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The Unavoidable Neighbor: Managing Iran Beyond the War
  • Analysis
  • The Unavoidable Neighbor: Managing Iran Beyond the War

    Gulf states and their partners are increasingly looking beyond their most immediate interests of containing the war with Iran. While recent talks between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Pakistan, and Iran have kept de-escalation on the agenda, a broader regional security framework and non-aggression pact has also emerged, envisioning a longer-lasting solution to regional conflicts. The talks have yet to produce a settlement, but they reflect a growing recognition that Gulf security cannot depend entirely on Washington. Iran will still be there, and its neighbors will have to find ways of living with it.

    Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East

    Recent elections for the Israeli Knesset and American Congress may make less of a difference in the Middle East than some people think. Elections are significant indicators of national political trends, but do not always translate into changes in national security strategies. That is likely the case now in both nations.

    The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf
  • Analysis
  • The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf

    The war with Iran is hardly over, but the debate over the shape and nature of the post-conflict American posture in the Gulf region is just beginning. Undoubtedly, how the war ends will affect how the United States adjusts its role. While this debate is still in its early stages, something of a conventional wisdom is already developing in policy circles that could seriously compromise American influence in the Middle East.

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    MEI Art Gallery Open House
  • Arts & Culture
  • MEI Art Gallery Open House

    February 7, 2020, 6:00 PM – 8:00 PM

    Middle East Institute, 1763 N Street NW, Washington, District of Columbia 20036

    A fight for survival in a new landscape: Can Yemen’s GPC recover after Saleh?
    Yemen's ex-president Ali Abdullah Saleh gives a speech addressing his supporters during a rally as his General People's Congress party, marks 35 years since its founding, at Sabaeen Square in the capital Sanaa on August 24, 2017.
  • Analysis
  • A fight for survival in a new landscape: Can Yemen’s GPC recover after Saleh?

    Since the death of its founder Ali Abdullah Saleh on Dec. 4, 2017, the General People’s Congress (GPC) — Yemen’s dominant political party for the past four decades — has faced a test in attempting to reunify its divided wings in Riyadh, Cairo, Abu Dhabi, and Sanaa amid a shifting strategic landscape. The GPC’s factions have competed over the party leadership, failed to elect a transitional leader, and exchanged accusations following the Saudi-brokered meeting in Jeddah in July 2019. Nevertheless, Abu Dhabi and Riyadh’s attempts to revive Saleh’s damaged old political vehicle continue, both politically and militarily.

    February 4, 2020

    Iraq’s protests: Durability and sustainability
    Iraqi students, waving national flags, join anti-government protests in the Shiite shrine city of Najaf in central Iraq on January 28, 2020.
  • Analysis
  • Iraq’s protests: Durability and sustainability

    The protest movement in Iraq is now entering its fourth month. The protests raging across most of the south of the country have remained non-sectarian in their tone and message, and the movement is steadfast in its rejection of the political order, and all members of the political elite.

    January 31, 2020

    FBI probes NSO Group
    An Israeli woman uses her iPhone in front of the building housing the Israeli NSO group, on August 28, 2016, in Herzliya, near Tel Aviv.
  • Commentary
  • FBI probes NSO Group

    Reuters reported on Jan. 30 that the FBI has been investigating Israeli spyware firm NSO Group since 2017. The revelation comes after Sen. Chris Murphy and UN Special Rapporteur Agnes Callamard called on the U.S. to investigate the apparent hacking of Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos’s phone by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. In its statement, the UN identified NSO Group as a likely source of the malware.

    January 31, 2020

    The Houthis are consolidating power
    Houthi followers hold their guns during a tribal gathering against the continued war and blockade on October 03, 2019 in Sana'a, Yemen
  • Analysis
  • The Houthis are consolidating power

    Absent international pressure, the Iran-backed Houthis have no reason to stop expanding

    January 30, 2020

    Lebanon’s inconvenient truths
    BEIRUT, LEBANON - JANUARY 16: An anti-government protester bangs a pan as they demonstrate ahead of the expected naming of a new cabinet tomorrow by Prime Minister Designate Hassan Diab, on January 16, 2020 in Beirut, Lebanon.
  • Analysis
  • Lebanon’s inconvenient truths

    By any objective standard, the Lebanese protest movement has failed. This is not necessarily an indictment against it. Rather, it’s a reality one cannot and should not ignore. The responsible thing to do now is to try to understand why it has fallen flat, despite more than 100 days of demonstrations in various regions of the country including the capital, Beirut. 

    First, a word of solace. In the annals of history, the Lebanese are in good company as most uprisings and revolutions failed to attain their goals. And even when they did, success either didn’t last long or was completely reversed due to counterrevolutions and other spoilers, both foreign and domestic.

    January 29, 2020

    The Bab el-Mandeb Strait: Regional and great power rivalries on the shores of the Red Sea
    People hold Chinese and Djiboutian national flags as they wait for the arrival of Djibouti's President Ismail Omar Guellehas before the launching ceremony of new 1000-unit housing contruction project in Djibouti, on July 4, 2018. - The new 1000-unit construction project by the Ismail Omar Guelleh Foundation for Housing is financially supported by China Merchant, the operation parther of newly inaugurated Djibouti International Free Trade Zone (DITTZ) with Djibouti Ports and Free Zones Authority, to build ba
  • Analysis
  • The Bab el-Mandeb Strait: Regional and great power rivalries on the shores of the Red Sea

    The Bab el-Mandeb Strait (“Gate of Tears” in Arabic) forms a vital strategic link in the maritime trade route between the Mediterranean Sea and the Indian Ocean via the Red Sea and the Suez Canal. On one side of the narrow strait lies the Arabian Peninsula. On the other is the Horn of Africa, a fragile region that has been plagued for decades by high levels of violence and instability within and across borders, and which in recent years has served as a launching pad for terrorism, piracy, human trafficking, and smuggling operations.

    US-Iran escalation and its implications for the South Caucasus
     Iranian President Hassan Rouhani (L) meets President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev (R) during his official visit in Baku, Azerbaijan on March 28, 2018.
  • Analysis
  • US-Iran escalation and its implications for the South Caucasus

    Over the past several weeks geopolitical experts have been talking a lot about what the surprise U.S. drone attack on Iranian Gen. Qassem Soleimani, head of the IRGC – Quds Force, on Jan. 3 means for the Middle East and relations between the major powers. What has received considerably less attention, however, is what Soleimani’s killing means for the South Caucasus, a region whose small size belies its strategic importance.

    January 28, 2020

    Precarious Workers and Neoliberal Narratives in Post-revolutionary Iran: Top-down Strategies and Bottom-up Responses
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Precarious Workers and Neoliberal Narratives in Post-revolutionary Iran: Top-down Strategies and Bottom-up Responses

    How did the Islamic Republic of Iran’s dominant narratives over labor evolve since the 1979 revolution? What paved the way to neoliberal discourses, particularly since the 1990s? Which processes and legal measures made workers precarious? What role did workers play, and along which lines did they develop their trajectories of resistance? These questions are at the core of this article, which explores the above-mentioned issues from two different vantage points: a top-down approach, which looks at official narratives, as well as the legal strategies that contribute to the precarization of workers; and a bottom-up perspective, which seeks to understand workers’ practices of resistance and counter-hegemonic actions.

    January 28, 2020

    The day after Soleimani: Israel contemplates “success leveraging”
     A file photo dated September 18, 2016 shows Iranian Revolutionary Guards' Quds Force commander Qasem Soleimani during Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's meeting with Revolutionary Guards, in Tehran, Iran.
  • Analysis
  • The day after Soleimani: Israel contemplates “success leveraging”

    Iranian Gen. Qassem Soleimani was on Israel’s “most wanted” list for more than a decade. Israeli intelligence identified him as a looming threat early in his career, and with time he outperformed even the graver threat predictions, as he systematically built the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ (IRGC) Quds Force into a formidable regional stealth operation. Soleimani was a highly sophisticated executioner of Iran’s long-term strategy, which can be described as an effort to build a “double crescent.”

    The real cost of US-Iran escalation in Iraq
    Iraqi Anti-government demonstrators protest in Tahrir Square in the capital Baghdad, on January 10, 2020.
  • Analysis
  • The real cost of US-Iran escalation in Iraq

    As an Iraqi American who lived through the 1991 Gulf War and 2003 U.S.-led invasion to bring about regime change, I have witnessed firsthand how U.S. wars in the region can break out when Baghdad and Washington fail to understand each other’s intentions and motives.

    January 27, 2020

    Iraq: Sadr withdraws support for protests in a political power play
    Thousands of Iraqis demonstrate in the heart of Baghdad on January 24, 2020 to demand the ouster of US troops from the country.
  • Commentary
  • Iraq: Sadr withdraws support for protests in a political power play

    So far, disproportionate violence by security forces against the civilian protesters has led to the exact opposite of what they sought to achieve, causing protesters’ numbers to swell.

    January 27, 2020

    The ties that bind: The South Caucasus and the Middle East
    Turkish Foreign Affairs Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu (C), Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran, Javad Zarif (R) and Azerbaijani Minister of Foreign Affairs, Elmar Mammadyarov (L) pose for a photo prior the tripartite meeting of foreign ministers of Turkey, Azerbaijan and Iran in Istanbul, Turkey on October 30, 2018.
  • Analysis
  • The ties that bind: The South Caucasus and the Middle East

    As neighboring regions, the South Caucasus and the Middle East are inextricably intertwined — so much so that the former is sometimes even considered part of the Greater Middle East. While geographical proximity is the strongest driver of interconnectivity between the two regions, geopolitics, business ties, and energy interests also link countries from the South Caucasus and the Middle East and form the basis for important bilateral and regional relationships.

    January 24, 2020

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