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Deals, Diplomacy, and Day-After Plans: The Trump Administration's Middle East Strategy
  • Podcast
  • Deals, Diplomacy, and Day-After Plans: The Trump Administration's Middle East Strategy

    As the Trump administration marks six months in office, it is pursuing a flurry of diplomatic initiatives across the Middle East — some publicly coordinated, others shaped behind closed doors. MEI Distinguished Diplomatic Fellow Mara Rudman joins hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj to assess the administration’s broader regional strategy and its handling of key issues.

    July 10, 2025

    The 12-day Israel-Iran war: China’s response and its implications
    Photo by Lintao Zhang/Pool/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The 12-day Israel-Iran war: China’s response and its implications

    Last June’s Israel-Iran conflict became a revealing stress test for Beijing’s Middle East strategy, its role in global diplomacy, and the coherence of what some have described as an emergent “Axis of Upheaval” between China, Russia, and Iran.

    Pakistan’s ability to thread the needle in relations with the US and Iran tested by the Israel-Iran war
    Photo by AAMIR QURESHI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s ability to thread the needle in relations with the US and Iran tested by the Israel-Iran war

    When the Israel-Iran war broke out and the United States decided to assist the Israeli side by striking Iran’s nuclear program, both Tehran and Washington expected Islamabad to side with their respective positions. This situation placed the Pakistani government in a politically sensitive and diplomatically delicate position.

    Trump’s Middle East policy arrives at a temporary and fragile limbo
    Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Trump’s Middle East policy arrives at a temporary and fragile limbo

    Domestic politics has taken center stage in the United States as Congress struggles to pass President Donald Trump’s proposed budget plan. But July is also shaping up as a pivotal month for Trump’s foreign policy in the Middle East and beyond.

    Russia’s military presence in post-Assad Syria: A growing security liability undermining stability
    Photo by Izzettin Kasim/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s military presence in post-Assad Syria: A growing security liability undermining stability

    Six months since the collapse of the Assad regime, the Russian military presence in Syria has remained entrenched in strategic locations such as the Hmeimim airbase and Tartous port on the coast, as well as at Qamishli airport in the northeast. This persistence has reignited an increasingly pressing debate about Moscow’s role in the new Syria.

    July 2, 2025

    Syria After Assad: Transitional Justice, Governance, and the Road Ahead
  • Podcast
  • Syria After Assad: Transitional Justice, Governance, and the Road Ahead

    With Bashar al-Assad ousted and Syria entering a new political chapter, what comes next for a country ravaged by war, repression, and sectarian divisions? Gonul Tol speaks with Steven Heydemann (Smith College) and Radwan Ziadeh (Arab Center Washington DC) about the challenges of transitional justice, prospects for democratic reform, and the role of Syria’s new de facto leader, Ahmed al-Sharah. Can a centralized government model provide inclusive governance? What kind of support—or interference—should Syrians expect from foreign powers?

    The balance of power in Yemen after the US-Houthi cease-fire
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The balance of power in Yemen after the US-Houthi cease-fire

    The May 6 cease-fire between the United States and the Houthi militia in Yemen has had a consolidating effect on the balance of power inside the war-torn state and hardened the status quo of the country’s civil war. In turn, the outcome of Israel and Iran’s subsequent 12-day war has the potential to temporarily shake up this status quo once again; but Yemen’s fracturing anti-Houthi coalition is unlikely to be able to exploit that opportunity.

    June 30, 2025

    US has an opening to force concessions from Iran in a potential deal
    Photo: Satellite image (c) 2025 Maxar Technologies
  • Commentary
  • US has an opening to force concessions from Iran in a potential deal

    As the Israel-Iran conflict intensifies, warnings are growing louder that the war could result in hazardous and destructive radiological spillover to much of the region. But the posturing of various key actors in the Gulf and beyond has opened the door to a broader political settlement between the United States and Iran that could end the hostilities before such a dangerous scenario comes to pass.

    Sanctions are lifting, but Syrians still can’t go home
    Jobar, Syria, taken on 3 June 2025 by Jesse Marks
  • Analysis
  • Sanctions are lifting, but Syrians still can’t go home

    On May 23, President Donald Trump’s administration suspended the majority of sanctions on Syria, marking the most sweeping shift in the policy of the United States toward Damascus in over a decade. But lifting sanctions will not magically make Syria safe for return. For millions of displaced Syrians, their country remains a minefield — literally and bureaucratically.

    June 16, 2025

    Building Syria’s new army: Future plans and the challenges ahead
    Photo by Asaad Al Asaad/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Building Syria’s new army: Future plans and the challenges ahead

    Following the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime on Dec. 8, 2024, after the rebel military operation “Deterrence of Aggression” and the establishment of a transitional government, Ahmed al-Sharaa, Syria’s interim president, quickly began working to form a unified national army, dismantle the existing factions, and centralize all weapons under the authority of the state in an effort to address one of the most pressing challenges facing his administration. While several initial moves have been completed, important steps in this complicated process are still pending. This article highlights the current developments surrounding the formation of the new army, including progress achieved to date and key challenges going forward.

    America moves closer to the brink of maximum uncertainty at home and abroad
    Photo by Ronoldo Schemidt/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • America moves closer to the brink of maximum uncertainty at home and abroad

    The spotlight in America this week is trained on the home front, with growing tensions inside the country over President Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown and a showdown unfolding on the streets of Los Angeles. At times like these, the rest of the world has a way of intruding, sometimes unexpectedly, and Trump 2.0’s foreign policy is still struggling to produce a major positive outcome from its frenetic activity trying to end kinetic wars while prosecuting an unprecedented economic war with much of the rest of the world.