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Sovereignty, the Hezbollah Model, or Dissolution: Managing Factional Forces in Iraq
  • Analysis
  • Sovereignty, the Hezbollah Model, or Dissolution: Managing Factional Forces in Iraq

    When the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) overran Mosul last June, Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, the preeminent Shi‘i cleric in Iraq, called for voluntary jihad. The outlook for the central government was bleak. Reports from the battlefronts, as well as threatening statements by ISIS leaders, suggested that the capital Baghdad could also fall to ISIS. The group repeatedly massacred its captives and systematically destroyed important religious and cultural sites.

    February 13, 2015

    The Case for Aiding Anbar
  • Analysis
  • The Case for Aiding Anbar

    I ran into some Anbaris in Washington this week. All of them have lost friends or relatives in the fight against Islamist extremism in one form or another. They had interesting things to say.

    January 23, 2015

    Forget ISIS: Shia Militias Are the Real Threat to Kurdistan
  • Analysis
  • Forget ISIS: Shia Militias Are the Real Threat to Kurdistan

    This article first appeared in The National Interest.

    In Iraq, the Islamic State (ISIS) is no longer on the offensive. That is particularly true on the Kurdish front in the north where the ISIS onslaught is now contained.

    The Iraqi Kurdish military, the Peshmerga, proved to have the capability to repel the extremist Sunni fighters from ISIS and to hang on to recaptured territory. They have done so largely without many resources or support from West.

    Defeating the Islamic State Militarily is Only Half the Battle
  • Analysis
  • Defeating the Islamic State Militarily is Only Half the Battle

    In his speech on September 10 President Obama characterized the Islamic State (ISIS) as a terrorist group.[1] There were clear political benefits to using this label, not the least of which was to facilitate the formation of a broad-based military coalition against the organization.

    Testimony: US Strategy To Defeat ISIS
  • Analysis
  • Testimony: US Strategy To Defeat ISIS

    The following is the written testimony prepared and delivered by Amb (ret) Robert S. Ford for the Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing held on September 17, 2014. Click here to watch video of the full hearing (Amb. Ford’s testimony begins at the 3 hours and 26 minutes mark).

    Iran’s Approach to Extreme Sunni Militants
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Approach to Extreme Sunni Militants

    This article was first published by The National Interest.

    The conventional wisdom in Washington is that Tehran regards Sunni-jihadist movements as ideologically incompatible rivals. This is not surprising, as the bulk of Sunni-jihadist literature makes it clear that Shia-majority Iran is considered to be the embodiment of apostasy. To most Sunni jihadists, including those from ISIS, Iran is an archenemy surpassing both Israel and the United States.

    The New Iraqi Prime Minister: A Change in Style or Substance?
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • The New Iraqi Prime Minister: A Change in Style or Substance?

    During his first week in office, Iraq’s new prime minister, Haydar al-Abbadi, has made a number of significant announcements, ranging from highly symbolic moves to more wide-ranging initiatives. Signs of divergence between Abbadi and his predecessor, Nuri al-Maliki, are clearly visible.

    September 17, 2014

    A Coalition of Uncertainty
  • Analysis
  • A Coalition of Uncertainty

    One way to grasp the immense difficulty facing President Obama as he tries to forge an effective international coalition to oppose the Islamic State is to examine the difference between this effort and the last time the United States led a diverse group of countries to take on a conflict in the Middle East: Operation Desert Storm, in 1991.

    September 15, 2014