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Turkey Should Avoid Getting Involved in the Saudi-Iran Row
  • Analysis
  • Turkey Should Avoid Getting Involved in the Saudi-Iran Row

    Turkey’s reaction to the latest spat between Saudi Arabia and Iran spells more trouble for Ankara at a time when it is already at loggerheads with many of its neighbors. Initial remarks by Deputy Prime Minister Numan Kurtulmus criticizing both sides were an attempt to keep Turkey out of the rift. He was upstaged, however, by Turkey’s foreign ministry, which followed up with a statement singling out Iran for condemnation.

    Economic Integration Can Ease Regional Tensions
  • Analysis
  • Economic Integration Can Ease Regional Tensions

    The New Year has seen relations in the region spiral out of control with Saudi Arabia cutting off diplomatic ties with the Islamic Republic of Iran. Sectarian tensions mounted following the execution of prominent Saudi Shi’a cleric Nimr al-Nimr and the subsequent attack on the Saudi embassy in Tehran. The immediate impacts of this escalation will likely be felt in Yemen, with the latest ceasefire collapsing over the New Year, and in Syria where U.N.-sponsored peace talks are set to begin later this month.

    January 8, 2016

    The Three Faces of Turkey
  • Analysis
  • The Three Faces of Turkey

    Washington and Ankara are in yet another difficult phase in a relationship cycle that runs from very good to very bad. American public opinion about another country forms slowly, but persists through time once set. As Turkey changes, we keep trying to fit new evidence into the old paradigm. At some point, the contradictions are too obvious to explain away, and the new narrative emerges. Right now, Americans are caught in that dilemma regarding Turkey. Unless we have a better idea of which Turkey we are dealing with, we are certain to make bad choices.

    The Iran-Saudi Feud: Impact and Next Steps
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • The Iran-Saudi Feud: Impact and Next Steps

     

    Paul Salem, Vice President for Policy and Research at MEI, explains the drivers behind the recent flare-up of the Iran-Saudi feud, how it will impact regional issues including Syria, Yemen, and the fight against ISIS, and what the United States can do to help get diplomacy back on track.

     

    January 6, 2016

    Mega Projects and the Limits of Urban Planning in Megacities: The Case of Istanbul in the AKP Era
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Mega Projects and the Limits of Urban Planning in Megacities: The Case of Istanbul in the AKP Era

    This essay examines the politics of the Istanbul Master Plan, which was created by the Istanbul Metropolitan Planning and Urban Design Center (IMP), focusing on the role of non-governmental organizations. The essay addresses three main questions. First, to what have NGOs been involved in the formulation, implementation, and oversight of the Istanbul Master Plan? Second, what form has their activism taken and what has been the response of the AKP government? And third, what are the prospects for achieving the balance between conservation and development originally envisioned by the Istanbul Master Plan?

    December 1, 2015

    Governing Megacities in the MENA and Asia
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Governing Megacities in the MENA and Asia

    According to the UN’s World Urbanization Prospects 2014, there are 28 “megacities” worldwide (i.e., urban agglomerations with populations in excess of 10 million). By 2030 another dozen will likely be added to their ranks.

    November 7, 2015

    In Turkey, a New ‘Deep State’ With Same Foes
  • Analysis
  • In Turkey, a New ‘Deep State’ With Same Foes

    Read the full commentary on The New York Times.

    Since the early days of the republic, Turkey’s deep state has been seen as the clandestine defender of the Turkish establishment and the secular and nationalist ideology established by Turkey’s founder, Mustafa Kemal Ataturk.

    The AKP’s Surprising but Pyrrhic Victory
  • Analysis
  • The AKP’s Surprising but Pyrrhic Victory

    In a stunning electoral comeback that has surprised everyone, including its own legislators, Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) captured almost 50 percent of the votes, but well over 50 percent of parliamentary seats, in Sunday’s elections. There are many lingering questions. Considering that even the pro-government pollsters did not foresee such a victory, many have asked whether the elections were free and fair. If so, how did the AKP manage to reverse its electoral fortunes in just five months in a country that has been mired in chaos and violence during that time?

    Syria's Peace Talks Would Be Nowhere without the Iran Nuclear Deal
  • Analysis
  • Syria's Peace Talks Would Be Nowhere without the Iran Nuclear Deal

    Read the full article at The National Interest.

    Critics of the July 14 nuclear deal with Iran railed against it on the grounds that it would embolden what they argue is Tehran’s destabilizing behavior in the Middle East. The reasoning goes like this: lifting sanctions gives Iran access to tens of billions of dollars that will flow to fund disruptive activities and lets Iran freely pursue its regional ambitions without fear of reprisals.

    The Raised Stakes of Turkey’s Do-Over Election
  • Analysis
  • The Raised Stakes of Turkey’s Do-Over Election

    The Turkish electorate is going to the polls on Sunday for the second time in just over five months. After 13 years in power, the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) failed to secure enough votes in June to form a majority government. In the hope another vote could deliver a parliamentary majority to his party, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan called for snap elections. But polls indicate that Erdogan might not get what he wants.