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Power cuts in Egypt: A political liability for Sisi ahead of the upcoming elections
Islam Safwat/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Power cuts in Egypt: A political liability for Sisi ahead of the upcoming elections

    A brutal heat wave tormenting Egypt since mid-July, resulting in lengthy and repeated power cuts, has turned into a political liability for President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi ahead of his expected campaign to run for a third, six-year term early next year.

    August 18, 2023

    Japan looks to the Gulf as it bets big on hydrogen
    Photo by Akio Kon/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Japan looks to the Gulf as it bets big on hydrogen

    As a trailblazer in hydrogen diplomacy, Japan is seeking to develop a new pattern of energy interdependence with its longstanding partners, the Gulf Arab states — countries that are promising production bases for and exporters of green hydrogen and ammonia, and whose leaders have come to regard the development of clean hydrogen as an attractive way to diversify their economies.

    The Russia-Ukraine war forces Egypt to face the need to feed itself: Infrastructure, international partnerships, and agritech can provide the solutions
    Photo by Mahmoud Elkhwas/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Russia-Ukraine war forces Egypt to face the need to feed itself: Infrastructure, international partnerships, and agritech can provide the solutions

    After 500 days of coping with the debilitating impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Egypt’s economy is faltering. At the core of the crisis is its fragile food security. Now, the Egyptian economy is fast approaching a tipping point and Cairo has no alternative but to boost its domestic agrifood production. In addition to building out its infrastructure, Egypt must also adopt cutting-edge agritech solutions to improve the water-use efficiency of the crops themselves.

    Russia, Ukraine, and the Reshuffling of the European Security Order
  • Commentary
  • Russia, Ukraine, and the Reshuffling of the European Security Order

    In a 1994 article for Foreign Affairs, former US national security advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski famously argued that “without Ukraine, Russia ceases to be an empire.” His analysis is no less valid today.

    At the time, Brzezinski was arguing against the United States pressuring Ukraine to give up its nuclear weapons. It seems reasonable to say that there would be no war in Ukraine today if the country had not done so under the terms of the flawed Budapest Memorandum.

    Turkey's role after the Black Sea grain deal collapse has become even more critical
  • Commentary
  • Turkey's role after the Black Sea grain deal collapse has become even more critical

    During the 500 days since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the Middle East avoided a catastrophic food crisis, thanks in part to the Black Sea grain initiative. Russia’s decision to cancel that agreement is raising fears that the return of supply shortages and skyrocketing wheat prices could quickly plunge the most vulnerable countries of the region into crisis.

    Climate Change Threatens Turkey’s Role as a Food Supplier to Europe and the Middle East
  • Commentary
  • Climate Change Threatens Turkey’s Role as a Food Supplier to Europe and the Middle East

    The persistence of high food inflation in Turkey belies a deeper problem. Turkish agrifood production cannot adequately cope with increasing water scarcity due to climate change. Challenging Turkey’s own food security, the growing crisis also threatens Turkey’s role as a food supplier to Europe and the Middle East. Regional food supply chain breakdowns due to a decline in Turkish production would create a debilitating economic impact on both regions.

    The new wave of dealmaking by Gulf sovereign wealth funds
    Photo by FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The new wave of dealmaking by Gulf sovereign wealth funds

    For resource-rich countries such as Gulf oil and natural gas producers, sovereign wealth funds have emerged as promising tools to save for future generations, mitigate the effects of outsized economic shocks, and/or be deployed as reserve investment and strategic development funds to spend on human, natural, social, and physical capital.

    Regional Environmental Cooperation Between Israel and Its Neighbors
    Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Regional Environmental Cooperation Between Israel and Its Neighbors

    As environmental challenges become a priority for countries across the Middle East and the Mediterranean, this creates new opportunities for regional environmental cooperation, including between Israel and its neighbors. Despite being limited in scope and facing several key obstacles, regional cooperative endeavors are taking place, including on both the bilateral and multilateral levels, and efforts to sustain and expand them are underway. This new report, written under the auspices of the Israel Climate Forum, addresses the importance of regional environmental cooperation in the Middle East and Mediterranean, examines the scope of such cooperation between Israel and its neighbors, and spells out opportunities, obstacles, and recommendations for increased coordination and joint action, including the role the U.S. and Europe can play.

    July 13, 2023

    Mastering the growing crisis in the South Caucasus: A role for the West and Turkey
    Photo by Celal Güneş/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Mastering the growing crisis in the South Caucasus: A role for the West and Turkey

    The South Caucasus region needs a clear push from the West to ensure its long-term stability and achieve a pro-Western orientation. But no lasting solutions in this space will be possible until there is an end to the war in Ukraine that fulfills the interests of both Ukraine itself and the broader West. The United States and the European Union, in cooperation with other key players — foremost Turkey — must showcase greater determination, flexibility, and coordination when it comes to their policies toward the region.

    July 10, 2023

    The Gulf Goes Green
  • Commentary
  • The Gulf Goes Green

    In the last few years, the global energy outlook has been transformed. The rise of populist politics and a growing sense of urgency about climate change have roiled debates about energy policy in wealthy countries, generating a dizzying mix of new industrial policies. The COVID-19 pandemic made it far harder to predict fuel prices and consumption patterns and forced many countries to confront their connections to fragile multistate supply chains and legacy petrostates.