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ISIS strategy check: Rule out a U.S. war
  • Analysis
  • ISIS strategy check: Rule out a U.S. war

    This op-ed was first published in the New York Daily News.

    The United States might not have had a strategy for battling ISIS last week, but it does now. The NATO summit in Wales produced one. It reflects President Obama’s instincts and his ability to corral fractious allies.

    It also says nothing about the use of force by the United States.

    September 8, 2014

    Turkey’s Syria and Iraq Policy Hostage to Islamic State
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s Syria and Iraq Policy Hostage to Islamic State

    As the United States struggles to mobilize a coalition of allies including Turkey behind potential military action against the Islamic State (formerly known as ISIS) in Syria, Turkey’s Iraq and Syria policies remain captive to ISIS and the 49 Turkish hostages it holds. Turkey might be key to the U.S. effort to confront ISIS, and it is in a very tough spot.

    How U.S. can help Syria drive out ISIS
  • Analysis
  • How U.S. can help Syria drive out ISIS

    Read the full article on CNN.

    American airstrikes might be needed in Syria, but that would not be the most important tactic for success, nor would more material aid to the rebels be sufficient to contain the Islamic State over the long term. As in Iraq, there has to be a political angle as well.

    A Strategy Against the Islamic State
  • Analysis
  • A Strategy Against the Islamic State

    The outlines of a US strategy to roll back ISIS, or the ‘Islamic State’ as it styles itself, in Iraq have become relatively clear, even if success is uncertain.

    August 22, 2014

    Pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democratic Party is Big Winner in Turkish Elections
  • Analysis
  • Pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democratic Party is Big Winner in Turkish Elections

    A recent statement from the imprisoned leader of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party, Abdullah Ocalan, hails a new era for Turkey’s Kurds. In a statement from his cell on the prison island of Imrali in the Sea of Marmara, Ocalan said that Turkey was now on the verge of “historic developments” after last week’s presidential elections and declared that through a major democratic negotiation, the 30-year war was coming to an end.

    Mosul During the Caliphate
  • Analysis
  • Mosul During the Caliphate

    One hundred and sixty-three years before the Islamic State’s band of thugs rolled into the city, terrorizing the city’s minorities, my Protestant missionary ancestor, his wife, and two children settled in Mosul, a long way from the home they left behind in Utica, New York.

    August 12, 2014

    Erdogan Wins the Presidential Vote but the Race Is Not Over
  • Analysis
  • Erdogan Wins the Presidential Vote but the Race Is Not Over

    Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has won the presidential election in Turkey’s first direct presidential election on Sunday, extending his 12-year grip on power. Despite heavy campaigning and the financial support from public funds, he won the election with only 51.95 percent of the vote, slightly higher than the minimum required to win the election.

    Obama Raises the Bar in Iraq
  • Analysis
  • Obama Raises the Bar in Iraq

    Paul Salem, MEI’s vice president for policy and research, examines President Obama’s decision to step up US intervention against the Islamic State (also known as ISIS) in Iraq, and what it implies for broader US policy in the region, in this Expert Q&A.

    How do you read the import and impact of President Obama’s recent announcements of airstrikes and humanitarian intervention in Iraq?

    August 11, 2014

    Turkey's Presidential Elections
  • Analysis
  • Turkey's Presidential Elections

    On August 10, Turkish voters will go to the polls to choose a new president for the first time in the country’s history. The following candidates are on the ballot: Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the Prime Minister and leader of the governing Justice and Development Party (AKP); Ekmeleddin Ihsanoglu, joint candidate for the opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP) and Nationalist Action Party (MHP); and Selahattin Demirtas, the candidate of the pro-Kurdish People’s Democratic Party (HDP).

    "Marked" for Exclusion: The Problem of Pluralism, State-building, and Communal Identities in Iraq and the Arab World
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • "Marked" for Exclusion: The Problem of Pluralism, State-building, and Communal Identities in Iraq and the Arab World

    In this essay, the author argues that the dynamics of contemporary Sunni-Shi‘a relations in Iraq and elsewhere in the Arab world are not fundamentally different from those animating other societal cleavages. The modern Iraqi state’s awkwardness vis-à-vis its Shi‘a population, and indeed other outgroups and minorities, was most directly a product of exclusionary nation-building based on problematic conceptions of “unity” and “pluralism.” Rather than actually fostering unity or respecting and nurturing pluralism (politically or communally), these concepts have often been used to exclude dissenters whose non-conformity was deemed a threat to the body politic.

    August 5, 2014

    Gaza Crisis Shows Turkey’s Declining Regional Influence
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Gaza Crisis Shows Turkey’s Declining Regional Influence

    The Israeli incursion into Gaza and the ensuing diplomatic efforts to end the violence have revealed Turkey’s waning influence in the region.  

    The Turkish government has been promoting itself as a potential mediator between Israel and Hamas.  The latter’s rejection of an Egyptian ceasefire in mid-July bolstered Turkey’s hopes of playing a key role, as did its inclusion in this past weekend’s Paris summit hosted by U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry.