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Moving to a post-Khamenei era: The role of the Assembly of Experts
Photo by IRANIAN LEADER PRESS OFFICE/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Moving to a post-Khamenei era: The role of the Assembly of Experts

    On March 1, 2024, the Islamic Republic of Iran will hold elections for the sixth term of the Assembly of Experts. The major responsibility of this 88-member body is to designate the future supreme leader after the current leader’s death or when he becomes incapable of fulfilling the position’s responsibilities. What role might the Assembly play in a future succession process?

    January 31, 2024

    What does Israel want to see come out of US mediation efforts on Israel-Lebanon?
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What does Israel want to see come out of US mediation efforts on Israel-Lebanon?

    The weeks ahead are crucial for Israel and Lebanon and will likely indicate whether a broader confrontation between Israel and Hezbollah can be avoided diplomatically or if it is inevitable. Israeli officials have called on Lebanon and the world to deliver a solution; but in practice, Israeli eyes are set on Washington, DC.

    January 26, 2024

    The ideological underpinnings of the Houthis’ Red Sea attacks
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The ideological underpinnings of the Houthis’ Red Sea attacks

    The Houthis’ attacks in the Red Sea are a manifestation of their ideology, rooted in Islamic fundamentalism. Today, aligned with Iran’s “Axis of Resistance,” this ideology aims to expel the US from the Middle East, destroy Israel, and institute a worldwide Islamic Caliphate with Jerusalem at its core. The following analysis delves into the ideological framework that propels the Houthis’ actions in the Red Sea and its broader implications.

    What it means when nine nations bomb in the Middle East in two weeks
    Photo by Ammar Ghali/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • What it means when nine nations bomb in the Middle East in two weeks

    Nine nations, including terrorist groups that are de facto governments, have attacked other countries in the region over the course of about two weeks. Numerous commentators have drawn the conclusion that a regional war is already underway or soon will be.

    January 21, 2024

    Managing US Relations with Pakistan in Uncertain Times: Obstacles and Opportunities
    Photo by RIZWAN TABASSUM/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Managing US Relations with Pakistan in Uncertain Times: Obstacles and Opportunities

    With the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, America’s bilateral relationship with Pakistan may have come to hold less priority. If it was thought, however, that the U.S. could afford to largely turn its back on Pakistan and its region, it has instead become increasingly evident that American strategic interests and other concerns demand continued attention and involvement. It is imperative that American policymakers take a longer view when it comes to dealing with Pakistan, especially at a time when great power competition is intensifying across South Asia. It is in the interest of both the U.S. and Pakistan to develop a mutually beneficial and sustainable relationship.

    January 19, 2024

    Dutch support for allied anti-Houthi airstrikes: Shared objectives with a pinch of opportunism
    U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Zachary Elmore
  • Analysis
  • Dutch support for allied anti-Houthi airstrikes: Shared objectives with a pinch of opportunism

    When the United States and the United Kingdom decided to strike Houthi targets inside Yemen to stop the group from launching attacks on commercial shipping in the Red Sea, most European allies did not want to get involved in the operation. The sole exception was the Netherlands, which grabbed the opportunity to step forward and show its willingness to provide not only political but also military support, albeit largely symbolic.

    January 18, 2024

    The Plight of Deported Afghans
  • Commentary
  • The Plight of Deported Afghans

    The unrelenting season of forced homecoming continues for Afghans who had sought refuge in neighboring countries in the past. Thousands of Afghan refugees have been forcefully relocated from countries like Pakistan, Iran, Turkey, and Tajikistan, back into Afghanistan. In a country where the current set of rulers has had little to offer other than regressive policies over the past 29 months to its citizens, these men, women, and children will find it difficult even to survive without an immediate increase in international attention and assistance.

    January 18, 2024

    Iranian youth and the protest movement in 2023: Drivers and limitations
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Iranian youth and the protest movement in 2023: Drivers and limitations

    Since the height of the protests in 2022, the government cracked down with a new degree of severity on the protesters, reducing their numbers on the street. Many leave if they can. Those who stay have adopted less visible shows of political and social dissatisfaction against the regime’s aggression.

    January 16, 2024

    US options to counter Houthi threat to global shipping
    Photo by UK Ministry of Defence/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • US options to counter Houthi threat to global shipping

    Overnight US and UK strikes on Thursday delivered a strong message to the Houthis: their attacks on global shipping in the Red Sea will not go unpunished.

    January 12, 2024

    The Houthis, Iran, and tensions in the Red Sea
    Photo by MOHAMMED HUWAIS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Houthis, Iran, and tensions in the Red Sea

    Ansar Allah, the Yemen-based militant group commonly referred to as the Houthis, is arguably the latest and largest addition to the Iran-led Axis of Resistance. Present tensions in the Red Sea illustrate both the utility of the Houthis for Tehran’s anti-American and anti-Israel regional agenda as well as the challenges their actions can create for the Iranians.

    Houthis see domestic and regional benefit to continued Red Sea attacks
    Photo by Houthi Movement via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Houthis see domestic and regional benefit to continued Red Sea attacks

    Since the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas conflict in October, Yemen’s Houthi rebels have sought means to capitalize on the war in Gaza to raise their profile, enhance their pan-Arab legitimacy, and burnish their credentials both domestically and in the region. In their effort to insert themselves into the Gaza conflict, the Houthis believe their actions will strengthen their support base at home while also cementing their movement more firmly into the Iranian “Axis of Resistance.”

    January 11, 2024