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Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East

    Recent elections for the Israeli Knesset and American Congress may make less of a difference in the Middle East than some people think. Elections are significant indicators of national political trends, but do not always translate into changes in national security strategies. That is likely the case now in both nations.

    The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf
  • Analysis
  • The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf

    The war with Iran is hardly over, but the debate over the shape and nature of the post-conflict American posture in the Gulf region is just beginning. Undoubtedly, how the war ends will affect how the United States adjusts its role. While this debate is still in its early stages, something of a conventional wisdom is already developing in policy circles that could seriously compromise American influence in the Middle East.

    Curb Your Enthusiasm: Why the Midterms Might Not Change Much in US Middle East Policy
  • Analysis
  • Curb Your Enthusiasm: Why the Midterms Might Not Change Much in US Middle East Policy

    With less than a week before the midterm elections in the United States, the spotlight is on the economy and cultural divides. US foreign policy remains mostly on the sidelines, but this year’s inconclusive Iran war and its effect on America’s economy have shaped the broader political environment in this electoral cycle.

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    Addressing challenges to tolerance and religious diversity in Iraq
    Photo by SAFIN HAMID/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Addressing challenges to tolerance and religious diversity in Iraq

    Iraq has long had a troubled history with its ethno-religious minorities, one full of oppression and violence. This was true under the Ba’athist regime and continued after the 2003 U.S.-led invasion, reaching a nadir with the rise of the Islamic State terrorist group. Although Iraq is now enjoying its most stable period in the past two decades, it is also a case study of the pernicious effects of structural violence, especially toward the more marginalized and vulnerable segments of society.

    July 5, 2023

    Saudis in charge: Managing OPEC+’s unhappy days
    Photographer: Simon Dawson/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Saudis in charge: Managing OPEC+’s unhappy days

    The current complex situation in the global oil market seriously tests the abilities of OPEC+ to play the role of a regulator, forcing Saudi Arabia to assume the main burden of responsibility for keeping oil prices from declining further and for shoring up the cartel ranks.

    The U.S. and EU Should Coordinate their Saudi and Israeli-Palestinian Efforts
  • Commentary
  • The U.S. and EU Should Coordinate their Saudi and Israeli-Palestinian Efforts

    American and European eyes are set on Riyadh. Both the Biden administration and the European External Action Service are currently trying to advance policy moves that involve Saudi Arabia and that – if successful – will reshape the Middle East. Alas, when it comes to the Israeli-Palestinian issue, these European and American efforts are quite different, and even seem contradictory.

    June 29, 2023

    Middle East futures will pivot on women
    Photo by Lynsey Addario/Getty Images Reportage
  • Analysis
  • Middle East futures will pivot on women

    Gender parity in the Middle East is still many decades away, but it will largely determine the future of economic, social, cultural, and political development in the region.

    June 28, 2023

    Saudi LNG exports: Overcoming challenges to commercial success
    Photographer: Maya Sidiqqui/Bloomberg
  • Analysis
  • Saudi LNG exports: Overcoming challenges to commercial success

    After issuing positive statements around greenfield blue hydrogen projects in late 2022, the company, Bloomberg now reports, may be migrating away from the hydrogen scheme and toward LNG exports. Both would require significant capital investment. Assuming the company decides to pursue an LNG export project, it will face many potentially value-erosive challenges and risks that must be overcome before achieving economic success.

    June 27, 2023

    How the rumble in Russia reverberates around the Middle East
    Photo by STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How the rumble in Russia reverberates around the Middle East

    It is too early to tell whether the Wagner “uprising” is a one-off or foreshadows further cracks and the eventual collapse of Putin’s presidency, but the latter outcome would have lasting consequences in the MENA region.

    June 26, 2023

    Obstacles and opportunities for closer Iranian-Chinese economic cooperation
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Obstacles and opportunities for closer Iranian-Chinese economic cooperation

    Despite a substantial growth in trade between China and Iran, especially when it comes to Chinese exports to Iran and purchases of Iranian oil, the same cannot be said for Beijing’s investments in the Iranian economy, which have remained anemic, particularly in the critical energy sector.

    June 23, 2023

    Iran and the GCC connectivity agenda: Implication for Washington’s Iran policy
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran and the GCC connectivity agenda: Implication for Washington’s Iran policy

    The prevailing political spirit in the Gulf region is presently one of de-escalation. In the case of the UAE and Iran, a number of existing connections could help hasten the process of de-escalation and enable it to happen faster than anywhere else in the region.The outcome should be of interest not only to the UAE and Iran but also to the U.S. given the latter’s long-standing efforts to shape Iranian policies.

    Disease, destruction, flooded fields, and hunger: The far-reaching consequence of the Kakhovka dam collapse in Ukraine
    Photo by Roman Pilipey/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Disease, destruction, flooded fields, and hunger: The far-reaching consequence of the Kakhovka dam collapse in Ukraine

    Last week’s collapse of the Nova Kakhovka dam on the Dnipro River in Ukraine is one of the largest environmental disaster the Black Sea region and Europe has faced in decades. Its far-reaching environmental, economic, and humanitarian consequences will affect not just Ukraine and the Black Sea region, but also the Middle East and Africa.

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