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A Contested Mediterranean: What Role for the US?
  • Report
  • A Contested Mediterranean: What Role for the US?

    This report explores maritime security conditions in the Mediterranean and the evolving US engagement in the region. As critical infrastructure becomes increasingly vulnerable to sabotage, freedom of navigation is undermined by conflict, and energy disputes generate tension, US policy focus on the region has become fragmented and disengaged. The authors call for a sustained American role to strengthen maritime domain awareness, allied coordination, infrastructure protection, and the capacity to respond when Mediterranean crises affect US and transatlantic interests.

    The Multiple Costs of the US–Iran War – From Hormuz to Europe and South Asia: The Widening Economic and Political Geography of the Conflict
  • Analysis
  • The Multiple Costs of the US–Iran War – From Hormuz to Europe and South Asia: The Widening Economic and Political Geography of the Conflict

    Wars are decided by those who hold military power, but their costs are increasingly borne by those who have little or no voice in the decisions that start them. The US–Iran war shows this imbalance very clearly. Its economic consequences have gone far beyond the battlefield and have disrupted energy markets, trade routes, food supplies, public finances and investment in the Gulf, Europe, Africa and Asia. The most striking feature of the conflict, however, is not only the size of the damage but its very unequal distribution.

    Eastern Mediterranean Gas
    LNG tanker unloading at Revithoussa Terminal near Athens on May 2, 2026. Photo by Nicolas Koutsokostas/NurPhoto via Getty Images.
  • Backgrounder
  • Eastern Mediterranean Gas

    In less than two decades, a string of offshore discoveries has turned the Eastern Mediterranean into a significant gas-producing region, making Israel an exporter, twice lifting Egypt into the ranks of liquefied natural gas (LNG) exporters, and giving Cyprus finds it has yet to bring to market. This backgrounder explores the potential and challenges of exploiting and managing LNG resources in the region.

    October 15, 2026

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    The Russia-Ukraine war might finally bring about a rise in Egypt’s bread prices
    Photo by Ahmed Gomaa/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Russia-Ukraine war might finally bring about a rise in Egypt’s bread prices

    As the price of wheat has shot up following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, so too has the cost of Egypt’s bread subsidies, raising questions over their sustainability and potentially opening the door for an increase in the price of subsidized bread for the first time in decades.

    March 28, 2022

    الاقتصاد المغربي من خلال مؤشر دوين بيزنس
    Photo by Francois LOCHON/Gamma-Rapho via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • الاقتصاد المغربي من خلال مؤشر دوين بيزنس

    على مدى العقد الماضي، أحرز المغرب تقدمًا كبيرًا على مستوى مؤشر ممارسة الأعمال العالمي (دوين بيزنس)، حيث قفز من المرتبة 130 في عام 2009 إلى المرتبة 53 في عام 2020. رغم تلك الإصلاحات، لم يؤدي تحسن ترتيب المغرب على مستوى مؤشر مناخ الأعمال إلى تحسن اقتصادي كبير.

    March 24, 2022

    The Moroccan economy through the Doing Business Index
    Photo by Francois LOCHON/Gamma-Rapho via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Moroccan economy through the Doing Business Index

    Over the past decade, Morocco made great progress in climbing up the global Doing Business Index (DBI), jumping from the rank of 130 in 2009 to 53 in 2020. Yet, Morocco’s improved DBI ranking did not correlate with significant economic improvement.

    March 22, 2022

    War in Ukraine and drought at home: A perfect storm in the Maghreb
    Photo by ANIS MILI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • War in Ukraine and drought at home: A perfect storm in the Maghreb

    This year was already expected to pose challenges for Morocco, Algeria, and Tunisia. Inflationary pressures have been driving up the price of goods since the fourth quarter of 2021. Persistent unemployment, worsened by the COVID-19 pandemic, aggravated social discontent. Now, as winter turns to spring, socio-economic stability in the Maghreb is being imperiled by the conflict in Ukraine and insufficient rainfall at home.

    March 21, 2022

    The GERD and Cyber Diplomacy
  • Podcast
  • The GERD and Cyber Diplomacy

    Mirette Mabrouk, Joey Shea, and guest host Eliza Campbell discuss current political disputes over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), cyber diplomacy, and the effects of climate change on the Horn of Africa.

    March 18, 2022

    The "Mediterranean Worlds Forum”: France’s continued pursuit of leadership in the Mediterranean
    Photo by CHRISTOPHE SIMON/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The "Mediterranean Worlds Forum”: France’s continued pursuit of leadership in the Mediterranean

    On Feb. 7 and 8, France hosted the “Mediterranean Worlds Forum” in Marseille, following on the heels of the 2019 “Summit of the Two Shores, Mediterranean Forum.” These meetings have the stated goal of “giving new momentum” to relations in the western Mediterranean and illustrate Paris’s push to renew its leadership role in the region.

    March 15, 2022

    Given capacity constraints, Algeria is no quick fix for Europe’s Russian gas concerns
    Photo by RYAD KRAMDI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Given capacity constraints, Algeria is no quick fix for Europe’s Russian gas concerns

    While Europe might be ready for more Algerian gas as it looks to diversify its suppliers, Algeria’s current production capacity limits its ability to substantially increase export volumes to Europe. As of now, any meaningful increases in Algerian production will require years of exploration and development and more crucially, further energy industry reforms to attract new investment.

    Drones are re-engineering the geopolitics of the Middle East
    Photo by Diego Cupolo/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Drones are re-engineering the geopolitics of the Middle East

    The Middle East is experiencing a seismic shift in its geopolitics: the dawn of the era of drones. From Syria to Libya and from Yemen to Iraq, UAVs have altered the dynamics on the battlefield. Agile and affordable, drones aren’t just a menace to remote conflict zones, but also to states far removed from theaters of war.

    What now for French operations in the Sahel?
    Photo by DAPHNE BENOIT/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What now for French operations in the Sahel?

    On Feb. 17, French President Emmanuel Macron announced the coming withdrawal of French armed forces from Mali. The decision put an end to nine years of French military intervention in the West African country.

    March 4, 2022

    The Russia-Ukraine War has Turned Egypt's Food Crisis into an Existential Threat to the Economy
    Photo by Shawn Baldwin/Bloomberg via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • The Russia-Ukraine War has Turned Egypt's Food Crisis into an Existential Threat to the Economy

    With the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war on Feb. 24, 2022, Egypt’s food security crisis now poses an existential threat to its economy. The fragile state of Egypt’s food security stems from the agricultural sector’s inability to produce enough cereal grains, especially wheat, and oilseeds to meet even half of the country’s domestic demand.

    Expanding use of e-wallets in Egypt: Strengthening the social contract one transaction at a time
    Photo by Shawn Baldwin/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Expanding use of e-wallets in Egypt: Strengthening the social contract one transaction at a time

    Egypt, like much of MENA, is experiencing an unprecedented digital transformation. Governments throughout the region are embracing emerging technologies, particularly in governance and, increasingly, financial management. Countries across MENA are adopting ICT strategies, such as the ICT Vision 2030 in Egypt. Egypt’s plan aims to develop a knowledge-based society by means of a strong digital economy built on reliable, affordable, and equitable access to digital tools.

    March 3, 2022

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