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Foreign policy and commercial interests drive closer UAE-Syria ties
The United Arab Emirates embassy is pictured in the Syrian capital Damascus on December 27, 2018 after its reopening, the latest sign of efforts to bring the Syrian government back into the Arab fold
  • Analysis
  • Foreign policy and commercial interests drive closer UAE-Syria ties

    On Dec. 2, a series of public statements from Emirati and Syrian officials brought widespread attention to the UAE’s rapprochement with Syria. In a video circulated by Russian state media outlet RT, the UAE’s charge d’affaires in Syria, Abdul-Hakim Naimi, praised the “wise leadership” of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and hailed the Syria-UAE relationship as “solid, distinct, and strong.” Syrian Deputy Foreign Minister Faisal Mekdad responded enthusiastically to Naimi’s comments by praising the UAE for standing by the Syrian government in its war against terrorism.

    January 21, 2020

    Where will Iran hit next? Cyber
    A billboard bearing a portrait with the black mourning ribbon of slain Iranian military commander Qasem Soleimani (L) and Iraqi paramilitary chief Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis hangs on a main road in the Iranian capital Tehran on January 4, 2020, one day after Soleimani and other members of the pro-Iranian Iraqi paramilitary group Al-Hashed Al-Shaabi were killed in a US air strike near Baghdad international airport.
  • Analysis
  • Where will Iran hit next? Cyber

    Following the recent escalation in U.S.-Iran tensions, the threat of Iranian cyberattacks is likely to intensify in the near to medium term. There are three possible fronts where Iran might look to carry out cyber operations: targeting the energy infrastructure of America’s Gulf allies; deploying malware against U.S. private sector companies; and launching disinformation campaigns that would aim to influence public opinion in both the Middle East and the U.S. 

    Oman’s new era
    Vice President of Turkey Fuat Oktay offers his condolences to Oman's new Sultan Haitham bin Tariq Al Said over the death of longtime ruler Qaboos bin Said al Said at the Al Alam Palace in Muscat, Oman on January 12, 2020.
  • Analysis
  • Oman’s new era

    The announcement of Sultan Qaboos bin Said al-Said’s passing on Jan. 10 marked the end of an era. Now that the Arab world lost its longest-serving leader, none of the Gulf states has a ruler that was on the throne when the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) was established in 1981. Most Omanis have never known another leader and this transition period, marked by three days of mourning, is an emotional time for those in the sultanate.

    January 13, 2020

    The intra-GCC competition over the Palestinian heart
    Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas (L) meets Saudi Arabian King Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud (R) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on October 15, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • The intra-GCC competition over the Palestinian heart

    Since 2017 three separate blocs have emerged within the Gulf. Driven by the region’s divisions, rival power centers, and conflicting interests, the Gulf states are playing an ever-greater role in Palestinian affairs.

    December 18, 2019

    The Gulf looks over the cliff and retreats
     Saudi Arabian King Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud chairs the 40th Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) annual summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on December 10, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • The Gulf looks over the cliff and retreats

    The steps the Saudis have taken in 2019 may help to ease international pressure on the kingdom’s leadership and restore its image as a constructive player in the world.

    December 16, 2019

    Georgia through a Middle East lens
    This aerial photograph taken on September 22, 2018, shows The River Kura (Mtkvari) in the Georgian capital Tbilisi.
  • Analysis
  • Georgia through a Middle East lens

    Given their territorial proximity, the regional actors of the Middle East have always had an interest in Georgia and the South Caucasus as a window to Europe. The collapse of the Soviet Union brought an end to Georgia’s isolation, and in the years since the country has gradually started reclaiming its historical role as a cultural and economic crossroads between Asia, the Middle East, and Europe.

    December 16, 2019

    Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states
  • Analysis
  • Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states

    The subject of extensive international interest and attention over the past few years, blockchain technology is regarded as a key component of the fourth industrial revolution. This article seeks to shed light on the use of blockchain technology in the Gulf states by analyzing current trends of blockchain adoption in the region compared to those internationally. In so doing, it will determine Gulf institutions’ capacity for keeping pace with the changes and developments blockchain adoption has introduced.

    December 10, 2019

    Could a gas cartel become as powerful as OPEC?
  • Analysis
  • Could a gas cartel become as powerful as OPEC?

    The 12-country Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF), which held its latest meeting in Equatorial Guinea on Nov. 28, has never had OPEC’s ability to control energy prices, but that is likely to change as liquefied natural gas (LNG) transforms the gas market from a regional to a global one.  

    December 6, 2019

    Traces of the 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque still roil the Middle East today
     Muslim pilgrims gather at the Grand Mosque in Saudi Arabia's holy city of Mecca on August 7, 2019, prior to the start of the annual Hajj pilgrimage in the holy city.
  • Commentary
  • Traces of the 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque still roil the Middle East today

    Four decades on, echoes of the November 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque in Mecca continue to reverberate. Coming on the heels of the Iranian revolution and days after the Iran hostage-taking, the Mecca attack, carried out by a group of several hundred Saudi extremist Islamists declaring a new Mahdi, shocked the Sunni world and pushed Muslims in a far more conservative direction.

    November 20, 2019

    Why Doha should worry: The case for an Iran-Qatar non-aggression pact
    Westbay as seen from the corniche on 20 October 2018 after heavy rainfall, Doha, Qatar.
  • Analysis
  • Why Doha should worry: The case for an Iran-Qatar non-aggression pact

    Fears of a large-scale war in the Middle East remain heightened as the U.S. continues ratcheting up sanctions against Iran while Tehran takes measures to scale back its restrictive commitments under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). The latest sign of Iranian retaliation against the U.S. withdrawal from the 2015 nuclear accord was its decision, confirmed by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on Nov. 11, to begin refining uranium at its Fordow underground enrichment facility.

    November 20, 2019

    The Saudi Aramco IPO: Short-term success, long-term loss
    A picture taken on November 3, 2019 shows a sign of Saudi Aramco's initial public offering (IPO) during a press conference by the state company in the eastern Saudi Arabian region of Dhahran.
  • Commentary
  • The Saudi Aramco IPO: Short-term success, long-term loss

    The Saudi Aramco IPO got started this Sunday morning with shares priced at SAR 30-32 ($8-8.50) each, valuing the company at $1.7 trillion, $300 billion below the original estimate. The lower valuation has been expected for some time by most investment banks and many financial analysts. The proceeds are expected to fund the Public Investment Fund’s forays into non-energy-based companies, advanced technologies, and even robot-filled cities.

    November 18, 2019