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The IRGC’s enmity toward Israel is an aberration in Iranian history
Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The IRGC’s enmity toward Israel is an aberration in Iranian history

    Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is at its core an ideological army, not a national one, and its notorious enmity toward Israel is an aberration in Iranian history. But many Israelis to this day think Iran could be a natural partner as long as the country gave up its pursuit of ideologically driven regional dominance, disavow calls for the destruction of Israel, and were instead to again allow the regular army, the Artesh, to pursue Iranian national interests.

    May 3, 2023

    As fighting in Sudan rages, Russia’s primary goal is to ensure authoritarian rule
    Photo by IBRAHIM ISHAQ/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • As fighting in Sudan rages, Russia’s primary goal is to ensure authoritarian rule

    Although Russia has vested interests in the Burhan-Hemedti conflict, it is unlikely to actively pursue a blanket destabilization strategy in Sudan. Instead, it is likely to balance close ties with both warring parties and continue actively opposing a democratic transition in Sudan.

    May 3, 2023

    The Turkish Elections and the Future of Northwest Syria: Scenarios and Policy Implications
    Photo by Murat Kocabas/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Turkish Elections and the Future of Northwest Syria: Scenarios and Policy Implications

    The Syrian conflict has had a major impact on Turkey’s internal political discourse, with much of the discussion centering around the conflict itself, Turkey’s role in northern Syria, and the refugee crisis. This paper employs a scenario analysis methodology to explore potential outcomes that may impact Northwestern Syria following the upcoming Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections on May 14.

    May 2, 2023

    The 2023 National Cybersecurity Strategy: How Does America Think About Cyberspace?
    Photo by Celal Gunes/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • The 2023 National Cybersecurity Strategy: How Does America Think About Cyberspace?

    The Biden administration’s National Cybersecurity Strategy, released on March 2, 2023, revamped the U.S. approach to cyberspace and underlined the ways in which the government aims to build a more resilient, defensible, and values-aligned cyberspace. What does the strategy mean and what opportunities might it present for U.S. partners and allies in the Middle East?

    The quantum politics of the Middle East
    Photo by JACK GUEZ/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The quantum politics of the Middle East

    Both historical and modern-day conflicts in the Middle East have all been centered around classical territorial considerations of the loss or recovery of land. Escaping that cycle required a shift away from one of the main root causes of conflict: geography. The current changes in the region, characterized by a significant drive toward de-escalation and a growing willingness to periodically part ways with traditional allies, may be telling symptoms of a profound tectonic shift toward “quantum politics.”

    May 1, 2023

    Tunisia, the IMF, and alternatives
    Photo by Samuel Corum/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Tunisia, the IMF, and alternatives

    President Kais Saied’s statement during a speech on April 6 claiming to reject the conditions, or “diktats” as he called them, that come with a potential loan from the IMF has provoked debate. Reactions to the speech as well as actions taken by Tunisian officials before and after it seem to contradict its intention, causing confusion over whether the deal is still on. Meanwhile, others took the speech as a sign that Tunisia is seriously considering the possibility of alternatives to IMF financing or even a geopolitical reorientation.

    April 28, 2023

    A Reassessment of American Policy Toward Taliban Afghanistan
    Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A Reassessment of American Policy Toward Taliban Afghanistan

    It has been long enough since the Taliban seized power in Afghanistan in August 2021 for us to reach some conclusions about how the regime intends to govern and the policy options this presents. For a variety of reasons the U.S. now finds itself drawn into several areas of policy in Afghanistan and trying to decide what form and degree of engagement with the Taliban government can best advance American interests.

    Getting ahead of the Middle East’s climate refugee conundrum
    Photo by Hazem Turkia/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Getting ahead of the Middle East’s climate refugee conundrum

    Over the coming decades, the worsening effects of climate change will increasingly displace many millions of vulnerable people in the Middle East and North Africa, and many of these refugees will attempt to relocate to the Global North. To avert such a monumental looming problem requires pragmatic solutions and their swift implementation.

    April 26, 2023

    Fish Farmers in the Nile River Delta: Empty Lakes and Dirty Waters
    Photo courtesy: Egypt's National Company for Fisheries and Aquaculture
  • Analysis
  • Fish Farmers in the Nile River Delta: Empty Lakes and Dirty Waters

    Egyptian fish farmers are facing mounting pressures: Year after year, their fish are getting smaller and less healthy, their production decreases, and they are forced to take out loans they are later unable to pay back. The Egyptian government’s recent efforts to invest heavily in aquaculture, though intended to address future food shortages, may only worsen the position of local fish farmers in the Nile Delta by exacerbating the effects of urbanization and climate change while undercutting prices.

    April 25, 2023

    US-Japan relations and the Persian Gulf
    Photo by Toru Hanai/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • US-Japan relations and the Persian Gulf

    When Saudi Arabia suddenly announced in early April that it would reduce its oil production by 500,000 bpd, followed shortly thereafter by several other OPEC+ members, bringing the total cut to 1.1 million bpd, Japan was greatly concerned. In spite of Japan’s serious efforts to work toward a carbon-neutral society, the country is still heavily dependent on oil, the overwhelming majority of which comes from the Persian Gulf.

    April 25, 2023

    ISIS beats back Wagner offensive in central Syria
    Photo by GEORGE OURFALIAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • ISIS beats back Wagner offensive in central Syria

    It has been an accepted fact that ISIS ceased being a territory-controlling entity in Syria after its March 2019 defeat in the town of Baghouz. Yet it is perhaps time to reevaluate this perspective on the group and its insurgent trajectory in the country. While recent massacres of civilians in central Syria have refocused some international attention on the desert region, known as the Badia, the renewed widespread battles between militants and regime security forces that have occurred in parallel to these attacks have gone unnoticed.

    April 21, 2023

    Space sector developments across the GCC
    Photographer: Christopher Pike/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Space sector developments across the GCC

    In the Middle East, the Gulf states — working together and on their own — are looking to achieve new scientific and commercial breakthroughs in various areas of the space industry. These ambitions carry major geopolitical implications with them, as an ever-growing number of spacefaring countries negotiate a sensitive and increasingly high-powered sector.

    April 20, 2023

    Naturalized Syrians are in the spotlight ahead of Turkey’s upcoming elections
    Photo by Valeria Ferraro/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Naturalized Syrians are in the spotlight ahead of Turkey’s upcoming elections

    The most consequential elections in Turkey’s recent history are less than a month away, set to be held on May 14. While the more than 200,000 Syrians who have been granted Turkish citizenship since their arrival in the wake of the Syrian war will not play a significant role in determining the outcome given their numbers, migration is a top campaign issue, putting them at the heart of the vote.

    April 19, 2023

    Perceptible Rhythms/Alternative Temporalities
    Photos by MEI staff
  • Analysis
  • Perceptible Rhythms/Alternative Temporalities

    Composing this bricolage of most frequented places is to identify with the environment. Each of the works in this exhibition strives to enliven such connections by looking anew and afresh. Whether considering the lives lived in the temporal or spatial shadows cast by unrest, migration, and industry, or taking a long view of history or an attentive approach to an immediate setting, new relations are found.

    April 17, 2023

    The judicial “reform” will make things worse, but Israel’s Supreme Court has long failed Palestinian citizens
    Photo by Matan Golan/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The judicial “reform” will make things worse, but Israel’s Supreme Court has long failed Palestinian citizens

    Over the past several months, the eyes of the world have been on the massive demonstrations in Israel against the Netanyahu government’s proposed judicial “reform.” Even though Palestinian citizens of Israel are likely to be the group most affected by the proposed changes, they have been notable for their absence, for the most part, from the protests. While Jewish citizens are worried about what the proposed changes might mean for Israel’s judiciary and the future of its democracy, the Supreme Court and the legal system more broadly have long failed to protect the rights of the country’s Palestinian citizens.

    April 17, 2023