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Iran, Europe, and a new US ambassador in Berlin
Photo courtesy of the U.S. State Department
  • Analysis
  • Iran, Europe, and a new US ambassador in Berlin

    On July 27, the White House announced that President Donald Trump has appointed retired U.S. Army Colonel Douglas Macgregor to be the next American ambassador to Berlin. Macgregor’s appointment is already seen by some in Tehran as about more than just an American military drawdown in Germany: it is seen as a sign of a broader American policy reorientation in Europe and beyond.

    Iran’s latest naval drill is embarrassing
    U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Dalton Reidhead/Released
  • Commentary
  • Iran’s latest naval drill is embarrassing

    I don’t understand why Iran’s Revolutionary Guards insist on conducting military exercises in the Gulf waters that are as devoid of credibility as they are comical. Because if the goal of these drills is to intimidate or change the calculations of the U.S. Navy, nobody is flinching or losing any sleep in the Bahrain-headquartered U.S. Naval Forces Central Command, or NAVCENT.

    July 29, 2020

    What a Biden Iran strategy might look like
    Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What a Biden Iran strategy might look like

    If elected, Joe Biden and his administration will face a wide range of foreign policy challenges. Possibly none will be more vexing than what to do about the clerical regime in Iran.

    July 29, 2020

    Are Turkey and Russia bracing for conflict in the South Caucasus?
  • Analysis
  • Are Turkey and Russia bracing for conflict in the South Caucasus?

    On July 12, the Armenian and the Azerbaijani armed forces started a border skirmish. Fighting went on for several days, leaving at least 16 dead in its wake. Remarkably enough, the two sides are facing off outside the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh, the usual flashpoint. This time around the flare-up took place well to the north, where Armenia’s Tavush region meets Azerbaijan’s Tovuz district. It is little wonder then that the crisis caught Turkey’s attention.

    Iran-China deal raises more questions than answers
    Photo by Pool/Iranian Presidency/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran-China deal raises more questions than answers

    China has become the new polarizing factor in Iranian politics, and the latest issue is the 25-year deal between Iran and China.

    July 27, 2020

    لماذا يعد رد طهران على اعتراض الولايات المتحدة لطائرة الركاب الإيرانية أكثر من مجرد حملة علاقات عامة
    Middle East Institute
  • Commentary
  • لماذا يعد رد طهران على اعتراض الولايات المتحدة لطائرة الركاب الإيرانية أكثر من مجرد حملة علاقات عامة

    “تهدف السلطات الإيرانية إلى الاستفادة من هذه الحلقة كوسيلة للضغط على دول المنطقة التي توفر قواعد عسكرية للجيش الأمريكي.”

    تشعر طهران بقلق شديد من اعتراض طائرة مدنية إيرانية فوق سوريا في 23 من شهر يوليو من طرف طائرتان أمريكيتان من طراز F-15. وما أثار انتباه وسائل الإعلام الغربية هو اتهام إيران للولايات المتحدة بالقيام بأعمال “قرصنة” و”إرهاب” في المجال الجوي السوري.

    اتهامات طهران كانت متوقعة وتعد مجرد حلقة أخيرة في سلسلة الاتهامات والاتهامات المضادة بين الولايات المتحدة وإيران.

    The potential cyber consequences of Israeli annexation of Palestinian territory
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The potential cyber consequences of Israeli annexation of Palestinian territory

    While it seems as though the immediate threat of Israeli annexation has, for the time being, faded, the incident raises an interesting new set of questions about how this particular battle will continue to play out in an increasingly digitized Middle East and the potential for retaliation by Palestinian and other actors in cyberspace, whether or not such an annexation takes place.

    July 20, 2020

    Monday Briefing: Red lines and rising tensions in Libya
  • Commentary
  • Monday Briefing: Red lines and rising tensions in Libya

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Mirette F. Mabrouk, Robert S. Ford, Nazila Fathi, and Marvin G. Weinbaum provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including rising tensions in Libya, economic turmoil and anti-regime protests in Iran, and the Jordanian high court’s decision to dissolve the Muslim Brotherhood.

    الأزمات الاقتصادية وعمليات الإعدام المتكررة تسببت في اندلاع احتجاجات جديدة في إيران
    Middle East Institute
  • Commentary
  • الأزمات الاقتصادية وعمليات الإعدام المتكررة تسببت في اندلاع احتجاجات جديدة في إيران

    اندلعت احتجاجات مناهضة للنظام الإيراني في عدة مدن إيرانية أواخر الأسبوع الماضي وسط تزايد البؤس الاقتصادي، وبعد أن أيدت محكمة محلية أحكام الإعدام في حق ثلاثة شبان، مما أثار غضب الشارع. 

    وأظهرت مقاطع فيديو منشورة على منصة تويتر، وجودًا كثيفًا لقوات الأمن في عدة محافظات، بما في ذلك طهران، خراسان، وخوزستان التي شهدت اشتباكات دموية خلال احتجاجات نوفمبر الماضي. 

    July 20, 2020

    What’s behind the wave of mysterious incidents in Iran?
    Photo by AMIR KHOLOUSI/ISNA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What’s behind the wave of mysterious incidents in Iran?

    On the 10th anniversary of the discovery of the Stuxnet computer virus, designed by the U.S. and Israel to target Iran’s nuclear program, the Islamic Republic is facing a new wave of unclaimed acts of sabotage.

    The eastern Mediterranean heats up as conflicts over energy move onshore
    Photo by Mustafa Kamaci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The eastern Mediterranean heats up as conflicts over energy move onshore

    Not too long ago, the Mediterranean was described as “NATO’s lake” — a sleepy backwater in a world dominated by conflict. Today, Israel’s quarrels with Lebanon, Palestine, and Syria are viewed — and minimized — as legacy conflicts, overshadowed by a new and unstable strategic environment centered upon competing visions of offshore energy and security in the eastern Mediterranean.

    July 14, 2020