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Bahrain’s Elections and the Opposition
  • Analysis
  • Bahrain’s Elections and the Opposition

    As Bahrain’s newly elected parliament convened for the first time last week, the island nation stands divided. The Shi‘a-dominated opposition boycotted last month’s elections and will be outside the political system for the foreseeable future, leaving little prospect for the community’s political advancement. Meanwhile, the predominantly Sunni electorate participated strongly in the polls and will move forward alone on a series of reforms and priorities that are most important to their community.

    December 24, 2014

    Yemen’s Houthi Takeover
  • Analysis
  • Yemen’s Houthi Takeover

    Once touted as a relative success story among Arab uprisings, the internationally backed transition process in Yemen has unravelled in the wake of the September 21 Houthi takeover of Sana. Nominally there is still a political process in place, but events on the ground are moving in a different direction and the country appears poised for yet another round of upheaval, possibly more transformative than the events of 2011.

    December 23, 2014

    Why Should Iran Accept U.S. Presence in Afghanistan?
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Why Should Iran Accept U.S. Presence in Afghanistan?

    Read the full article on Al-Monitor. 

    At first glance, Iran appears to be unconvinced about Afghanistan’s new President Ashraf Ghani, and the feeling is probably mutual. Ghani chose Saudi Arabia, China and then Pakistan as the first countries to visit as president, and has yet to visit Tehran. 

    Pulling Libya Back from the Brink
  • Analysis
  • Pulling Libya Back from the Brink

    Despite an encouraging communiqué by the UN Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) this week praising the commitment of the various Libyan parties to a dialogue, the continued postponement of the so-called Ghadames II peace talks does not bode well. Backed by external supporters, Libya’s warring factions appear to favor a military solution to the situation, rendering the crisis increasingly beyond repair.

    December 19, 2014

    The New Suez Canal Project and Egypt’s Economic Future
  • Analysis
  • The New Suez Canal Project and Egypt’s Economic Future

    During a televised speech on August 5, 2014, President Abdul-Fattah el-Sisi announced a “surprise” he’d planned for the Egyptian people: the launch of the New Suez Canal mega-project, involving an expansion of the existing canal and the development of its environs into a global trade hub. The project is making waves in Egypt and worldwide, mobilizing equipment, contracts, and finance. But the plan to widen and deepen the existing canal to permit passage to the world’s largest container ships and to dig a parallel waterway to allow for two-way traffic was not new.

    December 19, 2014

    Iran as an Occupying Force in Syria
  • Analysis
  • Iran as an Occupying Force in Syria

    It is no longer accurate to describe the war in Syria as a conflict between Syrian rebels on the one hand and Bashar al-Assad’s regime forces “supported” by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards (IRG), Hezbollah, and Iraqi militias on the other. Most major battles in Syria—along the frontlines of regime-held areas—are now being directed and fought by the IRG and Hezbollah, along with other non-Syrian Shi‘i militias, with Assad forces in a supportive or secondary role.

    December 17, 2014

    Egypt and Israel: Sinai Heat Thaws the Cold Peace
  • Analysis
  • Egypt and Israel: Sinai Heat Thaws the Cold Peace

    Egyptian President Abdul-Fattah el-Sisi is no Zionist, as senior Israeli interlocutors like to point out, but his vision of state sovereignty and Egyptian national security often closely aligns with the interests of Israel. When Sinai’s Ansar Beit al-Maqdis, Egypt’s most lethal jihadi group, recently pledged allegiance to the Islamic State in Syria and Iraq, perhaps the most interesting response was the non-response by the governments of Egypt and Israel. From the view of both, the origins and ideologies of Islamist groups are all the same.

    December 16, 2014

    An Artistic Dialogue Shows the Absence of Cultural Exports from the Arab World
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • An Artistic Dialogue Shows the Absence of Cultural Exports from the Arab World

    The exceptionalism of Thaer Maarouf and Jason Tecson is that they reached over a cultural desert to talk to each other and to serve as catalysts of multi-contextual significance—emphasizing that beyond conflicts, it is traditions, culture, and history that define people today. The Arab world would do well to learn from their exchange. Exporting the distinguished culture of the Middle East is critical in any effort to counter the barbaric images of the region currently shaping Asia’s view of Arabs.

    December 13, 2014

    Report: Sunni Deobandi-Shi'i Sectarian Violence in Pakistan
  • Analysis
  • Report: Sunni Deobandi-Shi'i Sectarian Violence in Pakistan

    In both general and more informed discussions in Pakistan and beyond, sectarian violence in Pakistan between Sunni and Shi‘i groups is almost without exception referred to simply as Sunni-Shi‘i violence. But such a characterization is a misnomer. Two of Pakistan’s three major Sunni subsects, the Ahl-e-Hadis, and to a lesser extent, the Barelvis, may have antipathy toward the Shi‘a, but rarely express such sentiments through violent activity.

    December 11, 2014

    Iran’s Nuclear Secrets Need to be Revealed
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Nuclear Secrets Need to be Revealed

    Expert American opinion on the outcome of last month’s nuclear negotiations with Iran is sharply divided. Those who want Iran to give up all enrichment technology are relieved that a “bad” deal was averted.

    December 10, 2014

    The American Approach in Syria and Iran: Soft and Dangerous
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • The American Approach in Syria and Iran: Soft and Dangerous

    In his pursuit of foreign policy deals with Syria and Iran, President Obama has taken a soft approach. As a result, Syria and Iran have taken advantage with aggressive opportunism.

    December 10, 2014

    A Good ‘Freeze’ in Aleppo Is Not Enough
  • Analysis
  • A Good ‘Freeze’ in Aleppo Is Not Enough

    This article was first published on Foreign Policy.

    As the Obama administration searches for a Syria policy, some officials have become intrigued by an old idea that the United Nations now hopes could help tens of thousands of civilians and perhaps even break Syria’s political logjam.

    The Current Status of Lebanon’s Sunni Islamists
  • Analysis
  • The Current Status of Lebanon’s Sunni Islamists

    As fears of an ISIS surge in northern Lebanon continue to rise, it is important to have a balanced perspective on the makeup of current Lebanese Sunni Islamist groups. I recently spent three months conducting fieldwork in Lebanon, interviewing representatives from a wide variety of Islamist groups. I present my findings below. 

    December 9, 2014

    Don’t be Fooled by Appearances, Liberal Values are Spreading in the Arab World
  • Analysis
  • Don’t be Fooled by Appearances, Liberal Values are Spreading in the Arab World

    Is there such a thing as Arab liberalism? Judging by U.S. mainstream media coverage, the answer is no. Out of ten stories on the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), chances are that nine cover terrorism and sectarian violence—and the tenth, government abuse. What is true for media is even truer for other circles of knowledge production.

    December 9, 2014

    Taiwan’s Relations with Saudi Arabia: An Interview with Ibrahim Chao
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Taiwan’s Relations with Saudi Arabia: An Interview with Ibrahim Chao

    Over the past half century, Saudi Arabia has been the most important country for Taiwan’s Middle East diplomacy. The following interview with HE Dr. Ibrahim Chao (Hsi-lin Chao), Taiwan’s representative to the Kingdom from 2009 to 2012, sheds light on the contours of and recent developments in the bilateral relationship. Prior to joining the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of China, or Taiwan, Ibrahim Chao earned an M.A. and a Ph.D. in Shariah (Islamic Law) from the Umm al-Qura University in Mecca, Saudi Arabia. Since retiring from the diplomatic service, he has served as an advisor to the Chinese Muslim Association in Taipei.

    December 8, 2014