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Ankara’s double win: Kurds, Israel, and the new Syria
  • Analysis
  • Ankara’s double win: Kurds, Israel, and the new Syria

    Whether the truce between Damascus and the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces holds or collapses will have major implications for neighboring Turkey, which has long-standing interests in Syria, but recent developments already point to a win for Ankara.

    Brian and Behnam Shake the Magic 8 Ball on Iran
  • Podcast
  • Brian and Behnam Shake the Magic 8 Ball on Iran

    Brian sits down with Behnam Taleblu, Senior Fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, to unpack the ongoing protests in Iran and what this moment reveals about the long struggle between the state and the street. They discuss the regime’s brutal crackdown, the prospect of US intervention, and what both could mean for the future of the Islamic Republic. The episode centers on agency, imagination, and the possibilities facing Iranians at a critical juncture in the country’s history.

    Iran’s coming reckoning: Regime collapse is likely — democracy is not
  • Commentary
  • Iran’s coming reckoning: Regime collapse is likely — democracy is not

    The collapse of the Iranian regime in its present form now seems more plausible than its survival as a functioning state. Yet the emergence of a democratic Iran remains far from certain. Between these two outcomes lies a volatile and dangerous middle ground. But much will depend on four factors.

    January 20, 2026

    Potential US military strikes on Iran: This won’t be another 12-Day War
    Photo by Zachary Pearson- U.S. Navy via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Potential US military strikes on Iran: This won’t be another 12-Day War

    President Donald Trump has sharply warned the Iranian regime to halt its brutal crackdown on protesters. Amid speculation that the US is preparing for military action in Iran, Washington should take the lessons and fundamentally different context of its successful June 2025 operation against the Islamic Republic into account as it plans for how to respond.

    Venezuela’s Shadow Over MENA: Perceptions and Precedents
  • Podcast
  • Venezuela’s Shadow Over MENA: Perceptions and Precedents

    MEI Vice President for Policy Ken Pollack joins hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj to explore what the precedent set by the Trump administration’s military capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro could mean for US policy in the Middle East — particularly in light of ongoing anti-regime protests in Iran. The conversation unpacks the reverberations of Operation Absolute Resolve, Washington’s options for and potential consequences of responding to the Iranian regime’s brutal crackdown, regional perceptions of recent US actions and stated objectives, and broader questions around the direction of the Trump administration’s evolving grand strategy.

    January 15, 2026

    Khamenei did this to himself. The US can help — without another Middle East quagmire
  • Commentary
  • Khamenei did this to himself. The US can help — without another Middle East quagmire

    Last week, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei effectively greenlit mass killing to save his regime. His message was blunt: blood would be spilled to preserve the system. His security forces followed through, unleashing a level of violence against protesters that even by the Islamic Republic’s grim standards marks a dangerous escalation.

    Can Iran’s Regime Survive This?
  • Podcast
  • Can Iran’s Regime Survive This?

    Iran is facing the largest demonstrations since 2022, when the death of Mahsa Amini in police custody ignited a nationwide uprising. This time, the unrest comes as the Islamic Republic is unusually exposed—still reeling from a bruising 12-day war with Israel last summer. What does this moment mean for the regime’s survival? How is this wave of protests different from those that came before? And is there anything the outside world can do to support Iran’s pro-democracy movement without backfiring?
    How Damascus and the SDF came to blows in Aleppo — and what might come next
  • Analysis
  • How Damascus and the SDF came to blows in Aleppo — and what might come next

    After months of building tensions, full-blown hostilities erupted between Syria’s transitional government and militia fighters linked to the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in Aleppo on January 6. Through four days of fighting, government forces have now assumed full control of Syria’s second city, after expelling SDF-linked forces from its northwestern districts.

    Trump, Maduro, and Iran
  • Commentary
  • Trump, Maduro, and Iran

    America’s dramatic capture of Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro has set the stage for the conduct of America’s national security strategy in 2026.  It has also raised questions.

    Bonus Episode: Tehran’s Brewing Troubles
  • Podcast
  • Bonus Episode: Tehran’s Brewing Troubles

    This bonus episode of Middle East Focus features a conversation from MEI’s Virtual Briefing Series. Director of Communications Zeina Al-Shaib is joined by Distinguished Diplomatic Fellow Alan Eyre and Senior Fellow Alex Vatanka to discuss the ongoing protests in Iran. The street demonstrations, sparked by the country’s economic nosedive and at times turning violent, are the largest in three years. As regime arrests and killings of protesters have intensified, US President Donald Trump has threatened to intervene, his remarks potentially taking on a more vivid significance in light of the American military extraction over the weekend of Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro, an ally of Tehran. Eyre and Vatanka discuss what these latest developments mean for an Iranian regime already under intense internal and international pressure; the political impact of President Trump’s threats; the limits of Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian’s power to de-escalate the situation at home; and how the instability inside Iran may affect the wider region.

    January 8, 2026

    Iran’s Axis of Resistance after the 12-day war: Adaptation, restructuring, and reconstitution
    Photo by Kaveh Kazemi/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Axis of Resistance after the 12-day war: Adaptation, restructuring, and reconstitution

    Since Israel’s 12-day war against Iran, Tehran and its network of regional proxies and non-state allies, the so-called Axis of Resistance, have entered a phase of strategic dormancy — an outward calm concealing rearmament, financial adaptation, and ideological renewal.

    December 19, 2025

    Moral compass lost: US foreign policy in 2025
    Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Moral compass lost: US foreign policy in 2025

    US President Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a prime time address to the nation this evening at a moment when public support for his second term has hit new lows. No matter the topic Trump chooses to frame the national conversation as America heads into the holiday season, it is worth taking a step back and reflecting on the bigger story of what has occurred in the United States in 2025 and how these dynamics affect America’s relations with the rest of the world, including the Middle East.