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The downside oil market risks of a new Iran deal
Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The downside oil market risks of a new Iran deal

    Near-term progress in a renewed nuclear agreement between the United States and Iran could add further downward pressure to a delicate oil market, potentially heralding more fiscal pain for Gulf oil producers and complicating US energy strategy.

    Deepening Pakistan’s enduring civil-military imbalance
    Photo by Aamir Qureshi/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Deepening Pakistan’s enduring civil-military imbalance

    The recent elevation of Gen. Asim Munir to the rank of field marshal is a thunderous declaration of the Pakistani military’s unassailable supremacy, a gesture that reverberates far beyond the barbed-wire perimeters of the Army’s General Headquarters in Rawalpindi.

    May 30, 2025

    A midstream appraisal of Trump’s historic Middle East trip
    Photo by BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A midstream appraisal of Trump’s historic Middle East trip

    One of the strategic thrusts of the opening months of Trump’s second terms has been aimed at deepening America’s economic engagement with the leading economies of the Gulf. Thus, the first leg of his trip to the region resulted in a template for deeper US-Saudi ties.

    Illiberal Hegemony? Trump’s Foreign Policy and the GOP’s Identity Crisis – with Bill Kristol
  • Podcast
  • Illiberal Hegemony? Trump’s Foreign Policy and the GOP’s Identity Crisis – with Bill Kristol

    Neoconservatives and MAGA isolationists are locked in a battle for the soul of Republican strategy. Nowhere is the split more glaring than over the Middle East: hawks view it as a proving ground for American power and allegiance to Israel, while isolationists see only endless wars that have bled America dry. Where does Trump fall in this tug-of-war?

    Turkey at a Crossroads: Protests, Crackdowns, and the Future of Democracy
  • Podcast
  • Turkey at a Crossroads: Protests, Crackdowns, and the Future of Democracy

    The arrest of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu has sparked the largest wave of public protests in Turkey in over a decade, signaling a potential turning point in the country’s political trajectory. As the opposition rallies support and President Erdoğan intensifies his crackdown, what lies ahead for Turkish democracy, the Kurdish peace process, and the broader political landscape? MEI Senior Fellow Gonul Tol joins host Alistair Taylor to unpack the growing unrest, the strategic stakes for Erdoğan’s ruling coalition, and the mobilization of a new generation of political activists.

    May 1, 2025

    Can Ukraine’s fight for democracy survive without US support?
  • Podcast
  • Can Ukraine’s fight for democracy survive without US support?

    Ukraine faces a pivotal year in its fight against Russian aggression — and for its democratic future. With fears mounting that President Trump could abandon peace talks with Kyiv and Moscow, the risk grows that US disengagement could tip the balance toward Russia and fracture the global democratic order.

    MENA Energy Recap, Q1-2025: Tariffs and Sanctions Loom Large as Trump Returns
    Photo by Costfoto/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Report
  • MENA Energy Recap, Q1-2025: Tariffs and Sanctions Loom Large as Trump Returns

    The MENA Energy Recap is a quarterly review of key energy developments that took place in the Middle East and North Africa region from January to March 2025 and what they signal for the months ahead. The Recap views these developments through the lenses of policy and strategy, energy security, and markets.

    Le Pen vs. İmamoğlu? Why the comparison fails — and matters
    Photo by Yasin Akgul/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Le Pen vs. İmamoğlu? Why the comparison fails — and matters

    Marine Le Pen, leader of France’s far-right National Rally, was convicted of embezzling EU funds and barred from running for office for five years, effectively disqualifying her from the 2027 presidential race. Meanwhile in Turkey, Ekrem İmamoğlu, mayor of Istanbul and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s most formidable rival, was arrested on corruption charges and jailed, just as he was poised to become the opposition’s presidential candidate. Both Le Pen and Turkish officials are now pointing to each other to justify their own actions.

    Sovereignty first: Reshaping international cooperation in North Africa
    Photo by UAE Presidential Court / Handout/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Sovereignty first: Reshaping international cooperation in North Africa

    Countries in North Africa and around the world are increasingly prioritizing a strict definition of sovereignty and tending toward transactional diplomacy. Understanding the motivations behind North Africa’s “sovereignty-first” approach can help the United States and Europe build mutually beneficial and durable links with the region in this new reality.

    Turkey Is now a full-blown autocracy
    Photo by Ugur Yildirim/ dia images via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Turkey Is now a full-blown autocracy

    Just days before Turkey’s main opposition party was set to select its next presidential candidate, the leading contender, Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, was arrested and jailed, effectively removing him from the race.

    Roadmap for America’s Leadership in AI Action Plan
    Photo by Lionel Bonaventure/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Roadmap for America’s Leadership in AI Action Plan

    In response to the request for information (RFI) from the National Science Foundation (NSF) and the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) regarding the “Development of an Artificial Intelligence Action Plan” in support of the objectives set forth in Executive Order (EO) 14179, the Middle East Institute (MEI) offers five recommendations to solidify the United States’ position as the global leader in AI innovation while addressing critical ethical, regulatory, and infrastructural imperatives.

    Baghdad revisited: Iraq balances on a tightrope
    Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Baghdad revisited: Iraq balances on a tightrope

    Reflections on a recent visit to Baghdad. Much has changed and ordinary life has resumed in Iraq’s capital, but deep challenges remain.

    March 18, 2025

    Return to "maximum pressure": Opportunities and challenges
    Photo by Ali Mohammadi/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Return to "maximum pressure": Opportunities and challenges

    With the signing of a presidential memorandum on Feb. 4, the administration of Donald Trump has returned to a “maximum pressure” campaign against Iran, but circumstances have changed drastically since the policy of intensified sanctions was originally crafted during his first term. Regional geopolitics will present the White House with a new set of variables, while changes in the petroleum markets will affect how the administration approaches sanctions on oil exports.