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Trump, Maduro, and Iran
  • Commentary
  • Trump, Maduro, and Iran

    America’s dramatic capture of Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro has set the stage for the conduct of America’s national security strategy in 2026.  It has also raised questions.

    Bonus Episode: Tehran’s Brewing Troubles
  • Podcast
  • Bonus Episode: Tehran’s Brewing Troubles

    This bonus episode of Middle East Focus features a conversation from MEI’s Virtual Briefing Series. Director of Communications Zeina Al-Shaib is joined by Distinguished Diplomatic Fellow Alan Eyre and Senior Fellow Alex Vatanka to discuss the ongoing protests in Iran. The street demonstrations, sparked by the country’s economic nosedive and at times turning violent, are the largest in three years. As regime arrests and killings of protesters have intensified, US President Donald Trump has threatened to intervene, his remarks potentially taking on a more vivid significance in light of the American military extraction over the weekend of Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro, an ally of Tehran. Eyre and Vatanka discuss what these latest developments mean for an Iranian regime already under intense internal and international pressure; the political impact of President Trump’s threats; the limits of Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian’s power to de-escalate the situation at home; and how the instability inside Iran may affect the wider region.

    January 8, 2026

    Iran’s political deadlock — and a way out the regime is unlikely to take
    Photo by Mobina / Middle East Images / AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s political deadlock — and a way out the regime is unlikely to take

    On Sunday, December 28, Iran’s latest wave of unrest began not on a university campus or in a symbolic political square, but in the very heart of the country’s economic sphere: the Grand Bazaar commercial center in downtown Tehran. What distinguishes the current moment is not simply the persistence of unrest but its emotional register. Iranian commentary increasingly describes not just hardship but a collapse of expectations of a better future.

    Iran’s Axis of Resistance after the 12-day war: Adaptation, restructuring, and reconstitution
    Photo by Kaveh Kazemi/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Axis of Resistance after the 12-day war: Adaptation, restructuring, and reconstitution

    Since Israel’s 12-day war against Iran, Tehran and its network of regional proxies and non-state allies, the so-called Axis of Resistance, have entered a phase of strategic dormancy — an outward calm concealing rearmament, financial adaptation, and ideological renewal.

    December 19, 2025

    Rob Malley Argues Two States Is an Illusion
  • Podcast
  • Rob Malley Argues Two States Is an Illusion

    Brian sits down with Robert Malley, a former US official best known for his role as the lead negotiator of the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. Malley discusses the motivations behind his new book, Tomorrow Is Yesterday: Life, Death, and the Pursuit of Peace in Israel/Palestine, and offers his assessment of American perspectives on the war in Gaza. The conversation also explores his personal background as the son​ of an Egyptian Jewish father and an American Jewish mother—both outspoken on the political left—and how that upbringing shaped his worldview, alongside a career spanning the Clinton, Obama, and Biden administrations.

     

    The Axis of Resistance
    Photo by Mohammadali Najib/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Backgrounder
  • The Axis of Resistance

    This backgrounder provides an overview of the Axis of Resistance, a loosely aligned network of armed groups and state actors led and supported by Iran to project its influence and military strength across the Middle East.

    December 3, 2025

    How Iraq’s vote will shape the next phase of US-Iran competition
    Photo by Ameer Al-Mohammedawi/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How Iraq’s vote will shape the next phase of US-Iran competition

    For Iran, Iraq is strategic depth, political sanctuary, and economic lifeline all at once. The results of the November 11 Iraqi elections will decide who in Baghdad controls the budgetary levers, internal security appointments, and committees that could codify, or constrain, Iraq’s Iran-backed militias.

    The taboo of regret: Iranian reflections on the seizure of the US embassy in 1979
    Photo credit BEHROUZ MEHRI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The taboo of regret: Iranian reflections on the seizure of the US embassy in 1979

    For decades, the 1979 takeover of the US Embassy in Tehran has symbolized the righteousness of the Islamic Republic of Iran’s revolutionary defiance and the legitimacy of “resistance” as state ideology. To question it is to pry open the logic of the entire enterprise.

    Pakistan’s strategic defense pact with Saudi Arabia: A new security architecture in the wider Middle East
    Photo via Saudi Ministry of Foreign Affairs
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s strategic defense pact with Saudi Arabia: A new security architecture in the wider Middle East

    Following Israel’s September 9 strike on Hamas targets in Qatar, Pakistan has taken swift and significant foreign policy steps in response and adopted an unusually assertive stance. This shift was largely influenced by Pakistan’s military chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir. The latter is determined to enhance his country’s strategic autonomy and diplomatic leverage in an increasingly complex international environment by positioning Pakistan as a key security actor and an emerging middle power on the global stage.

    Silent leverage, quiet gains? China and the Saudi-Pakistan defense pact
    Photo by Madoka Ikegami-Pool/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Silent leverage, quiet gains? China and the Saudi-Pakistan defense pact

    The Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement (SMDA) between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, signed in Riyadh on September 17, is far more than a bilateral pledge. It represents a profound reordering of alignments in the Gulf and South Asia, reflecting and reinforcing the broader erosion of US preeminence in the Eurasian security architecture. While much of the initial commentary centered on the striking commitment of a wealthy Gulf monarchy to the defense of a nuclear-armed South Asian state, as well as the question of whether Pakistan had in fact extended its nuclear umbrella to Saudi Arabia, the deeper story is arguably China’s potential advance.

    A Middle East NATO? Regional Security Options After Doha
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • A Middle East NATO? Regional Security Options After Doha

    Israel’s September 9 strike on Hamas leaders in Doha rattled Gulf capitals and revived a decades-old debate over whether the region needs a NATO-style defensive alliance. MEI Senior Fellow Jason Campbell joins hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj to unpack why past attempts at collective defense have fallen short, whether this moment is different, and what the crisis means for US security strategy in the Middle East.

    September 25, 2025

    Strategic drift in US Middle East policy as Trump speaks on the world stage
    Photo by Alexi J. Rosenfeld/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Strategic drift in US Middle East policy as Trump speaks on the world stage

    President Donald Trump used his speech this week before the United Nations General Assembly to reinforce his unique style of US foreign policy-making and levy criticisms against others, including the UN itself. But Trump did little to create a framework for crafting solutions to address problems and thorny security challenges.

    Europe’s snapback gamble on Iran
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Europe’s snapback gamble on Iran

    The coming weeks may prove decisive in Europe’s long struggle to manage Iran’s nuclear ambitions. On Aug. 28, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany announced they will trigger the “snapback” sanctions mechanism. Whether Europe’s gamble succeeds will determine both the future of non-proliferation and the credibility of Europe as a strategic actor.

    Trump desperate for progress in his sound and fury foreign policy
    Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Trump desperate for progress in his sound and fury foreign policy

    The most striking thing about Donald Trump’s foreign policy at the seven-month mark of his second administration is how it has failed to improve America’s overall strategic position in the world. It is still early days, but the Trump team’s frenetic flurry of actions, coupled with attention-seeking and often incendiary rhetoric, has served to obscure a poor record of scoring significant international wins for America.

    Trump’s unpredictable diplomacy of distraction mostly comes up empty
    Photo by Chen Mengtong/China News Service/VCG via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Trump’s unpredictable diplomacy of distraction mostly comes up empty

    All eyes this week are on Alaska, where US President Donald Trump will hold a pivotal meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss ending the Ukraine war. But the United States remains consumed by several domestic issues, including continued strains over policing, immigration, and checks and balances inside America’s system of government. All of this comes at a time when Trump’s domestic political standing continues to slip lower, including among members of his own party.