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Russia’s aggressive behavior in the Black Sea can be challenged
Photo courtesy of the author
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s aggressive behavior in the Black Sea can be challenged

    Russia’s malign behavior in the Black Sea includes piracy, plunder, petroleum price cap violations, and actions to prevent the free transit of foreign commercial and naval vessels. Its largely unchallenged position in the Black Sea also helps Russia maintain access to foreign-made products and components, circumventing sanctions. The West and the broader international community have yet to act to decisively rein in these flagrant violations of international laws and norms.

    September 8, 2023

    Enhancing US-EU collaboration in MENA's digital development
    Photo by SABAH ARAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Enhancing US-EU collaboration in MENA's digital development

    Both the U.S. and the EU are increasingly focusing on digital development in the Middle East and North Africa as part of their efforts to support economic growth and tackle the region’s youth unemployment crisis. Deeper transatlantic cooperation in this field would greatly benefit both sides and drive forward digital development in the region.

    September 7, 2023

    Are We Due for an AI Winter?
    Middle East Institute
  • Commentary
  • Are We Due for an AI Winter?

    Just over one year ago, I asked a simple question in The National Interest: What if machine learning—the most famous research paradigm in artificial intelligence (AI) today—is more limited than it seems? I expressed concern that the United States Department of Defense (DoD) could be unprepared for a slowdown or stagnation in AI development (an AI “winter”).

    September 5, 2023

    Iran, Russia, and the Caspian environmental crisis: A need for collaboration
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran, Russia, and the Caspian environmental crisis: A need for collaboration

    The Caspian Sea, the world’s largest inland body of water, is steadily shrinking. The lack of a solid legal framework surrounding the management of the sea among the littoral states, and particularly by Iran and Russia, has created a degree of ambivalence about where and how to limit ambitions related to oil, gas, fishing, and other environmentally harmful economic activities. If the impacts are not appropriately addressed, the consequences could be irreversible. But efforts to deal with shared environmental problems and maintain the Caspian Sea could also serve as an area for mutually beneficial cooperation between Moscow and Tehran, with a positive impact for other littoral states. 

    August 31, 2023

    From oil wells to power cells: How Saudi Arabia and its Gulf neighbors are securing their future through battery technology
    Photo by AMER HILABI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • From oil wells to power cells: How Saudi Arabia and its Gulf neighbors are securing their future through battery technology

    As the world shifts toward a more sustainable future, the GCC states are also embracing this profound transition, moving from oil wells to power cells. With their vast resources, strategic location, and commitment to sustainability, the Gulf countries are uniquely positioned to become major players in the global battery supply chain. By embracing the potential of battery technology, these nations are not just preparing for a post-oil future but are actively shaping it.

    August 24, 2023

    Russia, Ukraine, and the Reshuffling of the European Security Order
  • Commentary
  • Russia, Ukraine, and the Reshuffling of the European Security Order

    In a 1994 article for Foreign Affairs, former US national security advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski famously argued that “without Ukraine, Russia ceases to be an empire.” His analysis is no less valid today.

    At the time, Brzezinski was arguing against the United States pressuring Ukraine to give up its nuclear weapons. It seems reasonable to say that there would be no war in Ukraine today if the country had not done so under the terms of the flawed Budapest Memorandum.

    The Middle East’s Four Battlegrounds
    Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The Middle East’s Four Battlegrounds

    Paul Scharre’s book “Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence” straddles two lines of thought: the transformative impact of AI on power and warfare in the 21st century and the dangers AI presents to human freedoms, individual rights, and the meaning of truth and reality.

    July 11, 2023

    Mastering the growing crisis in the South Caucasus: A role for the West and Turkey
    Photo by Celal Güneş/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Mastering the growing crisis in the South Caucasus: A role for the West and Turkey

    The South Caucasus region needs a clear push from the West to ensure its long-term stability and achieve a pro-Western orientation. But no lasting solutions in this space will be possible until there is an end to the war in Ukraine that fulfills the interests of both Ukraine itself and the broader West. The United States and the European Union, in cooperation with other key players — foremost Turkey — must showcase greater determination, flexibility, and coordination when it comes to their policies toward the region.

    July 10, 2023

    Georgia the interconnector — but where’s Washington?
    Photo by Turkish Presidency/Murat Cetinmuhurdar/Handout/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Georgia the interconnector — but where’s Washington?

    For the sake of safeguarding transatlantic — and thus also American — security interests in the South Caucasus, it is becoming increasingly imperative that the United States better anchor itself economically, politically, and militarily in the eastern Black Sea region, especially strategically placed Georgia.

    July 7, 2023

    Understanding the growing Indo-Israeli strategic cyber partnership
    Photo by Indian Ministry of External Affairs / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Understanding the growing Indo-Israeli strategic cyber partnership

    India and Israel have embarked on a mission to enhance their bilateral strategic cyber partnership. Private-sector collaboration and investment have laid the foundation for this partnership, which has now expanded to government-level agreements and frameworks.