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Salam Kawakibi

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Building a Closer Black Sea: Promoting Trade and Economic Interdependence
Photo by Evgeniy Maloletka/Bloomberg via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Building a Closer Black Sea: Promoting Trade and Economic Interdependence

    While the Black Sea has historically been an area of significant geostrategic importance, this has not made it a vibrant zone of commerce, transport, energy, tourism, or cultural exchange. Rather, it has become a theater of struggle for dominance and competing geopolitical and geo-economic interests. This situation has been exacerbated by conflict between Russia and countries in the region, like Ukraine and Georgia, that have sought closer ties with the West and aspire to NATO membership and EU integration. These developments have dire consequences for regional security and stability, disrupting political and economic ties in the area and beyond. A long-term solution to the region’s security issues could be based on intensifying trade relations and increasing economic interdependence between the states. This paper identifies major barriers to closer regional trade and economic cooperation and outlines ways to overcome them.

    August 30, 2021

    Afghanistan: The US decides, but will Europe pay the bill?
    Photo by JAVIER SORIANO/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Afghanistan: The US decides, but will Europe pay the bill?

    That the Taliban ended up taking over Afghanistan was not surprising, given the details of the agreement between the U.S. administration and the group’s leadership that have been known for many months. What was surprising for the international community, however, was the speed and manner of their takeover. The Taliban offensive and its consequences came as a particular shock to the institutions of the European Union (EU) and the member states that took part in the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) mission and various aid programs in the country. When it comes to assessing the consequences of the Taliban’s takeover, there is no doubt that, first and foremost, it is the Afghan people that are most badly affected. Among the members of the international community, it is the Americans that have suffered the greatest reputational and financial losses so far, but from here on out the EU may well be the party that will face the greatest consequences.

    August 27, 2021

    Sectarianism and ideology: The cases of Iran and Saudi Arabia
    Photo by Michael Gruber/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Sectarianism and ideology: The cases of Iran and Saudi Arabia

    Many analysts oversimplify the political conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia as one driven by sectarianism or Shi’a-Sunni tensions that has shaped the two states’ outlook and actions in the Middle East. However, their political differences are actually much more complex and deeper rooted.

    August 27, 2021

    حلقة 48: آراء (23) – تبعات الانسحاب من أفغانستان
  • Podcast
  • حلقة 48: آراء (23) – تبعات الانسحاب من أفغانستان

    ما هي تبعات الانسحاب الأميريكي من أفغانستان على مكافحة الإرهاب وعلى الاستراتيجية الأميريكية وصورتها في الشرق الأوسط؟ يستعرض إبراهيم الأصيل رأياً لبول سالم، رئيس معهد الشرق الأوسط.

    August 26, 2021

    حلقة 21: آراء من واشنطن – طموح بغداد في دور إقليمي
  • Video
  • حلقة 21: آراء من واشنطن – طموح بغداد في دور إقليمي

    هل يمكن أن يتحقق طموح بغداد في لعب دور إقليمي؟ يناقش إبراهيم الأصيل رأياً للباحث يسار المالكي حول الدور الذي تحاول بغداد لعبه في المنطقة.

    August 26, 2021

    What prompted Iran to strike the Mercer Street?
    Photo by KARIM SAHIB/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What prompted Iran to strike the Mercer Street?

    The July 29 suicide drone attack on the Israeli oil tanker Mercer Street, which left two British and Romanian crewmembers dead in the Arabian Sea, was carried out by Iran and was intended to cause human casualties and physical damage, according to the investigative report from U.S. Central Command(CENTCOM). While Tehran denied any hand in the strike, the G7 directly blamed Iran and U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken promised a “collective response.”

    August 26, 2021

    A Way Out Of Biden’s Afghan Trap
  • Commentary
  • A Way Out Of Biden’s Afghan Trap

    The U.N. Security Council could authorize the U.S. and allies to enforce a safe zone for evacuations.

    August 26, 2021

    Iranian women campaign to stop the rise in “honor killings”
  • Analysis
  • Iranian women campaign to stop the rise in “honor killings”

    Every year 400-500 women are killed brutally in Iran to protect men’s “honor.” The killers are usually close relatives — often the victim’s father, husband, or brother. According to a report published in The Lancet in October 2020, at least 8,000 such killings were reported in Iran between 2010 and 2014. “The number of honor killing victims is greater than reported as in some cases women were driven to suicide or the cause of the death was not reported as murder but as illness,” according to Dr. Rezvan Moghadam, founder of the Iranian organization Stop Honor Killings. Dr. Moghadam has documented more than 1,200 cases of honor killings in the country. According to research, which will soon be published as a book and made available to the public, these kinds of violent killings of women and girls have been increasing for the last 20 years in different cities and villages in Iran.

    August 26, 2021

    حلقة 23: آراء من واشنطن – تبعات الانسحاب من أفغانستان
  • Video
  • حلقة 23: آراء من واشنطن – تبعات الانسحاب من أفغانستان

    ما هي تبعات الانسحاب الأميريكي من أفغانستان على مكافحة الإرهاب وعلى الاستراتيجية الأميريكية وصورتها في الشرق الأوسط؟ يستعرض إبراهيم الأصيل رأياً لبول سالم، رئيس معهد الشرق الأوسط.

    August 26, 2021

    Egypt needs a more inclusive approach to subsidy reform
    Photo by Shawn Baldwin/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Egypt needs a more inclusive approach to subsidy reform

    Speaking at a public event earlier this month, Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi made the surprise announcement that the next step in the country’s economic reform agenda will include the removal of bread subsidies. He becomes the latest in a long line of presidents to target the bread subsidies that provide cheap sustenance to a country of (now) over 100 million people at a huge cost to the state, although none of his predecessors ever successfully managed to remove or significantly reduce them.

    August 25, 2021

    Al Qaeda and lessons from the past 20 years of counterterrorism
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Al Qaeda and lessons from the past 20 years of counterterrorism

    Peter Bergen and Colin Clarke join guest host Charles Lister to discuss Bergen’s new book, The Rise and Fall of Osama Bin Laden, as well as the Biden administration’s handling of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan and concerns about the country once again becoming a safe haven for Al Qaeda under the Taliban.

    August 25, 2021

    Human rights consequences of Russian occupation: Georgia and Ukraine
    Photo by STR/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Human rights consequences of Russian occupation: Georgia and Ukraine

    Despite their unique characteristics and contexts, the Russian occupation of two regions in Georgia and its annexation of Crimea in Ukraine share a variety of similarities when it comes to the human rights situation on the ground.

    August 25, 2021

    إسرائيل ومصر تتصدران توقعات النمو في الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا: قصة استراتيجيتين متباينتين
  • Commentary
  • إسرائيل ومصر تتصدران توقعات النمو في الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا: قصة استراتيجيتين متباينتين

    الدولتان في الشرق الأوسط اللتان تتمتعان بأعلى توقعات نمو لعام 2022 هما إسرائيل ومصر. وتقدر مؤسسة فيتش سوليوشنز أن الناتج المحلي الإجمالي على مستوى منطقة الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا سينمو بنسبة 3.6% في عام 2021، بعد انكماش بنسبة 4% في عام 2020. هنا نجد أن مصر وإسرائيل هما الدولتان الوحيدتان في المنطقة اللتان يُتوقع نمو اقتصادهما بما يتجاوز حجم مستويات ما قبل كوفيد-19.