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Mohsen Rezaei: The Unlikely Peacemaker
  • Analysis
  • Mohsen Rezaei: The Unlikely Peacemaker

    After decades of political setbacks, Iran’s former Revolutionary Guards commander has returned to the center of power. Is he an incidental beneficiary of war, or have observers underestimated him all along?

    The Unavoidable Neighbor: Managing Iran Beyond the War
  • Analysis
  • The Unavoidable Neighbor: Managing Iran Beyond the War

    Gulf states and their partners are increasingly looking beyond their most immediate interests of containing the war with Iran. While recent talks between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Pakistan, and Iran have kept de-escalation on the agenda, a broader regional security framework and non-aggression pact has also emerged, envisioning a longer-lasting solution to regional conflicts. The talks have yet to produce a settlement, but they reflect a growing recognition that Gulf security cannot depend entirely on Washington. Iran will still be there, and its neighbors will have to find ways of living with it.

    Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East

    Recent elections for the Israeli Knesset and American Congress may make less of a difference in the Middle East than some people think. Elections are significant indicators of national political trends, but do not always translate into changes in national security strategies. That is likely the case now in both nations.

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    Rouhani Blasts U.S. Strikes in Syria and Reiterates Support for Assad
  • Analysis
  • Rouhani Blasts U.S. Strikes in Syria and Reiterates Support for Assad

    Iranian President Hassan Rouhani hailed the latest military gains by the Syrian army and its allies and reiterated Tehran’s continued support to Damascus in a telephone conversation with his Syrian counterpart Bashar al-Assad earlier today. The Iranian president also condemned the latest U.S. strikes against pro-Damascus forces in southeastern Syria as a violation of international law.

    June 8, 2017

    Iraqi Paramilitaries Seize Checkpoint along Syrian-Iraqi Border
  • Analysis
  • Iraqi Paramilitaries Seize Checkpoint along Syrian-Iraqi Border

    The Iraqi Popular Mobilization Forces (P.M.F.) announced that they have seized a strategic checkpoint along the Iraqi-Syrian border from the Islamic State, the Iranian media reported. According to Fars News Agency, which is affiliated with the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (I.R.G.C.), the checkpoint served as a main border crossing for the Islamic State’s supply lines between Iraq and Syria.

    June 8, 2017

    Iranians Shocked by ISIS Attack
  • Analysis
  • Iranians Shocked by ISIS Attack

    For the people of Tehran, that ISIS can successfully wage terror attacks in the city came as a major shock. The powerful Revolutionary Guards was supposed to stop such attacks from happening. Its mantra has been that “Iran will fight ISIS in Syria and Iraq so we don’t have to fight them in Tehran.”

    Tehran Attacks May Further Aggravate Regional Tension and Securitization of Iran’s Society
  • Analysis
  • Tehran Attacks May Further Aggravate Regional Tension and Securitization of Iran’s Society

    Gunmen and suicide bombers today killed at least 12 people and wounded 42 others in simultaneous attacks on the Iranian parliament and the mausoleum of the Islamic Republic’s founder in the capital city of Tehran – the first major attack claimed by the Islamic State inside Iran to date. While all details of the attacks are not yet clear, Iranian hardliners and the powerful Revolutionary are already exploiting the tragedy to justify their increasing securitization of the Iranian society and costly military involvement in regional conflicts at the expense of domestic priorities.

    June 7, 2017

    GCC Split Is a Blow to US Regional Policy
  • Analysis
  • GCC Split Is a Blow to US Regional Policy

    Read the full article on LobeLog.

    One way to understand the depths of the animosity that blew up the myth of brotherhood and cooperation among the monarchies of the Arab Gulf states on Monday is to look beyond the angry statements to a map published recently by the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

    June 7, 2017

    Qatar’s Gulf Allies Have Had Enough of Doha’s Broken Promises
  • Analysis
  • Qatar’s Gulf Allies Have Had Enough of Doha’s Broken Promises

    Read the full article on Newsweek.

    Citizens of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states woke up on Monday morning to what is the most severe crisis in the regional block’s 38 year history to date. In a closely coordinated series of statements, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and the UAE, along with Egypt, announced the severing of ties with the peninsular state of Qatar.

    June 7, 2017

    G.C.C. Conflict Could Further Complicate U.S.-Turkey Relations | MEI Flash
  • Analysis
  • G.C.C. Conflict Could Further Complicate U.S.-Turkey Relations | MEI Flash

    A fierce spat between Qatar and leading Arab nations could add another complication to the already strained relationship between the United States and Turkey. Ankara wants to calm the tension, and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has spoken by phone with the leaders of Qatar, Russia, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia to reduce tensions. He has also expedited legislation to deploy troops to Qatar as part of a military agreement signed in 2014. President Donald Trump, however, supports, and even takes credit for, the Saudi move to isolate its smaller neighbor.

    U.S.-led Coalition Strikes Pro-Assad Forces near al-Tanf Again
  • Analysis
  • U.S.-led Coalition Strikes Pro-Assad Forces near al-Tanf Again

    The U.S.-led coalition announced today that it “destroyed additional pro-Syrian regime forces that advanced inside the well-established de-confliction zone in southern Syria.” The U.S.

    June 6, 2017

    Senior Iranian Official: Syria Crisis Helped Tehran and Moscow to Build “Strategic Ties” but Doubts Remain
  • Analysis
  • Senior Iranian Official: Syria Crisis Helped Tehran and Moscow to Build “Strategic Ties” but Doubts Remain

    A senior Iranian official has said that cooperation between Iran and Russia in Syria elevated relations between the two countries to a strategic level and changed the balance of power in Syria in favor of the government of Bashar al-Assad and its foreign allies.

    June 6, 2017

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