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Five things the United States knew about the Nakba as it unfolded
Photo by George Nemeh (CC BY-SA 3.0 License). Pictures From History/Universal Images Group via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Five things the United States knew about the Nakba as it unfolded

    An estimated 750,000 Palestinians were either driven from their homes or fled during the Nakba in 1948. To counter attempts at Nakba denial and “memoricide” by U.S. politicians and others, it is instructive to review the archives of U.S. diplomats stationed in Palestine and surrounding Arab countries who witnessed the Nakba unfold and reported back on the magnitude and gravity of Israel’s dispossession of Palestine’s indigenous inhabitants.

    May 13, 2022

    Iran’s renewed focus on shared gas fields
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s renewed focus on shared gas fields

    Making the most of Iran’s reserves will require it to develop shared fields like Dorra/Arash, a gas field located offshore in the northern Gulf, where Iran must vie with competing claims from neighboring Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. In the past, Iran has often neglected its joint gas fields as a result of sanctions and focused instead on meeting its rapidly growing domestic needs through exploiting non-shared fields, but the country says this must change going forward.

    May 12, 2022

    Israel’s fight to define the right matters for US security
    Photo by MENAHEM KAHANA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israel’s fight to define the right matters for US security

    The Israeli government is in the midst of a fight to define what it means to be on the “right” politically in Israel, and this has important implications for U.S. security policy in the Middle East. The United States’ support for Israel is a defining pillar in its Middle East policy, and the decisions made by this fragile Israeli government could have ramifications that affect the security landscape of the entire region. There are small policy shifts the U.S. can make now to lessen the security impacts of those changes.

    May 12, 2022

    The CMF-153: Rebuilding US-GCC confidence through maritime security
  • Analysis
  • The CMF-153: Rebuilding US-GCC confidence through maritime security

    Efforts to restore confidence between the U.S. and the Arab Gulf states took a first step with the recent formation of a new naval task force, known as the Combined Maritime Forces-153 (CMF-153), to improve maritime security in the Red Sea, Bab el-Mandeb, and the Gulf of Aden, including the hotspot of Yemen. Established in mid-April, the new task force intends to target weapons smuggling for Ansar Allah, as the Houthi militias are officially known, as well as human trafficking and the drug trade.

    May 11, 2022

    Bad policy advice could lead to a catastrophe for Iran’s public economy
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Bad policy advice could lead to a catastrophe for Iran’s public economy

    Iran began the new fiscal year on March 21, 2022 having recorded an estimated GDP growth rate of about 4% over the previous year, but CPI has grown by 35% year-on-year. While GDP growth could be the result of the stabilization of the economy after several years of recession, a steady rate of high inflation is alarming for Iran’s economy.

    May 10, 2022

    Pushed over the edge: Political and military dynamics at the Afghanistan-Pakistan border
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pushed over the edge: Political and military dynamics at the Afghanistan-Pakistan border

    Frequent and violent border clashes have created political tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan. This may surprise observers, since Afghanistan is being ruled by the Afghan Taliban, long supported by Pakistan’s security establishment. Recent incidents illustrate, however, that while the interests of Pakistan and its clients in Kabul may often converge they are hardly identical. Divergent political ideologies, national histories and strategic aims are driving them apart on many crucial issues.

    May 9, 2022

    Europe’s role in Gulf maritime security
    Photo by EMASOH
  • Analysis
  • Europe’s role in Gulf maritime security

    In February 2022, the Council of the European Union gathered in Brussels to discuss the extension of the Coordinated Maritime Presence (CMP) concept to the North-Western Indian Ocean. Its decisions constituted a rare consensus among E.U. member states that Gulf maritime security is a strategic interest for Europe as a whole.

    May 9, 2022

    Egypt’s Synergy Between Natural Gas and Green Energy Transition: Cairo’s Advances in LNG and Green Hydrogen are Shaping the COP 27 Agenda
    Photo by Oliver Weiken/picture alliance via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Egypt’s Synergy Between Natural Gas and Green Energy Transition: Cairo’s Advances in LNG and Green Hydrogen are Shaping the COP 27 Agenda

    Egypt’s energy policy is helping to change the terms of the global debate on climate change by demonstrating that there is a basic compatibility between developing domestic natural gas resources and developing renewable energy sources. Disproving the dogma that natural gas and renewables are in a zero-sum competition, Egypt is advancing as a leader in renewable energy development while also increasing its offshore natural gas production capacity.

    What’s driving Mansour Abbas and Ra’am’s strategy?
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What’s driving Mansour Abbas and Ra’am’s strategy?

    The United Arab List (Ra’am) political party and its chairperson, Knesset Member Mansour Abbas, have come under fire recently from Hamas Gaza head Yahya Sinwar and other Palestinian leaders for supporting Israel’s governing coalition, particularly in light of the violence at al-Aqsa Mosque over the past month. What accounts for the party’s position and what is it hoping to achieve?

    May 5, 2022

    Iran, Turkey, and the future of the South Caucasus
    Photo by Fatih Aktas/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran, Turkey, and the future of the South Caucasus

    Since late September 2021, Tehran and Baku have engaged in a process of de-escalation, largely focused on economic cooperation and regional transportation links. Such efforts should be welcomed, but underlying geopolitical tensions, especially the Iranian-Turkish competition for influence in the South Caucasus, can still derail them at any moment.

    Iran’s Revolutionary Guard and the Rising Cult of Mahdism: Missiles and Militias for the Apocalypse
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Revolutionary Guard and the Rising Cult of Mahdism: Missiles and Militias for the Apocalypse

    As the U.S. administration considers whether to remove Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a foreign terrorist organization, understanding its nature, development, and ideology is essential to making an informed decision. There is much about it that differentiates it from a conventional armed force. One fundamental aspect of its ideology that until now has been overlooked is the doctrine of Mahdism.

    May 3, 2022

    How can Putin save face in Russia?
    Photo by YEVGENY BIYATOV/Sputnik/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How can Putin save face in Russia?

    As the conventional war in Ukraine continues and military operations intensify, Russian President Vladimir Putin is wrestling with the need to maintain his fight in Ukraine while demonstrating to the Russian people that he is winning in the following three key areas: land, security, and identity.

    May 3, 2022

    Iran is learning from Russia’s use of missiles in Ukraine
    Photo by Stringer/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran is learning from Russia’s use of missiles in Ukraine

    Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has turned into the largest testing ground for ballistic and cruise missiles in modern warfare. Militaries around the world are watching carefully, and Iran is certainly no exception. With its military doctrine heavily dependent on ballistic missile forces, Iran has a particular interest in the war in Ukraine and is taking notes on Russia’s use of missiles.

    May 2, 2022

    We cannot ignore Syria’s emergence as a narco-state
    Photo by FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • We cannot ignore Syria’s emergence as a narco-state

    Syria has emerged in recent years as a narco-state of regional and possibly global significance. Having destroyed much of the country, crippled the national economy, and reduced itself to pariah status, Syria’s regime and core components of its security apparatus have fronted a secretive industrial complex for the manufacture of a popular amphetamine known as Captagon.

    Tunisia’s food shortages shine a spotlight on its core economic failings
    Photo by ANIS MILI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Tunisia’s food shortages shine a spotlight on its core economic failings

    President Kais Saied’s war on speculation is attempting to direct the focus of people’s anger about food shortages onto speculators. A recent emergency importation of grain has stayed off the emptying of shelves, but as the country’s treasury empties and eventually products begin to disappear from stores again, the people’s patience and faith in his new political project will wear very thin. For now, he is profiting from national exhaustion, but how long till hunger becomes anger and anger becomes a movement?

    April 28, 2022