bodnar

    According to Deputy Foreign Minister Vasyl Bodnar, Ukraine has completed the necessary reforms for NATO membership and does not rule out integration without the territories illegally annexed by the Russian Federation. Bodnar also explains why Ukraine’s Euro-Atlantic integration process is so difficult in comparison to that of the Baltic countries, which have had accelerated Western integration. This interview has been edited for length and clarity.

    September 1, 2021

    أفغانستان: جهود جبارة وتهديدات جديدة
  • Commentary
  • أفغانستان: جهود جبارة وتهديدات جديدة

    من المهم الاعتراف بالجهود الجبارة التي بذلها ضباطنا في الجيش والخدمة الخارجية والمخابرات لإخراج أكثر من 100 ألف من الأمريكيين ومن الأفغان حاملي تأشيرة الهجرة الخاصة من أفغانستان بالتنسيق مع مئات المتطوعين الذين ساعدوهم في كل من الولايات المتحدة وأفغانستان. والأهم من ذلك هو الاعتراف بالجنود من الرجال والنساء الأمريكيين الذين قدموا أقصى التضحيات لبلدهم من أجل حماية الأمريكيين.

    The puzzle of profitless growth in GCC firms
    Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The puzzle of profitless growth in GCC firms

    There is a puzzle in the profits of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) firms, especially conglomerates. Even as the size of GCC economies has grown considerably in the last two decades, corporate profits have been flat. With a goal of economic diversification to expand private sector business and job opportunities for citizens, the imperative to create an environment for growth is acute for regional governments. Tarek Fadlallah, CEO of Nomura Asset Management Middle East and a member of the Program on Economics and Energy Advisory Council, lays out some of the challenges for Gulf economic diversification and improved corporate profitability.

    August 31, 2021

    Southern inclusivity is key to Yemen’s chances for lasting peace
    Photo by SALEH AL-OBEIDI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Southern inclusivity is key to Yemen’s chances for lasting peace

    A reinvigorated international approach to Yemen is possible. The current architecture for advancing a negotiated peace is being challenged by both international and local developments. The protracted nature of the conflict, the risk that it could worsen, and local political developments over the past two years necessitate a recalibration of the peace process, informed by realities on the ground, the urgent needs of the population, and the demand for security. Evolving coalition priorities, renewed U.S. engagement, and the appointment of a new U.N. special envoy may be an opportunity to advance conflict resolution. Achieving greater unity among southern actors will be key to the success of national-level talks and is urgently needed to prevent a further descent into violence, extremism, and humanitarian catastrophe.

    August 31, 2021

    Erdoğan eyes an opening in the Balkans
    Photo by Emin Sansar/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Erdoğan eyes an opening in the Balkans

    Just before visiting Turkish-occupied Northern Cyprus in late July, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan gave Serbia an unpleasant surprise. He announced that Turkey would lobby to increase the number of countries that recognized independent Kosovo. Erdoğan stated on July 19, “Now 114 countries recognize Kosovo, and we want that number to increase. We hope that this year at the United Nations General Assembly, at the meeting I will have with [U.S. President Joe] Biden, we will discuss this topic again, that we will work together on the recognition of Kosovo.”

    August 31, 2021