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Protracted conflict on Yemen’s island of Socotra reflects rival geopolitical ambitions
Photo by Sylvain CORDIER/Gamma-Rapho via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Protracted conflict on Yemen’s island of Socotra reflects rival geopolitical ambitions

    On April 30, roughly a week after the Southern Transitional Council (STC) declared self-administration in Aden, a military confrontation broke out on the remote Yemeni island of Socotra between members of the STC and government forces. After just a few days, the situation was diffused when the island’s governor and the STC asked the Saudis to intervene. Although an agreement was reached quickly, it is likely to be fragile because the causes of the conflict are not entirely local. The island of Socotra is simply too important to multiple international players that are not willing to let it easily slip outside their sphere of influence.

    May 8, 2020

    Qatar plots its AI future
    Photo by Valery SharifulinTASS via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Qatar plots its AI future

    In an effort to boost its economic competitiveness, Qatar is hedging its bets on emerging technologies. The Gulf sheikhdom, eager to diversify its gas-dependent economy, is cultivating various technological areas, notably artificial intelligence (AI).

    April 16, 2020

    COVID-19, the oil price war, and the remaking of the Middle East
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • COVID-19, the oil price war, and the remaking of the Middle East

    The Middle East is facing an unexpected turning point. The region will not look the same after COVID-19 as it did before it. The geoeconomics and geopolitics of the world are in free fall because of COVID-19, the oil price war, and a severe economic shutdown. For the Middle East and the Gulf monarchies in particular, the oil price war against Russia and U.S. shale and the shutdown of economies around the world have increased the pressure on the Gulf’s already-depleted financial resources, which usually act as a safety valve for the turbulent region.

    Qatar’s $5 billion bond issue
    Photo by David Ramos - FIFA/FIFA via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Qatar’s $5 billion bond issue

    Cratering demand for Qatar’s main exports has reduced its income to a fraction of what it was last year, but its nest egg is held in very illiquid assets.

    April 6, 2020

    COVID-19 and Iran’s misplaced priorities
  • Analysis
  • COVID-19 and Iran’s misplaced priorities

    COVID-19 is undoubtedly the biggest health crisis in our lifetime. Pundits around the world, but also a long list of policymakers from Washington to Abu Dhabi to Beijing, wonder about the long-term implications of this deadly pandemic. While there is plenty of speculation about how this crisis might re-balance global power dynamics, other foreign policy implications are more immediately tangible. In the case of the Middle East, the swift support shown by the UAE towards Iran, the most affected country in the region, has been refreshing.

    Qatar’s soft power sports diplomacy
    This picture taken with a fish-eye lens on December 17, 2019 shows a view inside Qatar's new al-Bayt Stadium in the capital Doha, which will host matches of the FIFA football World Cup 2022. (Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE / AFP) (Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Qatar’s soft power sports diplomacy

    Sports diplomacy is the deliberate, strategic use of sporting events by states to create a favorable international image — the “continuation of policy by other means,” whereby sports, nationalism, commerce, and diplomacy are inextricably linked.

    March 9, 2020

    The UAE may have withdrawn from Yemen, but its influence remains strong
    Fighters with the UAE-trained Security Belt Forces loyal to the pro-independence Southern Transitional Council (STC) man a checkpoint near the south-central coastal city of Zinjibar in south-central Yemen, in the Abyan Governorate, on August 21, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • The UAE may have withdrawn from Yemen, but its influence remains strong

    On Feb. 9, 2020, after five years of involvement in Yemen’s civil war as part of the Saudi-led coalition, the UAE’s leadership celebrated the completion of its phased military withdrawal from the country in a ceremony at Zayed Military City. Although the UAE’s withdrawal has provided an exit strategy from the stalemate in Yemen, it neither suspends Abu Dhabi’s role in the coalition nor curtails Emirati influence on the ground.

    February 25, 2020

    From Stockholm to Riyadh: Breaking the Yemen peace process deadlock
    Rebel negotiator Mohammed Abdelsalam (C) holds a press conference together with members of the delegation following the peace consultations taking place at Johannesberg Castle in Rimbo, north of Stockholm, Sweden, on December 13, 2018. - Yemen's government and rebels have agreed to a ceasefire in flashpoint Hodeida, where the United Nations will now play a central role, the UN chief said. (Photo by Jonathan NACKSTRAND / AFP) (Photo credit should read JONATHAN NACKSTRAND/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • From Stockholm to Riyadh: Breaking the Yemen peace process deadlock

    Over the past 14 months, there have been moments when it seemed like progress was being made toward de-escalation in Yemen, but there have also been significant setbacks as well. Peace efforts thus far have been largely fragmented and frail, and two primary lessons from the past failures have become clear.

    February 13, 2020

    The intra-GCC competition over the Palestinian heart
    Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas (L) meets Saudi Arabian King Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud (R) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on October 15, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • The intra-GCC competition over the Palestinian heart

    Since 2017 three separate blocs have emerged within the Gulf. Driven by the region’s divisions, rival power centers, and conflicting interests, the Gulf states are playing an ever-greater role in Palestinian affairs.

    December 18, 2019

    The Gulf looks over the cliff and retreats
     Saudi Arabian King Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud chairs the 40th Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) annual summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on December 10, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • The Gulf looks over the cliff and retreats

    The steps the Saudis have taken in 2019 may help to ease international pressure on the kingdom’s leadership and restore its image as a constructive player in the world.

    December 16, 2019

    Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states
  • Analysis
  • Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states

    The subject of extensive international interest and attention over the past few years, blockchain technology is regarded as a key component of the fourth industrial revolution. This article seeks to shed light on the use of blockchain technology in the Gulf states by analyzing current trends of blockchain adoption in the region compared to those internationally. In so doing, it will determine Gulf institutions’ capacity for keeping pace with the changes and developments blockchain adoption has introduced.

    December 10, 2019