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Russia, Ukraine, and the Reshuffling of the European Security Order
  • Commentary
  • Russia, Ukraine, and the Reshuffling of the European Security Order

    In a 1994 article for Foreign Affairs, former US national security advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski famously argued that “without Ukraine, Russia ceases to be an empire.” His analysis is no less valid today.

    At the time, Brzezinski was arguing against the United States pressuring Ukraine to give up its nuclear weapons. It seems reasonable to say that there would be no war in Ukraine today if the country had not done so under the terms of the flawed Budapest Memorandum.

    The Middle East’s Four Battlegrounds
    Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The Middle East’s Four Battlegrounds

    Paul Scharre’s book “Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence” straddles two lines of thought: the transformative impact of AI on power and warfare in the 21st century and the dangers AI presents to human freedoms, individual rights, and the meaning of truth and reality.

    July 11, 2023

    Mastering the growing crisis in the South Caucasus: A role for the West and Turkey
    Photo by Celal Güneş/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Mastering the growing crisis in the South Caucasus: A role for the West and Turkey

    The South Caucasus region needs a clear push from the West to ensure its long-term stability and achieve a pro-Western orientation. But no lasting solutions in this space will be possible until there is an end to the war in Ukraine that fulfills the interests of both Ukraine itself and the broader West. The United States and the European Union, in cooperation with other key players — foremost Turkey — must showcase greater determination, flexibility, and coordination when it comes to their policies toward the region.

    July 10, 2023

    Georgia the interconnector — but where’s Washington?
    Photo by Turkish Presidency/Murat Cetinmuhurdar/Handout/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Georgia the interconnector — but where’s Washington?

    For the sake of safeguarding transatlantic — and thus also American — security interests in the South Caucasus, it is becoming increasingly imperative that the United States better anchor itself economically, politically, and militarily in the eastern Black Sea region, especially strategically placed Georgia.

    July 7, 2023

    Understanding the growing Indo-Israeli strategic cyber partnership
    Photo by Indian Ministry of External Affairs / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Understanding the growing Indo-Israeli strategic cyber partnership

    India and Israel have embarked on a mission to enhance their bilateral strategic cyber partnership. Private-sector collaboration and investment have laid the foundation for this partnership, which has now expanded to government-level agreements and frameworks.

    How the rumble in Russia reverberates around the Middle East
    Photo by STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How the rumble in Russia reverberates around the Middle East

    It is too early to tell whether the Wagner “uprising” is a one-off or foreshadows further cracks and the eventual collapse of Putin’s presidency, but the latter outcome would have lasting consequences in the MENA region.

    June 26, 2023

    Disease, destruction, flooded fields, and hunger: The far-reaching consequence of the Kakhovka dam collapse in Ukraine
    Photo by Roman Pilipey/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Disease, destruction, flooded fields, and hunger: The far-reaching consequence of the Kakhovka dam collapse in Ukraine

    Last week’s collapse of the Nova Kakhovka dam on the Dnipro River in Ukraine is one of the largest environmental disaster the Black Sea region and Europe has faced in decades. Its far-reaching environmental, economic, and humanitarian consequences will affect not just Ukraine and the Black Sea region, but also the Middle East and Africa.

    The potential and limitations of Russia-China cooperation in the Middle East
    Photo by ALEXEI DRUZHININ/Sputnik/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The potential and limitations of Russia-China cooperation in the Middle East

    Even though Russia and China’s strategic partnership has strengthened in recent years, the leaderships of both countries infrequently engage on Middle East affairs. Russia views China’s growing diplomatic assertiveness in the Middle East as a positive step toward a multipolar regional order. Nevertheless, Russia is trying to avoid being completely eclipsed by China as a prospective conflict arbiter. While the two countries concur on opposing unilateral sanctions and democratic uprisings in the Middle East, Beijing does not universally approve of Moscow’s positions on regional crises and its power projection strategy.

    June 13, 2023

    Azerbaijan's Hoseyniyun: The prospects and challenges of a Caucasus Hezbollah
    Photo from Twitter, cropped to fit.
  • Analysis
  • Azerbaijan's Hoseyniyun: The prospects and challenges of a Caucasus Hezbollah

    The “Axis of Resistance,” a network of non-state actors aligned with Iran, has emerged as a significant force in the Middle East in the last two decades. Despite the attention given to the more well-known members of the Axis of Resistance, the Azerbaijani group Hoseyniyun, which also operates within the network, remains relatively unknown.

    June 12, 2023

    Henry Kissinger’s Latest Intellectual Conquest: Artificial Intelligence
  • Commentary
  • Henry Kissinger’s Latest Intellectual Conquest: Artificial Intelligence

    Now at 100, Henry Kissinger remains a larger-than-life statesman, strategist, and scholar. Alongside intellectual titans such as George Kennan and Zbigniew Brzezinski, his story intertwines with post-World War II American foreign policy. A recent flurry of articles and editorials that spanned news outlets, think tanks, and policy platforms were put out to celebrate Kissinger’s centennial and commemorate his legacy.