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Another Uprising Has Started in Syria
  • Commentary
  • Another Uprising Has Started in Syria

    Six years ago, the Syrian regime conquered the southern province of Daraa, popularly known by millions of Syrians as the “cradle of the revolution.” That military victory represented a pivotal moment for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. After all, it was the last time the regime captured a sizable swath of opposition territory, and in doing so in July 2018, its impunity was laid bare for all the world to see. On paper, Daraa had been designated a “de-escalation zone” after months of intensive international diplomacy in which the United States had played a central role.

    CENTCOM says ISIS is reconstituting in Syria and Iraq, but the reality is even worse
    Photo by Ali Makram Ghareeb/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • CENTCOM says ISIS is reconstituting in Syria and Iraq, but the reality is even worse

    On July 16, CENTCOM announced that after six months of 2024, “ISIS is on pace to more than double” the number of attacks in Syria and Iraq it claimed in 2023. But the reality is far worse than this statement suggested because the data represents only a fraction of ISIS’s actual attacks in Syria and Iraq.

    Syrian armed groups divided over Turkey-Syria normalization push
    Photo by AAREF WATAD/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Syrian armed groups divided over Turkey-Syria normalization push

    Despite their popular nature, the protests in northwestern Syria, sparked by racist attacks on Syrians over the border in Turkey, have exposed the rifts and divisions between various opposition factions. Bilal Samir explores the positions of the major military groups in Turkish-controlled areas and assesses how closely they align with Turkey’s policy.

    July 11, 2024

    Smoke and mirrors: The Syrian regime's dubious anti-drug campaigns
    Photo by JOSEPH EID/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Smoke and mirrors: The Syrian regime's dubious anti-drug campaigns

    The Syrian regime recently announced that it had arrested over 2,000 people in Damascus on drug-related charges during the first half of 2024. However, the relatively small amount of drugs confiscated suggests the regime is focusing on arresting users and street-level pushers rather than going after the major producers and traffickers. This highlights how the Syrian regime manipulates drug crackdowns to serve multiple agendas while ensuring the flow of illicit drugs continues uninterrupted.

    July 11, 2024

    NATO, North Africa, and the Sahel: Squaring the triangle of insecurity
    Photo by FADEL SENNA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • NATO, North Africa, and the Sahel: Squaring the triangle of insecurity

    With NATO celebrating 75 years since its founding, Alliance members will gather in Washington, DC, on July 9-11, for a historic summit. Two of the key issues on the agenda will be addressing the acute threats emanating from the Black Sea region and adopting a strategic approach toward the Middle East and Africa.

    Libya, Tunisia, and Niger as Case Studies for Counter-Productive Anti-Migration Policies: Sustaining Abuses and Criminality
    Photo by ALESSANDRO SERRANO/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Libya, Tunisia, and Niger as Case Studies for Counter-Productive Anti-Migration Policies: Sustaining Abuses and Criminality

    Anti-migration policies in Libya, Tunisia, and Niger have had dire consequences, as highlighted by the more than 25,000 migrant deaths in the Mediterranean since 2014, a figure that does not fully capture the extent of the tragedy. To address these failures will require substantial policy changes and an evolution in approach to the migration issue.

    May 16, 2024

    Crossroads in Idlib: HTS navigating internal divisions amid popular discontent
    Photo by OMAR HAJ KADOUR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Crossroads in Idlib: HTS navigating internal divisions amid popular discontent

    As the world focuses on Israel’s war in Gaza, northwest Syria is undergoing a significant political upheaval that could lead to major instability. For the last three months, Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham, an armed Sunni Islamist group that governs more 4.5 million people in the Idlib region, has been facing widespread protests.

    May 13, 2024

    Syrians turn to street justice to free relatives from Assad's prisons
    Photo by SUWAYDA 24/AFP
  • Analysis
  • Syrians turn to street justice to free relatives from Assad's prisons

    In recent weeks, the southern Syrian province of Sweida has seen a series of kidnappings targeting regime military officers. Unlike the financially motivated incidents common in the region, these abductions, which occurred on April 2 and 25, stand out because they targeted individuals based on their affiliation with the regime of Bashar al-Assad rather than their personal identities. Reports suggest that Sweida residents orchestrated the abductions as a way of negotiating the release of relatives detained by the regime.

    May 8, 2024

    The long rise and sudden death of jihadist leader Abu Maria al-Qahtani
    Photo by OMAR HAJ KADOUR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The long rise and sudden death of jihadist leader Abu Maria al-Qahtani

    In a significant and surprising turn of events, on the evening of April 5, a prominent Iraqi leader in the Syrian Sunni Islamist group Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham, Maysar bin Ali al-Juburi, also known as Abu Maria al-Qahtani, was reportedly killed in an attack in Idlib’s northern countryside.

    Saied’s emerging economic strategy for Tunisia
    Photo by Tunisian Presidency /Handout /Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Saied’s emerging economic strategy for Tunisia

    Tunisian President Kais Saied appears to be constructing a new economic strategy. While he has previously outlined his priorities with broad strokes, like fighting corruption and defending sovereignty, he has recently begun to add greater detail, adopting a personalized approach that appears to be attempting to bypass the existing corporatist structures.

    March 26, 2024