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The Middle East Beyond the Iran War
  • Report
  • The Middle East Beyond the Iran War

    This article is part of a collection of short essays written by the Fellows of the Middle East Institute to explore aspects of the ongoing war with Iran. The intent of the collection is to help readers see new and unexpected elements of the dynamics and impact of the ongoing hostilities and to think harder, deeper, and broader about the implications of the conflict.

    September 28, 2026

    Turkey: Ankara’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment
  • Analysis
  • Turkey: Ankara’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment

    In February 2026, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan suggested that shifting international dynamics could push Turkey to acquire nuclear weapons. That rhetoric, combined with Turkey’s civilian nuclear energy and research programs and its indigenous surface-to-surface missile development projects, has fueled concerns that these capabilities could eventually form the backbone of a Turkish nuclear weapons program.

    Syria: Opportunity Amid Regional Adversity
  • Analysis
  • Syria: Opportunity Amid Regional Adversity

    When the US and Israel launched military action against Iran on February 28, 2026, it set in motion a chain of events that saw violence spread across the Middle East. Yet as the region found itself engulfed in conflict, Syria has experienced its most peaceful months in 15 years, and the government in Damascus appears determined to stay its course toward recovery.

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    How the Democrats can reclaim Syria policy
    American soldiers patrol on the M4 highway in the town of Tal Tamr in the northeastern Syrian Hasakeh province on the border with Turkey on January 24, 2020.
  • Analysis
  • How the Democrats can reclaim Syria policy

    Democrats ought to build a moral firewall around Syria policy, establishing a framework for understanding the Syrian conflict and debating policy options.

    March 18, 2020

    The US must remain engaged in Lebanon or risk Russian and Chinese gains
    US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo (L) meets with Lebanon's President Michel Aoun (R) at the presidential palace in Baabda, east of the capital Beirut on March 22, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • The US must remain engaged in Lebanon or risk Russian and Chinese gains

    Amid an unprecedented political, economic, and financial crisis and the emergence of a new threat from the global coronavirus pandemic, Lebanon needs all the help it can get. The U.S. has long been an important source of assistance, and yet, as conversations with officials in both Beirut and Washington make clear, the argument for halting U.S. aid to Lebanon seems to be gaining ground.

    March 18, 2020

    The puzzling outcome of the Moscow Summit
    Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (L) and Russia's President Vladimir Putin at a press conference following their meeting at the Moscow Kremlin.
  • Analysis
  • The puzzling outcome of the Moscow Summit

    In changing the balance of power on the ground and forcing hostilities to a stalemate, Turkey’s military intervention in Idlib had produced its desired effect. On March 5, Vladimir Putin and Erdogan sat together for six hours and announced to the world a comprehensive cease-fire and the establishment of a secure corridor spanning six kilometers on the north and south sides of the M4 highway.

    US-Russia standoffs in northeast Syria: Just getting started
    A Russian soldier looks through binoculars on the key M4 highway in Syria's northeastern Hasakeh province on January 20, 2020. (Photo by Delil SOULEIMAN / AFP) (Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • US-Russia standoffs in northeast Syria: Just getting started

    As Syria’s war reaches its ninth anniversary, Russian and U.S. soldiers are increasingly finding themselves face to face — quite literally — in the country’s northeast. A spate of confrontations over the last two months has opened questions about the fate of Syria’s north in the coming year.

    March 16, 2020

    Israeli elections and the Joint List
    Ayman Odeh (C), leader of the Hadash party that is part of the Joint List alliance, gives an address with other alliance leaders at their electoral headquarters in Israel's northern city of Shefa-Amr on March 2, 2020, after polls officially closed.
  • Commentary
  • Israeli elections and the Joint List

    Whether or not Gantz succeeds in forming a government, the Joint List has cemented its role as “king makers” in Israeli politics.

    March 16, 2020

    Is Erdogan misreading Putin on Libya?
    Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan greet each other during their talks at the Kremlin on March 5, 2020 in Moscow, Russia. Erdogan is having a one day visit to Russia to discuss the war conflcit in Syria.
  • Analysis
  • Is Erdogan misreading Putin on Libya?

    After Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan hammered out a deal with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on March 5 to bring an end to the fighting in Idlib in northwestern Syria, he said he was hopeful that the two countries could extend their cooperation to Libya.

    Manufacturing Division: The Assad Regime and Minorities in South-west Syria
    A picture shows the new church of Sayyidet al-Beshara in Shaqra town in the southern Syrian province of Daraa on December 22, 2019. - Less than 10 kilometres (six miles) away lies the mainly Christian town of Shaqra, emptied of most of its Christian residents after a spate of attacks by rebels and jihadists during the conflict. Such attacks have stopped since the area came back under regime control, but very few Christian families remain. (Photo by MAHER AL MOUNES / AFP) (Photo by MAHER AL MOUNES/AFP via Ge
  • Analysis
  • Manufacturing Division: The Assad Regime and Minorities in South-west Syria

    Minority communities in south-west Syria have shrunk to a fraction of their pre-2011 size, and the regime’s repressive policies perpetuate a cycle of violence and chaos that prevents their safe return. The regime’s strategy of transforming minority communities into sources of militia fighters has not only led to the deaths of thousands of young Alawite and Shi’a men, but also created sectarian tensions between formerly interconnected communities in south-west Syria. So long as the regime’s policy in the south-west is characterized by violence, the safe and dignified return of displaced Syrians will not be possible. This paper studies current and former minority communities in south-west Syria, the security and economic challenges these groups face, and the manner by which the regime exploits and weaponizes these vulnerable Syrians.

    March 11, 2020

    The link between Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Iraqi militias
  • Analysis
  • The link between Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Iraqi militias

    Iraq has been relatively calm in recent weeks. This could change following Mohammad Allawi’s withdrawal as prime minister-designate, but Iran’s proxies in Iraq are giving dialogue a chance before pushing ahead with what they say is revenge for the slaying of Qasem Soleimani, head of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard’s Al-Quds Force.

    March 9, 2020

    Little hope for an end to Israel’s political turmoil
    An emblem of Israel with the Knesset in the background, seen on the day of Israeli Legislative Elections 2020, in Central Jerusalem.
  • Commentary
  • Little hope for an end to Israel’s political turmoil

    Neither Likud nor Kahol Lavan was able to break the political stalemate and clear the path to the immediate formation of a majority government.

    March 9, 2020

    Can Palestinian citizens of Israel teach other Arabs a lesson in democracy?
  • Analysis
  • Can Palestinian citizens of Israel teach other Arabs a lesson in democracy?

    While attention in the third Israeli general elections in a year has focused on the performance of the caretaker prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu, a powerful light must be shed as well on the successful performance of Israel’s Palestinian citizens, who again increased their representation in Israel’s parliament.

    March 6, 2020

    First Friday Open House

    First Friday Open House

    March 6, 2020, 6:00 PM – 8:00 PM

    Middle East Institute , 1763 N Street NW , Washington, District of Columbia 20036

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    The oldest peer-reviewed publication dedicated to the study of the modern Middle East, MEI’s flagship journal covers politics, society, and culture in the region.