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Upgrading Iran’s Military Doctrine: An Offensive “Forward Defense”
(Photo by Pool / Press Office of Iranian Supreme Leader/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Upgrading Iran’s Military Doctrine: An Offensive “Forward Defense”

    Since the 2011 “Arab Spring” uprisings, there have been several indications that Iran is shifting to an offensive military doctrine through the adoption of hybrid warfare. This essay will demonstrate that Iran’s “forward defense” doctrine emphasis on the offensive is influenced not simply by the “window of opportunity” created by regional upheaval but by a dispute about the domestic politics of the Islamic Republic between the radical Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) and the reform camp within the regime currently represented by President Hassan Rouhani. This development represents a marked setback for the “civilianization” of the Iranian state.

    December 10, 2019

    Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states
  • Analysis
  • Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states

    The subject of extensive international interest and attention over the past few years, blockchain technology is regarded as a key component of the fourth industrial revolution. This article seeks to shed light on the use of blockchain technology in the Gulf states by analyzing current trends of blockchain adoption in the region compared to those internationally. In so doing, it will determine Gulf institutions’ capacity for keeping pace with the changes and developments blockchain adoption has introduced.

    December 10, 2019

    Kuala Lumpur summit: A challenge to Saudi leadership?
    Pakistan's Prime Minister Imran Khan (C) is accompanied by his Malaysian counterpart Mahathir Mohamad (L) as he reviews a guard of honour during a welcoming ceremony at the prime minister's office in Putrajaya on November 21, 2018. (Photo by Mohd RASFAN / AFP) (Photo credit should read MOHD RASFAN/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Kuala Lumpur summit: A challenge to Saudi leadership?

    On Nov. 23, Malaysia’s prime minister, Mahathir Mohamad, announced that his country will stage an Islamic summit in Kuala Lumpur from Dec. 19-21. The event, on the theme of “The Role of Development in Achieving National Security,” will feature representatives from the host country as well as Indonesia, Pakistan, Qatar, and Turkey. Around 450 leaders, scholars, clerics, and thinkers from 52 countries will attend, along with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, Indonesian President Joko Widodo, and Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan.

    December 10, 2019

    Re-centering the “countries in between”
    People attend a rally marking the 6th anniversary of the 2014 Euromaidan antigovernment riots at Kiev's Independence Square.
  • Analysis
  • Re-centering the “countries in between”

    The geopolitical map of Europe and neighboring regions has changed profoundly in recent years. Yet the countries “in between” are still very much stuck in the middle, either because their internal situation remains complex or because of external interference, from disinformation warfare to more straightforward armed aggression.

    An Israel-US defense treaty will ruin relations with Arab states
    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (R) shakes the hand of US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo following their meeting in Jerusalem on October 18, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • An Israel-US defense treaty will ruin relations with Arab states

    Attempts by the indicted Israeli leader to railroad through a joint U.S.-Israel defense treaty in opposition to the Palestinians and other Arabs will be disastrous for America’s national interest.

    December 9, 2019

    Pakistan’s Gen. Bajwa gets an extension amid political drama
    Pakistan Army Chief General Qamar Javed Bajwa arrives to attend the Pakistan Day parade in Islamabad on March 23, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s Gen. Bajwa gets an extension amid political drama

    Understanding a state and its society involves understanding how the state treats its military, its record of governance, and the relationship between the military and civilian politicians. By all accounts, Pakistan, a state founded in 1947 as a homeland for the Muslim population of British India, is a unique case where the military dominates all other institutions in both state and society. This was on clear display in the recent court battle over the extension of Army Chief of Staff Gen. Qamar Javed Bajwa’s tenure.

    December 6, 2019

    Could a gas cartel become as powerful as OPEC?
  • Analysis
  • Could a gas cartel become as powerful as OPEC?

    The 12-country Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF), which held its latest meeting in Equatorial Guinea on Nov. 28, has never had OPEC’s ability to control energy prices, but that is likely to change as liquefied natural gas (LNG) transforms the gas market from a regional to a global one.  

    December 6, 2019

    Rouhani vs. the pump: Ignoring better policy alternatives, again?
    Iranians fill their vehicles at a petrol station in Tehran, on November 15, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Rouhani vs. the pump: Ignoring better policy alternatives, again?

    Faced with rapidly deteriorating public finances, Iranian policymakers had no choice but to reduce gasoline subsidies through a combination of rationing and price hikes. However, the way in which they did so was problematic, especially when they had other, better policy options that would have ensured a more equitable, effective, and efficient outcome.

    December 5, 2019

    Hezbollah and Amal change tactics and ratchet up violence amid ongoing protests
    Supporters of Lebanese Shiite groups Hezbollah and Amal wave flags and chant in front of army soldiers in the capital Beirut, on November 25, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Hezbollah and Amal change tactics and ratchet up violence amid ongoing protests

    While Hezbollah has largely remained immune to criticism, owing to its widely perceived role as an effective resistance movement against Israeli aggression, the powerful Iran-backed Shi’a militia and political party is now viewed by many demonstrators as part of the corrupt and morally bankrupt political establishment that must be replaced. Against this backdrop, supporters of Hezbollah and its Shi’a ally the Amal Movement have been quick to resort to violence.

    December 5, 2019

    Bringing Social Class into Humanitarian Debates: The Case of Northern Lebanon
    (Photo by Vincent LECOMTE / Gamma-Rapho via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Bringing Social Class into Humanitarian Debates: The Case of Northern Lebanon

    Cities are commonly regarded as the primary places where class economies become layered and articulated; however, the debates on “urban humanitarianism” have neglected social class as a key factor that significantly marks the relationship between aid providers and recipients in settings of aid provision. The small city of Halba, in northern Lebanon, vividly illustrates how the class economy has tacitly been shaping humanitarian programming and how the very presence of humanitarian actors on the ground reinforced the pre-existing class-based inequality.

    December 4, 2019

    Will protests in Iran lead to negotiations with the US?
    Iranian protesters gather around a fire during a demonstration against an increase in gasoline prices in the capital Tehran, on November 16, 2019. - One person was killed and others injured in protests across Iran, hours after a surprise decision to increase petrol prices by 50 percent for the first 60 litres and 300 percent for anything above that each month, and impose rationing. Authorities said the move was aimed at helping needy citizens, and expected to generate 300 trillion rials ($2.55 billion) per
  • Analysis
  • Will protests in Iran lead to negotiations with the US?

    The protests that began in Iran in mid-November may well have a direct impact on Tehran’s relations with Washington. Initially sparked by the Iranian government’s sudden decision to raise fuel prices, the demonstrations have made clear the country’s fragile socio-economic and political situation.

    The Caucasus and the Middle East
    Georgian soldiers run during a farewell ceremony before their departure to Afghanistan in Tbilisi, June 27, 2013.
  • Analysis
  • The Caucasus and the Middle East

    For years, politics and conflicts in the Middle East have spilled over into many other regions of the world. Refugee crises, terrorism, and political instability in the Middle East have impacted foreign and domestic policy and politics in North America and Europe, but the Caucasus is much closer and, therefore, a particularly important case for policymakers in Washington and Brussels.

    December 2, 2019