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سورية التي أسست للخلاف بين قوات فاغنر والحكومة الروسية
Photo by STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • سورية التي أسست للخلاف بين قوات فاغنر والحكومة الروسية

    لم يكن تمرد مجموعات فاغنر العسكرية على الحكومة الروسية ووزارة الدفاع وقادتها العسكريين مفاجئاً، خاصة في الفترة الأخيرة من الحرب الروسية الأوكرانية مع الظهور المستمر لزعيم تلك القوات يفغيني بريغوجين، الذي تكرر ظهوره خلال الأشهر الماضية منتفداً تارة ومهدداً تارةً أخرى للقادة العسكريين الروس، بسبب ما قال إنه نقص في الذخيرة والمعدات المقدمة لقواته على جبهات أوكرانية وخاصة باخموت، ما تسبب بمقتل العشرات من قواته على مدار الفترة الماضية.

    Syria is where the conflict between Wagner and the Russian government began
    Photo by STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Syria is where the conflict between Wagner and the Russian government began

    The conflict between the Wagner Group and the Russian government was not born out of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, though the war there caused the rift to widen and tensions to explode publicly in the form of an armed rebellion. Instead, the discord actually started in Syria back in 2017 and has intensified since then.

    Regional Environmental Cooperation Between Israel and Its Neighbors
    Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Regional Environmental Cooperation Between Israel and Its Neighbors

    As environmental challenges become a priority for countries across the Middle East and the Mediterranean, this creates new opportunities for regional environmental cooperation, including between Israel and its neighbors. Despite being limited in scope and facing several key obstacles, regional cooperative endeavors are taking place, including on both the bilateral and multilateral levels, and efforts to sustain and expand them are underway. This new report, written under the auspices of the Israel Climate Forum, addresses the importance of regional environmental cooperation in the Middle East and Mediterranean, examines the scope of such cooperation between Israel and its neighbors, and spells out opportunities, obstacles, and recommendations for increased coordination and joint action, including the role the U.S. and Europe can play.

    July 13, 2023

    What Syrian civil society should do next
    Photo courtesy Lars Hauch
  • Analysis
  • What Syrian civil society should do next

    Following two years of preparation, the Syrian Madaniya (“Civil”) initiative held its inaugural conference with over 180 participating organizations. To claim a political role, Madaniya needs a program and a partner. The natural partner for this endeavor is the Syrian Negotiation Commission.

    July 12, 2023

    Mastering the growing crisis in the South Caucasus: A role for the West and Turkey
    Photo by Celal Güneş/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Mastering the growing crisis in the South Caucasus: A role for the West and Turkey

    The South Caucasus region needs a clear push from the West to ensure its long-term stability and achieve a pro-Western orientation. But no lasting solutions in this space will be possible until there is an end to the war in Ukraine that fulfills the interests of both Ukraine itself and the broader West. The United States and the European Union, in cooperation with other key players — foremost Turkey — must showcase greater determination, flexibility, and coordination when it comes to their policies toward the region.

    July 10, 2023

    Coercive deprivation: Unraveling the Assad regime’s policy on domestic reconstruction
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Coercive deprivation: Unraveling the Assad regime’s policy on domestic reconstruction

    Since the early years of the Syrian conflict, the Assad regime has systematically diverted local resources dedicated for reconstruction purposes to rehabilitate facilities in areas and sectors that benefit it and its inner circle, as well as placed the burden of rehabilitating properties onto Syrians themselves. To finance this policy, the regime has exploited four key resources, including imposing multiple reconstruction taxes, diverting U.N. and INGO early recovery and rehabilitation projects, capitalizing on local-led crowdfunding campaigns, and forcing Syrians to bear the cost of repairing their own damaged properties.

    Georgia the interconnector — but where’s Washington?
    Photo by Turkish Presidency/Murat Cetinmuhurdar/Handout/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Georgia the interconnector — but where’s Washington?

    For the sake of safeguarding transatlantic — and thus also American — security interests in the South Caucasus, it is becoming increasingly imperative that the United States better anchor itself economically, politically, and militarily in the eastern Black Sea region, especially strategically placed Georgia.

    July 7, 2023

    Lessons from Syria's aid response: The case for continued cross-border operations
    Photo by AHMAD AL-ATRASH/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Lessons from Syria's aid response: The case for continued cross-border operations

    Another United Nations Security Council (UNSC) vote on continuing the resolution that allows Syria’s cross-border aid delivery is due in July, but the regime’s use of “consent” to allow an extra two crossings from Turkey into the area could be used to undermine the resolution’s necessity, which would risk destabilizing the conflict along with it. Twelve years of hard-won lessons show that until there is a broader political agreement with clear guardrails and guarantees, only a UNSC resolution that permits unimpeded humanitarian access to northwest Syria can secure the critical and consistent operational space required to meet the region’s growing needs as articulated by the NGOs working in the area. 

    How the rumble in Russia reverberates around the Middle East
    Photo by STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How the rumble in Russia reverberates around the Middle East

    It is too early to tell whether the Wagner “uprising” is a one-off or foreshadows further cracks and the eventual collapse of Putin’s presidency, but the latter outcome would have lasting consequences in the MENA region.

    June 26, 2023

    A new era for the Turkish economy?
    Photo by ADEM ALTAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A new era for the Turkish economy?

    Turkey’s new economic team may take a more hawkish tone when it comes to tackling inflation and preserving financial stability through fiscal and monetary measures. However, investors and policymakers should not be naïve, as this approach will only be temporary or partial, aimed at winning the upcoming local elections.

    June 21, 2023

    Amid calls for refugee returns, Assad’s property grab continues
    Photo credit GEORGE OURFALIAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Amid calls for refugee returns, Assad’s property grab continues

    While calls for the immediate return of Syrian refugees have increased at the regional and international levels, it is imperative to closely examine the direct link between the regime’s policy of property confiscation and the possibility of refugee returns. Property confiscation does not only impact the direct owners and their immediate families’ livelihoods but also hinders the ability of thousands of displaced Syrians to return while leading those who still reside under regime rule to consider migration.