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Energy Prospects in the Gulf: The Oil Price Ascent, in Brief
Photo by Simon Dawson/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Energy Prospects in the Gulf: The Oil Price Ascent, in Brief

    While oil prices have rebounded before soaring since the depths of collapse in the spring of 2020 — with Brent crude prices skyrocketing from $19 per barrel in April 2020 to a three-year high of $86 per barrel in October 2021 — the prospects for a sustained high oil price for Gulf producers is unlikely.

    Will China save the Afghan economy?
    Photo by Oliver Weiken/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Will China save the Afghan economy?

    Afghanistan’s economy is collapsing. The Taliban’s forceful seizure of power led to a curtailment of almost all foreign aid, a devastating development for a nation overwhelmingly dependent on international assistance. Widespread drought, pervasive corruption, the perennially inadequate use of the country’s human capital, and a population largely unvaccinated against COVID-19 have exacerbated this longstanding problem of foreign financial dependence.

    November 1, 2021

    Saudi-Iran Talks
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Saudi-Iran Talks

    Mohammed Alsulami and Kasra Aarabi join Banafsheh Keynoush to discuss the latest talks between long-time regional rivals Saudi Arabia and Iran. Several rounds of talks between Riyadh and Tehran been held in Baghdad since April. They are taking place amid a broader regional trend toward deconfliction and as negotiations in Vienna over the revival of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal appear to have bogged down.

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    October 29, 2021

    Has Israel’s campaign between the wars reached an impasse?
     Photo by STR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Has Israel’s campaign between the wars reached an impasse?

    In recent years, Israel has waged a campaign against the military buildup of its enemies, mainly Iran, Syria, and Hezbollah. This ongoing effort is called “the campaign between the wars,” or the Mabam Campaign. Several events in recent weeks have given rise to questions about the effectiveness of this campaign, however, and have underscored the need to rethink its future.

    October 26, 2021

    A net-zero Saudi Arabia? Not so fast
    Photo by FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • A net-zero Saudi Arabia? Not so fast

    The kingdom is unlikely to achieve net zero emissions soon, but the ambition to do so, and the plan, is an impactful step in the right direction, write Jim Krane and Karen E. Young in their new piece for Al-Monitor.

    Where to now for Saudi-Iranian dialogue?
    Photo by Royal Hashemite Court/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Where to now for Saudi-Iranian dialogue?

    Iran is a neighboring country for Saudi Arabia and we from the Gulf states respect its people and culture, sharing many similarities as nations throughout different historical periods. However, there are, unfortunately, profound disagreements that have significantly increased since the 1979 revolution because of Tehran’s foreign policy approach based on ideological promotion and projection.

    October 21, 2021

    Century-old grievances continue to fester in Yemen’s Tihama region
    Photo by NABIL HASAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Century-old grievances continue to fester in Yemen’s Tihama region

    Grievances have been piling up unaddressed in Tihama, Yemen’s Red Sea coastal plain, for almost a hundred years. Since the revolt of al-Zaraniq against Imam Yahya Hameed al-Din of the Mutawakkilite Kingdom (then North Yemen) in 1925-26, consecutive Imams and the republican elite have pursued policies that have systematically marginalized the Tihamis. They have been deprived of a fair share of their region’s wealth, as well as opportunities for equitable power-sharing and economic empowerment.

    October 14, 2021

    Why Washington has provided King Abdullah with political cover to engage the Assad regime
    Photo by Philipp von Ditfurth/picture alliance via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Why Washington has provided King Abdullah with political cover to engage the Assad regime

    Jordan is going full speed ahead in normalizing relations with the Syrian regime, 10 years after it suspended political and economic ties with its northern neighbor in the wake of the eruption of the Syrian uprising. On Oct. 3, and in the first public contact between Abdullah and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad since 2011, Amman announced that the king had received a call from Assad. Talks focused on bilateral relations and ways to strengthen cooperation. The king stressed Jordan’s support for efforts to back Syrian territorial integrity, sovereignty, and unity. Jordan had allowed the Syrian embassy to remain open in Amman and kept a skeleton staff at its embassy in Damascus.

    October 5, 2021

    تصعيد روسي في سوريا قبيل القمة مع تركيا وإيران
  • Commentary
  • تصعيد روسي في سوريا قبيل القمة مع تركيا وإيران

    يجتمع الرؤساء الروسي والتركي والإيراني يوم الأربعاء 29 سبتمبر/أيلول في مدينة سوتشي الروسية لمناقشة الوضع في سوريا. وكما كان الحال في الاجتماعات السابقة، من المرجح أن يتصدر الوضع في شمال غرب سوريا جدول الأعمال. على الرغم من أن منطقة إدلب الكبرى ظلت من الناحية التقنية خاضعة لوقف إطلاق النار الذي اتفقت عليه روسيا وتركيا في مارس/آذار 2020، إلا أن الطائرات الروسية والمدفعية السورية ارتكبت انتهاكات قاتلة ومتكررة منذ ذلك الحين.

    The Fourth Division: Syria’s parallel army
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Fourth Division: Syria’s parallel army

    After 40 years, Syria once again has dual military rule, where the president and his brother are the highest authorities. In the early 1980s, Rifaat al-Assad, the brother of Hafez al-Assad, was the commander of the Defense Companies and the strong man in Syria in the military, security, and even civilian spheres, while Hafez was in a coma. Today, we see this scenario echoed with the control of Maher al-Assad, Bashar al-Assad’s brother, over the Fourth Division, which has become an elite military unit due to strong Iranian support and its control over various territories of the country.

    September 24, 2021

    الفرقة الرابعة.. الجيش الموازي في سوريا
  • Commentary
  • الفرقة الرابعة.. الجيش الموازي في سوريا

    بعد أربعين عاما، تتجدد ثناية الحكم العسكري في سوريا بين الرئيس وشقيقه، ففي مطلع الثمانينات كان رفعت الأسد (شقيق حافظ الأسد)، قائد سرايا الدفاع الرجل القوي في سوريا على المستوى العسكري والأمني بل حتى على المستوى المدني، بينما كان حافظ الأسد يشكو من الغيبوبة – آنذاك-.

    September 24, 2021