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Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East

    Recent elections for the Israeli Knesset and American Congress may make less of a difference in the Middle East than some people think. Elections are significant indicators of national political trends, but do not always translate into changes in national security strategies. That is likely the case now in both nations.

    The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf
  • Analysis
  • The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf

    The war with Iran is hardly over, but the debate over the shape and nature of the post-conflict American posture in the Gulf region is just beginning. Undoubtedly, how the war ends will affect how the United States adjusts its role. While this debate is still in its early stages, something of a conventional wisdom is already developing in policy circles that could seriously compromise American influence in the Middle East.

    Curb Your Enthusiasm: Why the Midterms Might Not Change Much in US Middle East Policy
  • Analysis
  • Curb Your Enthusiasm: Why the Midterms Might Not Change Much in US Middle East Policy

    With less than a week before the midterm elections in the United States, the spotlight is on the economy and cultural divides. US foreign policy remains mostly on the sidelines, but this year’s inconclusive Iran war and its effect on America’s economy have shaped the broader political environment in this electoral cycle.

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    What Trump’s 2026 Mideast approach could look like
  • Analysis
  • What Trump’s 2026 Mideast approach could look like

    Donald Trump’s first year of his second presidential term has been a roller coaster of twists and turns both at home and abroad—particularly in the Middle East. His regional focus was driven by two main factors: first, Trump’s own ego and sense of possible place in history; and second, the volatile, dynamic events driven by actors in the region.

    US Policy in the Middle East in the First Year of Trump 2.0: A Report Card
    Photo by SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images
  • Report
  • US Policy in the Middle East in the First Year of Trump 2.0: A Report Card

    In the first year of his second term in office, US President Donald Trump focused considerable time and energy on the Middle East, but the results so far have been uneven. This report assesses the US government’s actions in the region over the past 12 months, from January 2025 through January 2026.

    America’s New Defense Strategy — and What It Means for Iran
  • Podcast
  • America’s New Defense Strategy — and What It Means for Iran

    Hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj are joined by MEI Distinguished Military Fellow Mick Mulroy to discuss the Trump administration’s new National Defense Strategy (NDS) and its implications for the Middle East. While serving as the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense (DASD) for the Middle East from 2017 to 2019, Mulroy helped prepare the 2018 NDS, giving him an insider perspective on US defense planning. Together, Taylor, Czekaj, and Mulroy unpack what the new strategy means for US priorities globally and for the Middle East in particular, including how it could be reflected in a potentially looming military strike on Iran.

    February 5, 2026

    With the US and Iran on a knife-edge, can Oman once again step in to mediate?
    Photo by Burak Kara/Getty Image
  • Analysis
  • With the US and Iran on a knife-edge, can Oman once again step in to mediate?

    The decision by Washington and Tehran to shift their long-anticipated meeting, set for February 6, from Istanbul to Muscat is not merely a logistical detail. It is the latest reminder that when US-Iran diplomacy is on the verge of breaking down completely, Oman is the regional player the Iranian regime trusts the most to step in and mediate.

    Normalization Is Slipping Away
    Photo by SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Image
  • Commentary
  • Normalization Is Slipping Away

    Saudi-Israel normalization is drifting away — not collapsing outright but steadily receding into, at best, a long in-between.
    The Islamic Republic’s War on the Iranian People
  • Podcast
  • The Islamic Republic’s War on the Iranian People

    Against the backdrop of the Iranian government’s brutal crackdown on protestors, Brian is joined by Emad Shargi, an Iranian-American businessman who was unjustly detained by the regime in 2018 until his release in 2023. Shargi recounts his firsthand experience in the notorious Evin Prison and offers rare insights into the mentality and tactics of the Islamic Republic. He and Brian also discuss his recommendations for US engagement in Iran and his hopes for the country’s future.
    Bolstering US, Japan, and Gulf Cooperation in the High Tech Field
  • Event
  • Bolstering US, Japan, and Gulf Cooperation in the High Tech Field

    In recent years, both Washington and the Middle East have been looking eastward. The United States has been executing its own “pivot to Asia,” seeking to strengthen alliances and manage competition in the Indo-Pacific, while many Middle Eastern states are simultaneously deepening their economic and strategic ties with Asian partners. This dual pivot is creating new intersections for US–Japan cooperation. The discussion featured Ambassador Barbara Leaf, Mohammed Soliman and Amane Kobayashi, and was moderated by Ken Pollack. Drawing on their experience, the speakers examined how Japanese, American, and Gulf public and private initiatives can be integrated to create more dynamic, cutting-edge economies, symbiotic diplomatic relationships, and stronger mutual security ties.

    January 30, 2026, 8:30 AM – 10:00 AM

    Middle East Institute 1763 N St NW Washington, District of Columbia 20036

    The Transatlantic Alliance Will Survive Just Fine
  • Commentary
  • The Transatlantic Alliance Will Survive Just Fine

    Media and politicians on both sides of the Atlantic are hyping the idea that President Trump’s attempt to gain sovereign control of Greenland has caused unprecedented and irreparable damage to the over 75 year-old Transatlantic Alliance.  This “analysis” stems from multiple sources.  On both sides of the ocean, there are those who pounce on any deviation from the norm by Trump as evidence the world as we know it is ending. And in Europe, there is the human but unattractive reaction of weak, dependent states against their one powerful ally when it rejects Europe’s preferred script. Much of the US media criticism is summarized by the concept that our other NATO allies can never again “trust” the US.

    US Authorizes Chips for the UAE, Saudi Arabia
  • Policy Memo
  • US Authorizes Chips for the UAE, Saudi Arabia

    The US Commerce Department announced on November 19, 2025, that it had authorized the export of advanced American semiconductor chips to HUMAIN of Saudi Arabia and G42 of the United Arab Emirates. The approval enables both companies to purchase up to 35,000 Blackwell chips (GB300s). This sale is a core component of a broader “Compute Diplomacy” approach under the second administration of President Donald J. Trump, which was solidified following his May 2025 visit to the Gulf, where a series of multibillion-dollar artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure agreements were signed.

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