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Turkey faces potential Russian blowback on Syria — and tomatoes are only the beginning
 A Turkish military convoy of tanks and armoured vehicles passes through the city of Idlib, in northwestern Syria, near the Syria-Turkey border, late on February 7, 2020.
  • Analysis
  • Turkey faces potential Russian blowback on Syria — and tomatoes are only the beginning

    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan finds himself in a tough spot with Russia as tensions in Syria have escalated dramatically. In a rare direct military confrontation between Turkish and Syrian regime forces, 14 Turkish soldiers and over 100 regime troops were killed in two separate clashes in Idlib over the past 10 days.

    Iran-Russia ties: Never better but maybe not forever?
    MOSCOW, RUSSIA - DECEMBER 30, 2019: Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif (L) and Russia's Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov shake hands during a press conference following their meeting at the Russian Foreign Ministry's Reception House in Spiridonovka Street. Vladimir Gerdo/TASS (Photo by Vladimir GerdoTASS via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Iran-Russia ties: Never better but maybe not forever?

    The relationship between Iran and Russia has been strengthened by the rising tensions between Tehran and Washington since Donald Trump took office, and there is no doubt that Iran views Russia as one of its closest allies. The Iranian foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, has traveled to Moscow some 28 times during his tenure, and has stated that relations between the two countries have never been better.

    February 12, 2020

    As Iran heads to the polls, could Rouhani be facing impeachment?
    Iran's President Hassan Rouhani delivers a speech presenting the Islamic republic's new budget for the financial year starting late March 2020 in Tehran on December 8, 2019. - Rouhani described it as a
  • Analysis
  • As Iran heads to the polls, could Rouhani be facing impeachment?

    On Feb. 21, Iranians will be voting to elect a new Majlis, the country’s unicameral Parliament. Viewed from the outside, participating in the electoral system might seem futile. While the Iranian constitution recognizes popular will, as represented by an elected president and Parliament, the whole political system operates under the supreme leader, who, although appointed by an elected clerical body (the Assembly of Experts), is, in effect, answerable to no one. The Majlis does, however, have the power to remove the president — a fate that could potentially await President Hassan Rouhani if the conservatives win a majority in the upcoming elections.

    February 11, 2020

    Green financing in Egypt
    Construction of ministerial buildings at the governmental district in the new administrative capital, some 50 km east of the capital Cairo, on March 7, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Green financing in Egypt

    The green movement has been slow to catch on in Egypt, but the January announcement by the Egyptian government that it is finalizing plans to launch the country’s first green bonds could provide the financial incentives to further promote sustainable development. “Sustainability” is one of the fastest growing sectors globally, estimated to reach as much as $12 trillion annually by 2030.

    February 11, 2020

    How did China Win Over the Israeli People?
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • How did China Win Over the Israeli People?

    According to the latest poll published by the Pew Research Center, the Israeli public sees China in a favorable way. Only in Russia and Nigeria does China get a more sympathetic audience. This result seems surprising, when compared to China’s low level of favorability in other Western countries. However, the strong favorability rating registered in the Pew survey is less surprising than it seems, and in fact is a clear indication that the wide-ranging Chinese soft power efforts to appeal to the Israeli public opinion have paid off.

    February 11, 2020

    China plays the long game on Syria
    BEIJING, Nov. 22, 2019 -- Chinese Vice President Wang Qishan meets with a delegation of Syria's Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party, led by Helal Helal, deputy general secretary of the ruling party, in Beijing, capital of China, Nov. 22, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • China plays the long game on Syria

    Since the beginning of the Syrian civil war in 2011, many analysts have examined the role played by a handful of key outside actors, such as Russia, Iran, Turkey, and the member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). Yet China has received comparatively little attention in most discussions about the Syrian crisis. A deeper look at Sino-Syrian relations and Beijing’s policies vis-à-vis Syria is long overdue as this bilateral relationship is set to become increasingly important to both China’s ambitious foreign policy as well as the Syrian government’s vision for reconstruction and redevelopment.

    February 10, 2020

    Truth is stranger than science fiction: Palestine +100
    Political and social mural paintings and graffiti on the Israeli West Bank barrier in Bethlehem.
  • Analysis
  • Truth is stranger than science fiction: Palestine +100

    As the world increasingly resembles a dystopian film from the 1970s and television news blurs ominously with scenes from Soylent Green, a recent collection of Palestinian science fiction proves both prescient and eerily contemporary.

    February 6, 2020

    The Black Sea should be a US and NATO priority
    Bulgarian and NATO navi ships take part during Bulgarian-NATO military navy exercise in the Black sea, east of the Bulgarian capital Sofia, Friday, July, 10, 2015.
  • Analysis
  • The Black Sea should be a US and NATO priority

    The Black Sea is a very important region for NATO, and has not received the attention it deserves; a separate focused NATO strategy and support for countries in the Black Sea would send a message that the Alliance takes the region seriously.

    February 6, 2020

    Damascus battles economic collapse as the Syrian pound plummets
    A merchant counts Syrian pound notes, bearing a portrait of the Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, at the Bzourieh market in the centre of the Syrian capital Damascus on September 11, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Damascus battles economic collapse as the Syrian pound plummets

    Faced with the threat of further sanctions, a volatile situation in neighboring Lebanon, and a brutally tough winter, the only thing currently rising from the embers of war-torn Syria is the value of the dollar against the struggling Syrian pound. This marks the beginning of a dangerous new phase in the Syrian conflict as the government, fresh from its eight-year-long war for survival, tries to fend off an economic collapse from within. 

    Trump’s Curious Multilateralism
  • Analysis
  • Trump’s Curious Multilateralism

    His administration may end up besting its predecessors’ records in bringing partners together in the Persian Gulf.

    February 4, 2020

    As Turkey-Russia ties warm, will Georgia be left out in the cold?
    Foreign Minister of Turkey Mevlut Cavusoglu (L) meets Foreign Minister of Georgia David Zalkaliani (R) in Tbilisi, Georgia on December 23, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • As Turkey-Russia ties warm, will Georgia be left out in the cold?

    Turkey’s blossoming relationship with Russia has not only raised eyebrows in Washington and Western European capitals, it has also caused a great deal of discomfort in countries like Georgia that have borne the brunt of Russian aggression. A few recent scattered signals from Ankara, however, might comfort Turkey’s northeastern neighbor.

    A fight for survival in a new landscape: Can Yemen’s GPC recover after Saleh?
    Yemen's ex-president Ali Abdullah Saleh gives a speech addressing his supporters during a rally as his General People's Congress party, marks 35 years since its founding, at Sabaeen Square in the capital Sanaa on August 24, 2017.
  • Analysis
  • A fight for survival in a new landscape: Can Yemen’s GPC recover after Saleh?

    Since the death of its founder Ali Abdullah Saleh on Dec. 4, 2017, the General People’s Congress (GPC) — Yemen’s dominant political party for the past four decades — has faced a test in attempting to reunify its divided wings in Riyadh, Cairo, Abu Dhabi, and Sanaa amid a shifting strategic landscape. The GPC’s factions have competed over the party leadership, failed to elect a transitional leader, and exchanged accusations following the Saudi-brokered meeting in Jeddah in July 2019. Nevertheless, Abu Dhabi and Riyadh’s attempts to revive Saleh’s damaged old political vehicle continue, both politically and militarily.

    February 4, 2020

    What Makes a Movement Violent: Comparing the Ahle Hadith (Salafists) in India and Pakistan
     (Photo by Veronique de Viguerie/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • What Makes a Movement Violent: Comparing the Ahle Hadith (Salafists) in India and Pakistan

    This article examines the Salafist movements in Pakistan and North India (known as the Ahle Hadith movement), which originated in the colonial era in India. The article seeks to explain what led Salafist/Ahle Hadith organizations in Pakistan, though not those in India, to adopt violence.

    February 4, 2020

    Turkey’s Parliamentary Purge and the HDP’s Dilemma
    A picture shows election flags displaying imprisoned Selahattin Demirtas, Presidential candidate and leader of People's Democratic Party (HDP) in Ankara, on June 19, 2018.
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s Parliamentary Purge and the HDP’s Dilemma

    In 2016 the Turkish parliament voted to revoke parliamentary immunity and initiated the ruling Justice and Development Party’s (AKP) political purge of MPs with the Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP). Despite the introduction of a new assembly in 2018, Turkey’s October invasion of northeast Syria provided ample incentives for the launch of new investigations into HDP members protesting the operation. The targeting of the HDP has set new legal and political precedents that could undermine the political capacity of the opposition coalition as a whole and create ideological divisions over the so-called “Kurdish Question.” This report records documented arrests of HDP MPs from June 2016 to January 2018 in order to identify prominent trends and waves of arrests that correspond to political and legal events.

    February 4, 2020