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The Unavoidable Neighbor: Managing Iran Beyond the War
  • Analysis
  • The Unavoidable Neighbor: Managing Iran Beyond the War

    Gulf states and their partners are increasingly looking beyond their most immediate interests of containing the war with Iran. While recent talks between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Pakistan, and Iran have kept de-escalation on the agenda, a broader regional security framework and non-aggression pact has also emerged, envisioning a longer-lasting solution to regional conflicts. The talks have yet to produce a settlement, but they reflect a growing recognition that Gulf security cannot depend entirely on Washington. Iran will still be there, and its neighbors will have to find ways of living with it.

    Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East

    Recent elections for the Israeli Knesset and American Congress may make less of a difference in the Middle East than some people think. Elections are significant indicators of national political trends, but do not always translate into changes in national security strategies. That is likely the case now in both nations.

    The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf
  • Analysis
  • The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf

    The war with Iran is hardly over, but the debate over the shape and nature of the post-conflict American posture in the Gulf region is just beginning. Undoubtedly, how the war ends will affect how the United States adjusts its role. While this debate is still in its early stages, something of a conventional wisdom is already developing in policy circles that could seriously compromise American influence in the Middle East.

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    In historic deal with the UAE, Israel is the biggest winner
  • Commentary
  • In historic deal with the UAE, Israel is the biggest winner

    No matter how one reads the diplomatic deal announced Thursday between Israel and the United Arab Emirates­—and there will surely be many supporters and detractors given its historic nature—there is one conclusion that seems irrefutable: Israel was the biggest victor.

    August 14, 2020

    Looking to repair ties, Pakistan’s Gen. Bajwa heads to Saudi Arabia
    Photo by FAROOQ NAEEM/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Looking to repair ties, Pakistan’s Gen. Bajwa heads to Saudi Arabia

    All is not well in Pakistan-Saudi relations, which seem to have gone into a tailspin. In order to repair the fractured ties with one of the country’s strongest allies, Pakistan’s army has swung into action and its chief, Gen. Qamar Javed Bajwa, will travel to Saudi Arabia for talks this weekend.

    August 14, 2020

    US policy and the limits of diplomacy with Iran
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • US policy and the limits of diplomacy with Iran

    MEI’s Paul Salem and Ross Harrison join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the complexity and limitations of US diplomacy with Iran, and how the upcoming US presidential election impacts the state of play. Salem and Harrison examine the issue in depth in their recent article for The National Interest, “The Layers and Limits of Diplomacy With Iran.”

    August 13, 2020

    Kuwait’s Yemen foreign policy
    Photo by YASSER AL-ZAYYAT/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Kuwait’s Yemen foreign policy

    When the Saudi-led coalition launched military operations against the Houthi insurgents on March 26, 2015, all of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states, except for Oman, joined the multinational force. As has become clear, each of the Arab Gulf sheikdoms has its own national interests and unique history of relations with Yemen and Yemeni factions, and these have shaped their changing perceptions of the war over the past five and a half years. Kuwait’s role in Yemen’s multidimensional conflict is a case in point.

    August 12, 2020

    5G adoption and its implications in the Gulf states
    Photo by Asad/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • 5G adoption and its implications in the Gulf states

    As many of the Gulf states pivot away from oil and gas, they have turned to digital development as a way to attract foreign investment and spur domestic growth. A critical part of these digital transformations is the widespread adoption of 5th generation mobile communication networks (5G). Large-scale investment in 5G rollouts in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Bahrain reflect this reality.

    August 11, 2020

    Iraqi Kurdistan in the US-Iraq strategic dialogue: Re-evaluating security sector reform
    Photo by JIM WATSON/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iraqi Kurdistan in the US-Iraq strategic dialogue: Re-evaluating security sector reform

    The United States’ primary focus on maintaining stability in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) has been detrimental to the region. Channeling military aid to partisan militias has entrenched the duopoly rule of the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) while preventing meaningful democratic reforms that could bring long-term stability.

    August 11, 2020

    Fixing Iraq’s power sector
    Photo by HUSSEIN FALEH/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Fixing Iraq’s power sector

    Iraq’s long-running electricity dilemma is now a daily source of public misery. The struggle of the power generation and distribution system to keep up with relentless demand caused by almost free electricity, especially as temperatures soar to record levels of over 120 degrees, is likely to get worse without reforms.

    August 10, 2020

    The EU steps up its engagement in Yemen, but is it enough?
    Photo by MOHAMMED HUWAIS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The EU steps up its engagement in Yemen, but is it enough?

    The conflict in Yemen poses a real threat not only to its immediate neighborhood, but also to global players such as the European Union. Although the country is located relatively far away from the EU’s external borders, instability on the Arabian Peninsula could seriously affect European interests and security.

    August 6, 2020

    The Dangers Presented by Russian and PRC Weapons Sales to Iran
  • Analysis
  • The Dangers Presented by Russian and PRC Weapons Sales to Iran

    In October, the United Nations embargo on arms sales to Iran is scheduled to expire.  This was a deadline specified in the 2015 Iran nuclear deal concluded by the Obama Administration.  The Trump administration stridently opposes the lifting of this restriction and is lobbying within the UN Security Council to have the embargo extended indefinitely. 

    August 4, 2020

    Monday Briefing | Lebanon: The twilight of an impotent government
  • Commentary
  • Monday Briefing | Lebanon: The twilight of an impotent government

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region featuring Paul Salem, Hafsa Halawa, Marvin G. Weinbaum, Anne-Linda Amira Augustin, and Gerald Feierstein.

    August 3, 2020

    رئيس الوزراء الكاظمي يعلن عن موعد إجراء انتخابات مبكرة في العراق
    Middle East Institute
  • Commentary
  • رئيس الوزراء الكاظمي يعلن عن موعد إجراء انتخابات مبكرة في العراق

    “على المستوى السياسي، قد تشكل الانتخابات المبكرة خطرا على الحركة الاحتجاجية”

    يوم الجمعة الماضي، وسط تجدد الاحتجاجات والغضب من استمرار العنف الممارس من جانب قوات الأمن، أعلن رئيس الوزراء مصطفى الكاظمي عن موعد لإجراء انتخابات برلمانية جديدة في العراق في 6 يونيو 2021.

    وقد خلف الإعلان ردود فعل متباينة كما كان متوقعا. فقد جادلت جهات سياسية فاعلة بأن الإعلان يعتبر غير دستوري ويتطلب موافقة البرلمان لتحديد موعد انتخابات جديدة (وضمنيا حل البرلمان الحالي)، بينما اتسم رد فعل المتظاهرين بتفاؤل حذر.

    August 3, 2020

    Iran, Europe, and a new US ambassador in Berlin
    Photo courtesy of the U.S. State Department
  • Analysis
  • Iran, Europe, and a new US ambassador in Berlin

    On July 27, the White House announced that President Donald Trump has appointed retired U.S. Army Colonel Douglas Macgregor to be the next American ambassador to Berlin. Macgregor’s appointment is already seen by some in Tehran as about more than just an American military drawdown in Germany: it is seen as a sign of a broader American policy reorientation in Europe and beyond.

    Iran’s latest naval drill is embarrassing
    U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Dalton Reidhead/Released
  • Commentary
  • Iran’s latest naval drill is embarrassing

    I don’t understand why Iran’s Revolutionary Guards insist on conducting military exercises in the Gulf waters that are as devoid of credibility as they are comical. Because if the goal of these drills is to intimidate or change the calculations of the U.S. Navy, nobody is flinching or losing any sleep in the Bahrain-headquartered U.S. Naval Forces Central Command, or NAVCENT.

    July 29, 2020

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