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Governance, Reform, and State Capacity

Lebanese Should Stay The Course
  • Commentary
  • Lebanese Should Stay The Course

    Unconditional surrender of an adversary is possible only if the victor conducts unconditional war, which the American public clearly was not prepared for in the conflict with Iran. Ending this conflict was always going to entail some compromises. The U.S.-Iran MOU is being oversold by virtually everyone. The tangible parts of it are a ceasefire, sanctions relief for Iran and the reopening of Hormuz. Everything else in the agreement is conditioned to good faith negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program.

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    Moroccan youth angrily protest government’s failed development promises
    Photo by Abdel Majid Bziouat/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Moroccan youth angrily protest government’s failed development promises

    Hundreds of young Moroccans are protesting across 11 cities since September 27 under the banner “GenZ 212.” The central trigger behind the demonstrations has been a deep popular frustration with Morocco’s persistent inability to deliver on its development plans and promises. This sort of broad disaffection will be challenging for the government to address quickly and credibly.

    Can Lebanese Democracy Be Saved?
  • Podcast
  • Can Lebanese Democracy Be Saved?

    Once hailed as a rare democracy in the Middle East, Lebanon has now slipped into the ranks of closed autocracies. Decades of corruption, sectarian rule, and foreign meddling have left the country reeling — and the past year brought assassinations, mass displacement, and Israel’s full-scale war against Hezbollah in the south. With its economy in free fall and its political system on life support, Lebanon stands at a crossroads: could shifts in regional power, efforts to disarm Hezbollah, and a change in leadership pave the way for recovery, or will instability deepen?

    One year of Pezeshkian: The scapegoat-in-waiting
    Photo by Raheb Homavandi/AFP Via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • One year of Pezeshkian: The scapegoat-in-waiting

    President Masoud Pezeshkian’s first year in office has been defined by Iran’s familiar political structural constraints, external crises, and a moderate-reformist base forever frustrated with his cautious pragmatism and unfulfilled promises. His July 2024 election was undeniably a setback for hardliners. Yet one year later, the assessment is sobering: While Pezeshkian has in some ways perhaps helped in slowing the hardline march, he has not made any fundamental difference in how the Islamic Republic is run. Every decision requires second-guessing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s next move, and even as a president boxed in by the system with limited powers, he is constantly under the sword of Damocles.

    Egypt and Gaza: Conflict, Crisis, and the Path to a Ceasefire
  • Podcast
  • Egypt and Gaza: Conflict, Crisis, and the Path to a Ceasefire

    With the dire humanitarian crisis in Gaza in the global spotlight, Egypt faces mounting pressure both at home and abroad. In this episode of Middle East Focus, hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj speak with MEI Senior Fellow Mirette Mabrouk about how Cairo is handling the crisis in the neighboring coastal strip. What are the Egyptian government’s main concerns as conditions there continue to deteriorate? How is Egypt responding to domestic outrage and changing international dynamics?

    July 31, 2025

    Russia’s military presence in post-Assad Syria: A growing security liability undermining stability
    Photo by Izzettin Kasim/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s military presence in post-Assad Syria: A growing security liability undermining stability

    Six months since the collapse of the Assad regime, the Russian military presence in Syria has remained entrenched in strategic locations such as the Hmeimim airbase and Tartous port on the coast, as well as at Qamishli airport in the northeast. This persistence has reignited an increasingly pressing debate about Moscow’s role in the new Syria.

    July 2, 2025

    Syria After Assad: Transitional Justice, Governance, and the Road Ahead
  • Podcast
  • Syria After Assad: Transitional Justice, Governance, and the Road Ahead

    With Bashar al-Assad ousted and Syria entering a new political chapter, what comes next for a country ravaged by war, repression, and sectarian divisions? Gonul Tol speaks with Steven Heydemann (Smith College) and Radwan Ziadeh (Arab Center Washington DC) about the challenges of transitional justice, prospects for democratic reform, and the role of Syria’s new de facto leader, Ahmed al-Sharah. Can a centralized government model provide inclusive governance? What kind of support—or interference—should Syrians expect from foreign powers?

    The balance of power in Yemen after the US-Houthi cease-fire
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The balance of power in Yemen after the US-Houthi cease-fire

    The May 6 cease-fire between the United States and the Houthi militia in Yemen has had a consolidating effect on the balance of power inside the war-torn state and hardened the status quo of the country’s civil war. In turn, the outcome of Israel and Iran’s subsequent 12-day war has the potential to temporarily shake up this status quo once again; but Yemen’s fracturing anti-Houthi coalition is unlikely to be able to exploit that opportunity.

    June 30, 2025

    Lebanon at a Crossroads: Sovereignty, Hizballah's Disarmament, and the Road to Reform
  • Podcast
  • Lebanon at a Crossroads: Sovereignty, Hizballah's Disarmament, and the Road to Reform

    MEI Senior Fellow Paul Salem joins the program to assess Lebanon’s rapidly shifting political landscape. With a new president and government promising to enact reforms and reassert sovereignty, Lebanon faces a daunting agenda: disarming Hizballah, rebuilding institutions, navigating regional diplomacy, and restoring the economy.

    June 12, 2025

    Building Syria’s new army: Future plans and the challenges ahead
    Photo by Asaad Al Asaad/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Building Syria’s new army: Future plans and the challenges ahead

    Following the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime on Dec. 8, 2024, after the rebel military operation “Deterrence of Aggression” and the establishment of a transitional government, Ahmed al-Sharaa, Syria’s interim president, quickly began working to form a unified national army, dismantle the existing factions, and centralize all weapons under the authority of the state in an effort to address one of the most pressing challenges facing his administration. While several initial moves have been completed, important steps in this complicated process are still pending. This article highlights the current developments surrounding the formation of the new army, including progress achieved to date and key challenges going forward.

    Deepening Pakistan’s enduring civil-military imbalance
    Photo by Aamir Qureshi/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Deepening Pakistan’s enduring civil-military imbalance

    The recent elevation of Gen. Asim Munir to the rank of field marshal is a thunderous declaration of the Pakistani military’s unassailable supremacy, a gesture that reverberates far beyond the barbed-wire perimeters of the Army’s General Headquarters in Rawalpindi.

    May 30, 2025

    Syria Looks to a Future Unburdened from US Sanctions
  • Podcast
  • Syria Looks to a Future Unburdened from US Sanctions

    MEI Senior Fellow Charles Lister joins hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj to discuss the Trump administration’s dramatic reversal of four decades of US policy toward Syria. Following President Trump’s May 2025 meeting with Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa and the issuance of a new general license and 180-day waiver of Caesar Act sanctions, the episode explores the implications of this policy shift. What does this mean for Syria’s recovery and reconstruction? How are regional actors like Turkey, Israel, and the Gulf states responding?

    May 29, 2025

    The Damascus-SDF agreement two months on: Fragile progress or delayed collapse?
    Photo by MOHAMAD DABOUL/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Damascus-SDF agreement two months on: Fragile progress or delayed collapse?

    On March 10, 2025, Ahmed al-Sharaa, the president of Syria, and Mazloum Abdi, the commander-in-chief of the Syrian Democratic Forces, signed a historic agreement, ending a long-running divide between Damascus and the Democratic Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria. Now, two months after the deal was signed, how far has it progressed, and what are the main obstacles and disputes between the parties during this transitional phase?

    May 9, 2025

    It’s time to end the EU’s Assad-era sanctions on Syria
    Photo by Michele Spatari/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • It’s time to end the EU’s Assad-era sanctions on Syria

    As the EU prepares for its annual review of sanctions imposed on Syria, it faces a moment of reckoning — an opportunity to demonstrate whether its policies not only continue to be principled and legal, but also in line with its strategic interests. They no longer serve the purpose for which they were designed, and the EU should let the entire sanctions regime on Syria collapse unconditionally and immediately.

    May 6, 2025

    Le Pen vs. İmamoğlu? Why the comparison fails — and matters
    Photo by Yasin Akgul/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Le Pen vs. İmamoğlu? Why the comparison fails — and matters

    Marine Le Pen, leader of France’s far-right National Rally, was convicted of embezzling EU funds and barred from running for office for five years, effectively disqualifying her from the 2027 presidential race. Meanwhile in Turkey, Ekrem İmamoğlu, mayor of Istanbul and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s most formidable rival, was arrested on corruption charges and jailed, just as he was poised to become the opposition’s presidential candidate. Both Le Pen and Turkish officials are now pointing to each other to justify their own actions.

    President Pezeshkian: Already a lost cause?
    Photo by Iranian Presidency/Handout/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • President Pezeshkian: Already a lost cause?

    President Masoud Pezeshkian might be the loneliest man in Iran. Just eight months into his term in office, he is already losing the support of those who once championed him. While the Iranian presidency is a thankless job, Pezeshkian is not helping his own case.

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