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The grim year ahead
Photo by HUSSEIN FALEH/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The grim year ahead

    The COVID-19 crisis could be deadlier than all the wars and civil wars in the modern Middle East. This should spur regional leaders to act urgently and cooperatively.

    April 6, 2020

    Without the US, don’t expect a universal oil deal
    Photo by Doug Mills-Pool/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Without the US, don’t expect a universal oil deal

    This Thursday, a postponed virtual meeting of “OPEC+ and Friends” will determine the level and seriousness of participation in a global oil pact.

    April 6, 2020

    Qatar’s $5 billion bond issue
    Photo by David Ramos - FIFA/FIFA via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Qatar’s $5 billion bond issue

    Cratering demand for Qatar’s main exports has reduced its income to a fraction of what it was last year, but its nest egg is held in very illiquid assets.

    April 6, 2020

    What do Russia and Hamas see in each other?
    Photo by Sefa Karacan/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What do Russia and Hamas see in each other?

    While much of the focus on Russia’s foreign policy toward the MENA region is on Syria and Libya, the dire situation in Gaza is another area where Moscow seeks to play a growing role. From Putin’s perspective, Moscow must involve itself in the Palestinian cause in order to further facilitate Russia’s “return” to the region. In practice, this has entailed Moscow and Hamas improving their relations, underscored by numerous visits and communications between high-ranking Russian government officials and Hamas representatives in recent years.

    April 2, 2020

    Algeria’s Hirak: A political opportunity in COVID-19?
    Photo by Billal Bensalem/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Algeria’s Hirak: A political opportunity in COVID-19?

    As Hirak’s primary repertoire of contention has been biweekly protests in key cities, some worry that the COVID-19 lockdown is tolling the movement’s death knell. However, Hirak’s intellectual leaders have long called for supplemental tactics, noting that despite being among the most significant social, political, and cultural phenomena in modern Algerian history, protests alone may no longer be as effective as they once were in extracting meaningful concessions from the regime. Thus, as ill-timed and worrying as this feels for many of the Hirak faithful, the global health crisis may come as a significant political opportunity for the movement.

    April 1, 2020

    Saudi Arabia’s oil price war could reshape the industry
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Saudi Arabia’s oil price war could reshape the industry

    Saudi Arabia declared a price war against Russia in early March to prove a point: that it can offer an unprecedented supply of 12.3 million barrels per day (bpd), way above the record 11 million bpd it reached in November 2018, and expand its market share at the expense of Moscow. As the coronavirus pandemic brings the world to a standstill, the question is how long it can sustain this war. 

    April 1, 2020

    How the coronavirus exposed Israeli occupation's green line
    Photo by Mostafa Alkharouf/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How the coronavirus exposed Israeli occupation's green line

    Less than a year after the U.S. State Department removed the term “occupation” from its 2019 human rights report, and just a few weeks after it stopped referring to the residents of East Jerusalem as Palestinians, the coronavirus has exposed the reality of Israel’s occupation of the Palestinian territories like never before.

    March 31, 2020

    Could COVID-19 push Jordan to the edge?
    Xinhua/Mohammad Abu Ghosh via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Could COVID-19 push Jordan to the edge?

    Since the establishment of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan a hundred years ago, many have argued at one point or another that the country is on the brink of political or economic instability. It seems increasingly true these days, however. The unexpected shock of the COVID-19 pandemic adds even more pressure to the already floundering economy.

    March 30, 2020

    The coronavirus pandemic and the Middle East
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • The coronavirus pandemic and the Middle East

    MEI’s Paul Salem, Khaled Elgindy, and Fatima Abo Alasrar join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the coronavirus pandemic’s impact on the Middle East as nations scramble to contain the spread of COVID-19 and the massive humanitarian and economic toll it could take on already vulnerable populations.

    March 27, 2020

    What does COVID-19 mean for Egypt’s economy?
    Photo by KHALED DESOUKI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What does COVID-19 mean for Egypt’s economy?

    COVID-19 has disrupted both supply and demand around the world. Egypt is not immune to the recessionary trends caused by the sudden halt in supply chains and the sharp decline in demand, domestically and globally, resulting from the rapid spread of the virus.

    March 26, 2020

    Could coronavirus lead to an Arab Spring 2.0?
    Xinhua/via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Could coronavirus lead to an Arab Spring 2.0?

    No part of the world will emerge unscathed from the fallout of the coronavirus pandemic of 2020. Just because China and Italy were the first to be severely hit, does not imply, that when all is said and done, that they will have sustained the brunt of the damage. North Africa is a region dependent on global commodities prices, tourism, and political and monetary support from Europe and the Gulf, where regime brittleness, youth unemployment, and Islamic radicalism all intersect.

    March 25, 2020

    The best of a bad situation? Considering next steps for Lebanese leaders
    Riot policemen use water cannons to disperse anti-government protesters during clashes near the Grand Serail, headquarters of the Prime Minister of Lebanon. Photo: Marwan Naamani/dpa (Photo by Marwan Naamani/picture alliance via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • The best of a bad situation? Considering next steps for Lebanese leaders

    The Lebanese are in trouble. Lebanese leaders have borrowed and spent money for decades without addressing fundamental flaws in their state, economy, and society — operating in an order that, while not the cause of every problem under the sun, aggravates their poor politics, policy, planning, and governance.

    March 23, 2020