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Monday Briefing: Middle East takes center stage at UNGA
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Middle East takes center stage at UNGA

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region featuring Gerald Feierstein, Alex Vatanka, Eran Etzion, Gonul Tol, Amal Kandeel, Marvin G. Weinbaum, Michael Sexton and Eliza Campbell.

    US considers a second cyber attack on Iran
    he seals of the U.S. Cyber Command, the National Secrity Agency and the Central Security Service greet employees and visitors at the campus the three organizations share March 13, 2015 in Fort Meade, Maryland.
  • Commentary
  • US considers a second cyber attack on Iran

    The Trump administration is reportedly considering launching another cyber attack against Iran to deter it from further aggression in the region.

    September 23, 2019

    From regime change to rapprochement? Turkey’s shifting Syria policy
    President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan (C), President of Russia Vladimir Putin (L) and President of Iran Hassan Rouhani (R) shake hands as they pose for a photo after a joint press conference following the Turkey-Russia-Iran trilateral summit at Cankaya Mansion in Ankara, Turkey on September 16, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • From regime change to rapprochement? Turkey’s shifting Syria policy

    At a trilateral summit in Ankara earlier this week, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan sat back and ate treats as Iranian President Hassan Rouhani told the world that efforts to topple the Assad regime have failed. The scene was a stark reminder of how far Turkey’s Syria policy has shifted.

    An attack against all in the Middle East
    Smoke billows from an Aramco oil facility in Abqaiq about 60km (37 miles) southwest of Dhahran in Saudi Arabia's eastern province on September 14, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • An attack against all in the Middle East

    Saudi Arabia is under direct assault, and America’s response is muted. Despite U.S. President Donald Trump’s verbal threats against Iran, which is behind the attack, he’s not seriously contemplating using force. What’s most urgent now for U.S. policymakers is how to prevent this from happening again and how to most effectively defend U.S. partners from aggression in this still vital part of the world.

    September 19, 2019

    New leadership and new challenges for Saudi Arabia's oil industry
    Saudi and Foreign investors stand in front of the logo of Saudi state oil giant Aramco during the 10th Global Competitiveness Forum on January 25, 2016, in the capital Riyadh. The an annual event brings together high-ranking Saudi officials and world business leaders. / AFP / Fayez Nureldine (Photo credit should read FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • New leadership and new challenges for Saudi Arabia's oil industry

    Saudi Arabia surprised the global oil and gas industry earlier this month by reshuffling its top two energy positions. Long-serving technocrat Khalid al-Falih was ousted as chair of Saudi Aramco one day and as head of the Ministry of Energy the next.

    September 17, 2019

    Yemen’s peace process: The Hodeida Agreement that never was?
    Retired Dutch General Patrick Cammaert (C), who is leading a joint committee, which includes both government and rebel representatives, tasked with overseeing a truce in the Red Sea port city and the withdrawal of both parties, speaks with an official in the port city of Hodeidah on January 13, 2019. - Yemeni rebels on January 13, 2019, boycotted a meeting chaired by the head of a UN-led ceasefire monitoring team in the flashpoint city of Hodeida, accusing him of pursuing
  • Analysis
  • Yemen’s peace process: The Hodeida Agreement that never was?

    In late July, Lt. Gen. Michael Anker Lollesgaard left Yemen after his six-month term as the second head of the UN Mission in support of the Hodeida Agreement (UNMHA) came to an end. Unlike his predecessor, Maj. Gen. Patrick Cammaert, who departed quietly, Lollesgaard was given a proper sendoff from Sana’a. A senior Houthi commander, Maj. Gen. Ali al-Musheki, even went so far as to describe Lollesgaard as “a conscientious military commander.”

    September 16, 2019

    Monday Briefing: Attack on Saudi oil facilities has an impact far beyond the kingdom
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Attack on Saudi oil facilities has an impact far beyond the kingdom

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region featuring Ruba Husari, Paul Salem, Gerald Feierstein, Amal Kandeel, Grace Wermenbol, Robert S. Ford, Charles Lister, and Gonul Tol.

    September 16, 2019

    Russia, Iran, and the competition to shape Syria’s future
    Russian President Vladimir Putin (L) and Iranian President Hassan Rouhani (R) attend the trilateral summit to discuss progress on Syria, between the Presidents of Turkey, Russia and Iran on November 22, 2017 in Sochi, Russia.
  • Analysis
  • Russia, Iran, and the competition to shape Syria’s future

    One important dynamic that is not acknowledged enough is the intensifying competition between Russia and Iran to determine the future shape of Syria and their position in it. While the very real competitive dynamic between Moscow and Tehran will never transition to hostility, it is beginning to have a very real effect on the evolution of major aspects of the crisis — from active conflict theaters, to the structures of the state, control over resources, and the prospect of intra-state conflict on Syrian soil.

    The end of an era: Trump invites China to police the Gulf
    Cargo ships sail in the Gulf off the Iranian port city of Bandar Abbas, which is the main base of the Islamic republic's navy and has a strategic position on the Strait of Hormuz, on April 29, 2019. - Eight countries were initially given six-month reprieves after the United States reimposed sanctions on Iran in November, following President Donald Trump's decision to withdraw from a 2015 nuclear accord. Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif has said leaving the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty is one
  • Analysis
  • The end of an era: Trump invites China to police the Gulf

    What was President Donald Trump thinking when, on June 24, when he announced a historic revision of U.S. security policy in the Gulf?

    As Washington slept, Trump tweeted that “China gets 91% of its Oil from the Straight, Japan 62%, & many other countries likewise. So why are we protecting the shipping lanes for other countries (many years) for zero compensation. All of these countries should be protecting their own ships on what has always been a dangerous journey. We don’t even need to be there in that the U.S. has just become (by far) the largest producer of Energy anywhere in the world!”

    September 9, 2019

    Libya’s Hifter and the false narrative of authoritarian stability
    Self-proclaimed Libyan National Army (LNA) Chief of Staff, Khalifa Haftar arrives for a conference on Libya on November 12, 2018 at Villa Igiea in Palermo. - Libya's key political players meet with global leaders in Palermo on November 12 in the latest bid by major powers to kickstart a long-stalled political process and trigger elections. (Photo by Filippo MONTEFORTE / AFP) (Photo credit should read FILIPPO MONTEFORTE/AFP/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Libya’s Hifter and the false narrative of authoritarian stability

    Khalifa Hifter has managed to garner outside support by appealing to foreign states’ desire for a stable Libya, but this rogue former general and would-be authoritarian has proven a troublesome proxy. In supporting his ongoing offensive on Tripoli, foreign states are undermining their own narrative of authoritarian stability.

    September 3, 2019

    US and Iran testing diplomatic waters
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • US and Iran testing diplomatic waters

    Randa Slim, director of MEI’s Conflict Resolution and Track II Dialogues initiative, and MEI Senior Fellow Alex Vatanka join guest host Jerry Feierstein to discuss recent regional developments that may be early indicators of an emerging round of diplomatic talks between the United States and Iran, and what renewed talks might be able to achieve.

    August 30, 2019

    Syria: Debates won’t change reality
    TOPSHOT - A convoy of US forces armoured vehicles drives near the village of Yalanli, on the western outskirts of the northern Syrian city of Manbij, on March 5, 2017. / AFP PHOTO / DELIL SOULEIMAN (Photo credit should read DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Syria: Debates won’t change reality

    Over the past few weeks, my colleagues at MEI have debated whether the U.S. should stay in Syria or leave. Here I’d make a different argument: that it doesn’t really matter. The president has already made the decision to leave, and while his aides may have been able to slow roll the troop drawdown, the reality is that Donald Trump has made it clear the U.S. will not disburse any additional resources. Even within the 2020 Democratic field, not a single candidate has advocated increasing resources.

    August 29, 2019