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Research & Commentary

Read in-depth research, analysis, and commentary from MEI’s fellows and experts on the Middle East. 

Iran: What’s Next for US Policy as the Region Seeks to Move On
  • Analysis
  • Iran: What’s Next for US Policy as the Region Seeks to Move On

    As the US and Iran move to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the war’s real lesson lies in how Gulf states rapidly adapted — building pipelines, ports, and rail to bypass the chokepoint. Washington should seize this momentum, pursuing a “long game” of regional connectivity that serves shared security and economic interests.

    Russia’s Taliban Embrace Signals a New Power Shift in Afghanistan
  • Commentary
  • Russia’s Taliban Embrace Signals a New Power Shift in Afghanistan

    Sometimes the only thing more frightening than Afghanistan’s problems is the Taliban’s solutions and the recently signed Russia-Taliban military-technical agreement may be the most alarming one yet. The partnership signals that Afghanistan’s security architecture is being rebuilt without the United States, and increasingly by America’s rivals. Washington should pay close attention because the deal hands one of the world’s most repressive regimes a pathway to becoming more capable and deeply entrenched in a regional order where Russian influence is expanding at America’s expense.

    Attacked by All Sides Iraq’s New Government Faces Old Problems
  • Podcast
  • Attacked by All Sides Iraq’s New Government Faces Old Problems

    After months of deadlock following the November 2025 elections, Iraq’s parliament approved a new government under Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi on May 14, 2026 — just as the country has become a battleground in the US-Israel-Iran war. Zaidi inherits a daunting brief: reviving a struggling economy, reining in armed factions, and steering Iraq through a perilous regional landscape. Dr. Renad Mansour, deputy director of the Middle East and North Africa Programme and director of the Iraq Initiative at Chatham House, joins host Alistair Taylor to discuss the war’s impact on Iraq — from Iran’s militia networks to the surge of attacks on the Kurdistan region — and how it’s reshaping Baghdad’s ties with Tehran and Washington.

    June 11, 2026

    Additional Research & Commentary

    Backgrounders

    The Houthis
  • Backgrounder
  • The Houthis

    The Houthis are a political-military faction and Zaydi religious movement founded in northwestern Yemen in the 1980s. A key member of Iran’s Axis of Resistance with links to other militant organizations in the Arabian Peninsula and the Horn of Africa, the group has continued to pose a threat to Western interests on a global scale.

    May 15, 2026

    The Abraham Accords
    Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images
  • Backgrounder
  • The Abraham Accords

    This backgrounder provides an overview of how the Abraham Accords came about, the US interests involved, their economic and strategic consequences, and the prospects for further enlargement going forward.

    November 17, 2025

    Turkish Foreign Policy
  • Backgrounder
  • Turkish Foreign Policy

    After a decade of post-Arab Spring isolation, Turkey’s leaders have recognized that their ambition to position the country as an agenda-setter on the world stage requires active engagement in all directions. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s consolidation of executive authority has centralized foreign policy decision-making and tied it to his domestic political priorities, transforming the country’s revisionist approach to one shaped primarily by personal and pragmatic interests.

    April 23, 2026

    Western Sahara: Why the conflict still matters
  • Video
  • Western Sahara: Why the conflict still matters

    As the Western Sahara conflict reaches its fifth decade, the territorial dispute remains unresolved and largely unknown. MEI’s Intissar Fakir unpacks the Western Sahara’s complex history and the rival claims by Morocco and the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic. She examines recent developments, such as President Trump’s recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over the territory and the collapse of a 30-year cease-fire, as well as the core questions that remain unanswered after half a century.

    August 7, 2025

    Podcasts

    Middle East Focus

    MEI’s flagship weekly podcast on US foreign policy and contemporary political and social issues in the Middle East.

    Taking the Edge Off the Middle East

    MEI Senior Fellow Brian Katulis engages friends, colleagues, and policy experts in casual conversations on the most important happenings in the Middle East. 

    Rethinking Democracy

    MEI Senior Fellow Gonul Tol hosts leading scholars and thought leaders on global democracy trends and the state of the liberal international order. 

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    Algeria’s foreign policy: Between hope and reality
    Photo by RYAD KRAMDI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Algeria’s foreign policy: Between hope and reality

    On Oct. 2, Algerian authorities recalled their ambassador to France for consultations amid rising tensions between the two countries. This followed France’s imposition of stricter restrictions on visa quotas for Algerians and critical comments from the French president, Emmanuel Macron. Relations between France and Algeria have long been complicated for historical reasons, but this latest episode comes after a bigger diplomatic crisis between Algeria and Morocco, which resulted in Algiers announcing on Aug. 25 that it was cutting diplomatic relations with Rabat. These actions demonstrate Algeria’s newly assertive foreign policy approach that capitalizes on its military and diplomatic corps. This includes high-level meetings of Army Chief of Staff Said Chengriha and frequent visits by Foreign Minister Ramtane Lamamra to Algeria’s neighbors to rehabilitate the country’s image after years of absence.

    October 4, 2021

    الجزائر: بعض التفاؤل بالمستقبل وسط مخاوف من الوباء وآثاره الاقتصادية
  • Commentary
  • الجزائر: بعض التفاؤل بالمستقبل وسط مخاوف من الوباء وآثاره الاقتصادية

    هذا المقال يأتي ضمن سلسلة من أربعة أجزاء نشرها معهد الشرق الأوسط بالتعاون مع الباروميتر العربي لتحليل نتائج الدورة السادسة من استطلاعات الباروميتر العربي.

    October 1, 2021

    Avoiding water bankruptcy in the drought-troubled Southwest: What the US and Iran can learn from each other
  • Commentary
  • Avoiding water bankruptcy in the drought-troubled Southwest: What the US and Iran can learn from each other

    It was another hot, dry year in the western U.S., with almost the entire region in drought. Vital reservoirs have fallen to dangerous lows. More than 7,000 miles away, Iran is grappling with water problems that are similar to the U.S. Southwest’s but more severe.

    October 1, 2021

    Moscow may be disillusioned with the new officials in Tehran
    Photo by Iranian Presidency/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Moscow may be disillusioned with the new officials in Tehran

    The new government of Iran, under President Ebrahim Raisi, still looks like a black box. It isn’t yet clear what policy the new officials in Tehran want to pursue in the nuclear negotiations — or even if they will negotiate at all. Hossein Amirabdollahian, Iran’s new foreign minister, shed some light on this darkness and said that “consultations are underway within the new Iranian government on how to continue the Vienna nuclear talks.” It appears the “consultations” have reached a meaningful point and the replacement of key positions has begun in the foreign policy apparatus. As a first move, Ali Bagheri Kani, a conservative close to former top nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili, replaced Abbas Araghchi, the political deputy foreign minister. The emerging new team in Tehran looks strange not only to the U.S. and Europe, but also to Russia.

    September 30, 2021

    Across the Maghreb, support for all outside actors, including China and Russia, remains low
    Photo by Jdidi Wassim/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Across the Maghreb, support for all outside actors, including China and Russia, remains low

    In recent years, China and Russia have gradually increased their influence in the Maghreb. The two powers, relative newcomers to the regional scene compared to Europe and the U.S., have been building stronger commercial, security, and diplomatic ties to the Maghreb countries of Morocco, Algeria, and Tunisia. However, these ties have not yet translated into significant popular approval or support.

    حلقة 50: آراء (24) – احتمالات إعادة إحياء القاعدة
  • Podcast
  • حلقة 50: آراء (24) – احتمالات إعادة إحياء القاعدة

    ما هي احتمالات إعادة إحياء القيادة المركزية للقاعدة؟ يستعرض إبراهيم الأصيل رأياً لتشارلز ليستر مدير برنامج مكافحة الإرهاب في المعهد. — Ibrahim Al-Assil Charles Lister

    September 29, 2021

    حلقة 51: آراء (25) – تحديات الحكم أمام طالبان
  • Podcast
  • حلقة 51: آراء (25) – تحديات الحكم أمام طالبان

    تواجه طالبان مجتمعاً متنوعاً ومنقسماً، فهل تنجح في حكمه؟ يستعرض إبراهيم الأصيل رأياً لمارفين وينبوم مدير برنامج أفغانستان وباكستان في المعهد.   — Ibrahim Al-Assil

    September 29, 2021

    حلقة 52: بايدن والملف السوري — مع جمانة قدّور
  • Podcast
  • حلقة 52: بايدن والملف السوري — مع جمانة قدّور

    أين تقع سوريا على سلّم أولويات إدارة بايدن؟ وما هي احتمالات انسحاب عسكري قريب للقوات الأمريكية وكيف ستكون انعكاساته على الأرض؟ تجيب جمانة قدّور على هذه الأسئلة الهامة وتلقي الضوء على المستجدات في الملف السوري. — Ibrahim Al-Assil Jomana Qaddour

    September 29, 2021

    Algeria: Amid concerns about the pandemic and its economic impact, some optimism for the future
    Photo by Mousaab Rouibi/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Algeria: Amid concerns about the pandemic and its economic impact, some optimism for the future

    The Arab Barometer’s survey results for Algeria paint the picture of a population understandably worried about the COVID-19 pandemic and its economic impact. In surveys carried out in the country from August 2020 to April 2021, the spread of the virus and the business outlook consistently emerged as the top two challenges ahead, with economic concerns rising to the top position and overtaking the health situation over this period. Because of the spread of the Delta variant, Algiers has been struggling to contain the transmission of the virus. New cases and deaths quickly escalated between July and August 2021, taking the health care system to the brink of collapse.

    September 29, 2021

    تصعيد روسي في سوريا قبيل القمة مع تركيا وإيران
  • Commentary
  • تصعيد روسي في سوريا قبيل القمة مع تركيا وإيران

    يجتمع الرؤساء الروسي والتركي والإيراني يوم الأربعاء 29 سبتمبر/أيلول في مدينة سوتشي الروسية لمناقشة الوضع في سوريا. وكما كان الحال في الاجتماعات السابقة، من المرجح أن يتصدر الوضع في شمال غرب سوريا جدول الأعمال. على الرغم من أن منطقة إدلب الكبرى ظلت من الناحية التقنية خاضعة لوقف إطلاق النار الذي اتفقت عليه روسيا وتركيا في مارس/آذار 2020، إلا أن الطائرات الروسية والمدفعية السورية ارتكبت انتهاكات قاتلة ومتكررة منذ ذلك الحين.

    What will SCO membership mean for Iran?
    Photo by Iranian Presidency/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What will SCO membership mean for Iran?

    Iran came one step closer to becoming a full member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) last week with the approval of its bid, 15 years after it first applied. The accession process is expected to take up to two years to complete.

    September 28, 2021

    هل سيكون السيستاني آخر العظماء؟
    Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images.
  • Commentary
  • هل سيكون السيستاني آخر العظماء؟

    بعد غزو العراق في ٢٠٠٣، تحولت الأنظار إلى السيد علي السيستاني في النجف بوصفه نقطة محورية ليس فقط على مستوى العراق، بل في عموم المنطقة. اليوم، يبلغ السيستاني ٩١ عامًا مما يجعل مسألة خلافته أمرًا يشغل المتابعين، ليس فقط على مستوى الساحة الشيعية، ولكن على مستوى منطقة الشرق الأوسط بشكل عام. وعليه، تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى تسليط الضوء على مستقبل المرجعية الشيعية على أساس التغيير المرتقب القادم بعد السيستاني.

    September 28, 2021

    Will Sistani be the Last Legend? The Challenge of Succession and the Future of the Marj’aiyyah
    Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Will Sistani be the Last Legend? The Challenge of Succession and the Future of the Marj’aiyyah

    For Shi’a Muslims, the highest-ranking religious authorities are known as marj’as, who serve as a reference point for emulation for laypeople (marj’a al-taqlīd). The position of the marj’a, known as the marj’aiyyah, has the exclusive right to issue religious rulings (fatwas). Since the 2003 invasion of Iraq, Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Sistani in Najaf has become a focal point not only for Shi’a in Iraq, but for the entire region. Sistani is now 91 years old and the question of succession is a central one — one that concerns not only Shi’a Muslims, but the wider Middle East as well. This paper aims to shed light on the future of the religious authority in the Shi’a world based on the unavoidable change after Sistani.

    September 28, 2021

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