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The Unavoidable Neighbor: Managing Iran Beyond the War
  • Analysis
  • The Unavoidable Neighbor: Managing Iran Beyond the War

    Gulf states and their partners are increasingly looking beyond their most immediate interests of containing the war with Iran. While recent talks between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Pakistan, and Iran have kept de-escalation on the agenda, a broader regional security framework and non-aggression pact has also emerged, envisioning a longer-lasting solution to regional conflicts. The talks have yet to produce a settlement, but they reflect a growing recognition that Gulf security cannot depend entirely on Washington. Iran will still be there, and its neighbors will have to find ways of living with it.

    Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East

    Recent elections for the Israeli Knesset and American Congress may make less of a difference in the Middle East than some people think. Elections are significant indicators of national political trends, but do not always translate into changes in national security strategies. That is likely the case now in both nations.

    The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf
  • Analysis
  • The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf

    The war with Iran is hardly over, but the debate over the shape and nature of the post-conflict American posture in the Gulf region is just beginning. Undoubtedly, how the war ends will affect how the United States adjusts its role. While this debate is still in its early stages, something of a conventional wisdom is already developing in policy circles that could seriously compromise American influence in the Middle East.

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    The Biden Administration and the Middle East: Policy Recommendations for a Sustainable Way Forward
    Photo by Jim Lo Scalzo/EPA/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Biden Administration and the Middle East: Policy Recommendations for a Sustainable Way Forward

    In a new policy briefing book, entitled The Biden Administration and the Middle East: Policy Recommendations for a Sustainable Way Forward, MEI scholars tackle a large number of country-specific and region-wide issue areas, laying out both the abiding U.S. interests and specific recommendations for Biden administration policies that can further U.S. interests amid a region in turmoil.

    March 10, 2021

    How is Iran responding to Biden’s policy shift on Yemen?
    Photo by Hani Al-Ansi/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How is Iran responding to Biden’s policy shift on Yemen?

    On Feb. 4, President Joe Biden announced the end of U.S. support for the Saudi Arabia-led coalition’s offensive military operations in Yemen. This decision fuelled optimism about a U.S. return to negotiations over the JCPOA with Iran. Instead of engaging with the United States, Iran has supported the Houthi-orchestrated Marib offensive and stepped up its diplomatic efforts in Yemen.

    March 9, 2021

    Iranian and Saudi women: Overcoming comparative suffering?
    Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iranian and Saudi women: Overcoming comparative suffering?

    For many decades, Iran and Saudi Arabia have been bitter rivals, but not over women. If there was a competition, it was only over whose government could impose more limitations on their female population.

    March 8, 2021

    OPEC+ extends production cuts as Riyadh and Moscow find common ground
    Photo by Omar Marques/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • OPEC+ extends production cuts as Riyadh and Moscow find common ground

    On March 4, OPEC+ members agreed to maintain their current production cut levels into April, and the Saudi- and Russia-led cartel’s decision further strengthened the upward trajectory of oil prices. While there were differing opinions among the OPEC+ members regarding the state of the global economy, the group’s unanimous decision reflects Riyadh’s current take on the markets, which is that the health of the world’s economy remains fragile as the recovery from the pandemic continues.

    March 8, 2021

    Yemen’s Joint Declaration: A bigger repeat of the stalled Hodeida Agreement?
  • Analysis
  • Yemen’s Joint Declaration: A bigger repeat of the stalled Hodeida Agreement?

    With debate on Yemen in recent weeks focused on the decision by the U.S. State Department to revoke the Houthis’ designation as an FTO, the Joint Declaration (JD) proposal by U.N. Special Envoy for Yemen Martin Griffiths has received relatively little attention. Since the global outbreak of COVID-19 a year ago, the U.N. special envoy has sought to use the urgency engendered by the pandemic to broker a nationwide cease-fire alongside a set of confidence-building measures — branded as the JD — between the Houthi rebels and the Republic of Yemen Government. But the content of the proposal is not new, nor is it a recipe for effective de-escalation and sustainable conflict resolution.

    March 4, 2021

    In the face of Islamic laws, Iranian women are reappropriating Ancient Persian culture
  • Analysis
  • In the face of Islamic laws, Iranian women are reappropriating Ancient Persian culture

    Iran is an Islamic country where, according to official statistics, over 99% of the citizens are Muslim. Even though the state in Iran advocates for Islamic laws and regulations for all citizens, over 60% of Iranians identified themselves as non-Muslim according to a survey in June 2020 by the research institute “the Group for Analyzing and Measuring Attitudes in Iran” (GAMAAN). Only 32.2% of the 40.000 interviewed identified themselves as Shi‘a Muslim; 5% as Sunni Muslim; 22.2% as non-religious; 8.8% identified themselves as atheist; 7.1% as spiritual and 7.7% as Zoroastrian.

    March 3, 2021

    The source of Netanyahu’s opposition to the JCPOA
    Photo by ABIR SULTAN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The source of Netanyahu’s opposition to the JCPOA

    The understandings reached between Washington and Jerusalem half a century ago establish the critical context for the Biden administration’s current effort to restore the JCPOA, which Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu fiercely opposed during its adoption by the U.N. Security Council in July 2015 and which he still bitterly contests today.

    March 3, 2021

    الميلشيات العراقية من دون رادع
  • Commentary
  • الميلشيات العراقية من دون رادع

    “يواجه رئيس الوزراء العراقي مصطفى الكاظمي ما يكفيه من المشكلات؛ ولذا يسعى لاحتواء الأزمة مع الميليشيات، وحلفائها السياسيين”.

    The Arab Spring 10 years on
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • The Arab Spring 10 years on

    Sahar Khamis, Sabina Henneberg, Karam Shaar, and Ibrahim Jalal join host Alistair Taylor to examine the legacy and impact of the Arab Spring in Tunisia, Egypt, Yemen, and Syria ten years after the uprisings began.

    March 1, 2021

    Waiting for a miracle in Iraq
  • Analysis
  • Waiting for a miracle in Iraq

    Only two days after an extremist attack that saw 14 missiles rain down on Erbil, and in the midst of a new coronavirus surge and lockdown, the Chaldean Catholic Archbishop of Mosul, Najeeb Michaeel, was optimistic about the upcoming visit of Pope Francis.

    “Everyone is very happy about this historic event,” he said of Iraq’s inaugural papal visit, from his home in Ankawa, Erbil’s Christian enclave, which has given refuge to thousands of those displaced by ISIS. A previously planned visit in 2000 by Pope John Paul II to Ur, birthplace of the Prophet Abraham according to the Torah, was foiled by protracted negotiations with the government of Saddam Hussein. In 2020, Pope Francis had to cancel a trip due to security and pandemic concerns.

    February 27, 2021

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