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The dilemma of public sector salary payments in Yemen
Photo by Stringer/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The dilemma of public sector salary payments in Yemen

    Amid international efforts to resurrect the fragile peace in Yemen, the Iran-backed Houthi militia is imposing stringent conditions for their return to the negotiating table, demanding that state payments of civil servant salaries also go to their militia members and loyalists through direct deposits, which would bolster both their forces and their transnational allies. While the need to compensate Yemeni civil servants is undeniable, the Houthis’ self-serving demands threaten to undermine any progress toward a lasting peace.

    February 23, 2023

    Challenges of mechanized and combined arms warfare: Lessons for Ukraine from Syria and Iraq
    RAMZI HAIDAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Challenges of mechanized and combined arms warfare: Lessons for Ukraine from Syria and Iraq

    The difficulty of quickly providing mechanized and armored equipment to Ukraine, training Ukraine to employ this equipment in combined arms operations, and ensuring Ukraine can maintain and sustain combat power should not be underestimated. As the examples of Turkey’s 2016 military operation in Syria and the U.S. operation in Fallujah in 2004 illustrate, dislodging Russia from its prepared defensive positions will be a daunting task for the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

    February 22, 2023

    As great power competition in the Middle East heats up, polling data shows a complex picture of popular attitudes
    Photo by Islam Safwat/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • As great power competition in the Middle East heats up, polling data shows a complex picture of popular attitudes

    The Middle East and North Africa is one of the epicenters for what the U.S. has termed “great power competition” especially between the U.S. and China, although Russia also figures into the assessment. There is particular sensitivity to China’s perceived economic inroads into the region as it has surged to become its largest economic partner. Based on Arab Barometer’s Wave 7 raw favorability numbers, China’s increased presence in the region appears to have paid dividends in terms of its popular standing, especially in North Africa.

    February 21, 2023

    Iraq needs renewables, but they won’t solve its power problems without broader reforms
    Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iraq needs renewables, but they won’t solve its power problems without broader reforms

    Despite massive hydrocarbon reserves, Iraq struggles with chronic electricity shortages. There is a clear need to explore cleaner alternatives, such as renewable energy systems, yet the deployment and integration of these systems would be hindered by the same structural woes that have crippled the electricity sector, and which go far beyond generation issues.

    February 21, 2023

    After Oil-for-Security: A Blueprint for Resetting US-Saudi Security Relations
    Photo credit: FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • After Oil-for-Security: A Blueprint for Resetting US-Saudi Security Relations

    Although U.S.-Saudi bilateral ties are on the mend, ambiguities and the transactional nature of the 1945 oil-for-security covenant contribute to mistrust and tensions. The burden of fixing or stabilizing the relationship is a shared responsibility. It’s time for Washington and Riyadh to reconfigure their security ties in accordance with new U.S. geopolitical priorities and new Saudi defense requirements. This report lays out such a process.

    February 17, 2023

    Tracking water resources from space: Challenges for the MENA region
    Julian Herzog/NASA via Wikimedia Commons
  • Analysis
  • Tracking water resources from space: Challenges for the MENA region

    In the Middle East and North Africa, water is a scarce resource with uneven distribution, resulting in geo-environmental problems at the national level and conflicts between countries that share access to key rivers and water resources that straddle state borders. The stress on the region’s limited water resources is exacerbated by an increasing reliance on groundwater. In such context, monitoring precipitation — the sole renewable water source — is essential yet also challenging. But space-based monitoring can provide a promising technological solution.

    February 15, 2023

    Citizen priorities on the environment and climate change in MENA
    hoto by Mahmoud Elkhwas/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Citizen priorities on the environment and climate change in MENA

    The results of the seventh wave survey from Arab Barometer shed light on regional perspectives on issues of climate change, water resources, and the environment. Here are five key takeaways gleaned from the survey results.

    February 14, 2023

    The geopolitics of energy transition in MENA: Mitigating risks, exploring new opportunities
    Photo by VCG/VCG via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The geopolitics of energy transition in MENA: Mitigating risks, exploring new opportunities

    Energy remains at the heart of the geopolitical chessboard. Despite recent advances in the development of renewable energy sources, their share in the energy mix remains limited as oil still meets most of the transportation sector’s needs. The development of renewable energies is not yet able to drastically change this reality.

    February 14, 2023

    Turkey’s government is prioritizing politics over policy in its earthquake response
    Photo by Murat Saka / dia images via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s government is prioritizing politics over policy in its earthquake response

    As researcher Dilek Türközü noted, “Geography is destiny, but negligence is a choice.” There was no avoiding tragedy; earthquakes are common in Turkey and the next “big one” is always somewhere on the horizon. The earthquake that shook Turkey and Syria this past week was shocking in its scale; but it was a danger that everyone knew was coming. Unfortunately, Ankara’s response continues to be undermined by its own focus on political loyalty and its lack of tolerance for criticism.

    February 13, 2023

    Already vulnerable, Turkey’s economy now faces massive earthquake recovery costs
    Photo by Ozkan Bilgin/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Already vulnerable, Turkey’s economy now faces massive earthquake recovery costs

    After a difficult year, things finally seemed to be looking up for Turkey’s beleaguered economy in early 2023. But then on Feb. 6 the worst happened: Turkey and Syria were hit by a pair of massive earthquakes, resulting in tens of thousands of deaths and untold damage. How did Turkey’s economy stabilize in second-half 2022, what do we know about the economic impact of the earthquakes, and where might things be headed going forward?

    February 13, 2023

    Iranian APTs: An overview
    In this photo illustration, a hacker with an Anonymous mask on his face and a hood on his head uses a computer on December 27, 2019 in Paris, France. In IT security, a hacker is an IT specialist, who is looking for ways to bypass software and hardware protections. Hackers are generally intelligent programmers who seek to manipulate or modify a computer system or network. (Photo by Chesnot/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Iranian APTs: An overview

    Who are the cyber threat actors experts have identified in Iran?

    February 10, 2023

    Egyptian government walks risky economic tightrope to fulfill its loan conditions to IMF
    Islam Safwat/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Egyptian government walks risky economic tightrope to fulfill its loan conditions to IMF

    As a condition of its $3 billion loan from the IMF, the Egyptian Central Bank confirmed its pledge to maintain a durably flexible exchange rate. The Egyptian pound quickly and sharply dropped, but economists are cautiously optimistic that Egypt can sustain the current crisis and repay its debts. The government is walking a tight rope, attempting to raise revenues and attract investments without exacerbating the tough living conditions at home.

    February 9, 2023

    The Middle East in an era of great tech competition
    Photo by KARIM SAHIB/AFP
  • Analysis
  • The Middle East in an era of great tech competition

    With the acute impacts of US-Chinese global tech decoupling becoming clearer, MENA is slowly emerging as an important region to watch. Economic and geopolitical ties with the West have long dictated the shape of the region’s digital environment, but more recent great power competition and Middle Eastern countries’ pursuit of economic and technological sovereignty have slowly deconstructed these dynamics.