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Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East

    Recent elections for the Israeli Knesset and American Congress may make less of a difference in the Middle East than some people think. Elections are significant indicators of national political trends, but do not always translate into changes in national security strategies. That is likely the case now in both nations.

    The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf
  • Analysis
  • The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf

    The war with Iran is hardly over, but the debate over the shape and nature of the post-conflict American posture in the Gulf region is just beginning. Undoubtedly, how the war ends will affect how the United States adjusts its role. While this debate is still in its early stages, something of a conventional wisdom is already developing in policy circles that could seriously compromise American influence in the Middle East.

    Curb Your Enthusiasm: Why the Midterms Might Not Change Much in US Middle East Policy
  • Analysis
  • Curb Your Enthusiasm: Why the Midterms Might Not Change Much in US Middle East Policy

    With less than a week before the midterm elections in the United States, the spotlight is on the economy and cultural divides. US foreign policy remains mostly on the sidelines, but this year’s inconclusive Iran war and its effect on America’s economy have shaped the broader political environment in this electoral cycle.

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    On Iran, US restraint could reduce risks
    Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • On Iran, US restraint could reduce risks

    President Donald Trump threatens Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. But measured language and disciplined policy can help prevent escalation and protect American interests.

    The Israel-Iran war: Scenarios for the days — and years — ahead
    Photo by Majid Saeedi/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Israel-Iran war: Scenarios for the days — and years — ahead

    The evolving confrontation with Israel and the United States places the Islamic Republic of Iran at a critical inflection point. Tehran faces choices that range from limited negotiation and strategic restraint to escalation and eventual collapse. The following analysis explores the key scenarios that could unfold in the coming days, weeks, and years.

    June 18, 2025

    The Iran-Israel Conflict and the Future of the Iranian Regime
  • Podcast
  • The Iran-Israel Conflict and the Future of the Iranian Regime

    Senior Fellow Alex Vatanka joins hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj to examine the dramatic escalation between Israel and Iran following Israel’s targeted strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, infrastructure, and senior IRGC officials. Vatanka discusses how the Iranian regime is responding, the risk of wider regional conflict, and whether the current campaign could mark the beginning of the end for the Islamic Republic.

    June 17, 2025

    America moves closer to the brink of maximum uncertainty at home and abroad
    Photo by Ronoldo Schemidt/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • America moves closer to the brink of maximum uncertainty at home and abroad

    The spotlight in America this week is trained on the home front, with growing tensions inside the country over President Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown and a showdown unfolding on the streets of Los Angeles. At times like these, the rest of the world has a way of intruding, sometimes unexpectedly, and Trump 2.0’s foreign policy is still struggling to produce a major positive outcome from its frenetic activity trying to end kinetic wars while prosecuting an unprecedented economic war with much of the rest of the world.

    Saudi Arabia’s AI ambition, and what it means for the United States
    Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Saudi Arabia’s AI ambition, and what it means for the United States

    A day before Air Force One touched down in Riyadh to kick off US President Donald Trump’s three-country tour of the Gulf, Saudi Arabia made a pivotal announcement. The kingdom, long synonymous with oil, revealed a major investment in artificial intelligence (AI) through its newly launched company, HumAIn. This pivot, explicitly timed to coincide with Trump’s visit starting on May 13, and in anticipation of the signing of multiple tech deals between US and Gulf firms during the trip, signaled a profound shift in US-Saudi relations — from a traditional oil-for-security alliance to a partnership centered on AI and digital infrastructure.

    The downside oil market risks of a new Iran deal
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The downside oil market risks of a new Iran deal

    Near-term progress in a renewed nuclear agreement between the United States and Iran could add further downward pressure to a delicate oil market, potentially heralding more fiscal pain for Gulf oil producers and complicating US energy strategy.

    AI, Tech, and the Future of US-Gulf Relations
  • Podcast
  • AI, Tech, and the Future of US-Gulf Relations

    Hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj speak with MEI Senior Fellow Mohammed Soliman about President Donald Trump’s recent trip to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar, which yielded a wave of major US-Gulf tech and AI deals. Soliman explains how these partnerships mark a shift in the relationship—from oil and arms to compute power and data infrastructure—and what it means for the Gulf’s strategic role in the global AI ecosystem.

    May 22, 2025

    Back to reality: Gravity remains in place after Trump’s trip
    Photo by Bahsar Taleb/AFP via Getty Images (2385)
  • Analysis
  • Back to reality: Gravity remains in place after Trump’s trip

    The harsh realities of the region’s threats and challenges, like Iran and the Gaza war, stubbornly persist following the pomp and circumstance of Trump’s “spring bling” tour, which featured eye-popping dollar figures and an offer of a luxury jumbo jet from Qatar.

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