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The Middle East Beyond the Iran War
  • Report
  • The Middle East Beyond the Iran War

    This article is part of a collection of short essays written by the Fellows of the Middle East Institute to explore aspects of the ongoing war with Iran. The intent of the collection is to help readers see new and unexpected elements of the dynamics and impact of the ongoing hostilities and to think harder, deeper, and broader about the implications of the conflict.

    September 28, 2026

    Turkey: Ankara’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment
  • Analysis
  • Turkey: Ankara’s Nuclear Ambitions in the Post-Iran War Environment

    In February 2026, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan suggested that shifting international dynamics could push Turkey to acquire nuclear weapons. That rhetoric, combined with Turkey’s civilian nuclear energy and research programs and its indigenous surface-to-surface missile development projects, has fueled concerns that these capabilities could eventually form the backbone of a Turkish nuclear weapons program.

    Syria: Opportunity Amid Regional Adversity
  • Analysis
  • Syria: Opportunity Amid Regional Adversity

    When the US and Israel launched military action against Iran on February 28, 2026, it set in motion a chain of events that saw violence spread across the Middle East. Yet as the region found itself engulfed in conflict, Syria has experienced its most peaceful months in 15 years, and the government in Damascus appears determined to stay its course toward recovery.

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    Bringing Social Class into Humanitarian Debates: The Case of Northern Lebanon
    (Photo by Vincent LECOMTE / Gamma-Rapho via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Bringing Social Class into Humanitarian Debates: The Case of Northern Lebanon

    Cities are commonly regarded as the primary places where class economies become layered and articulated; however, the debates on “urban humanitarianism” have neglected social class as a key factor that significantly marks the relationship between aid providers and recipients in settings of aid provision. The small city of Halba, in northern Lebanon, vividly illustrates how the class economy has tacitly been shaping humanitarian programming and how the very presence of humanitarian actors on the ground reinforced the pre-existing class-based inequality.

    December 4, 2019

    Turkey’s collision course with NATO
    President of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan (R) receives North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Secretary General, Jens Stoltenberg (L) in Istanbul, Turkey on October 11, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Turkey’s collision course with NATO

    NATO leaders will celebrate the 70th anniversary of their alliance in London on Dec. 3 and 4. Despite soft words from NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg, however, the alliance and Turkey are on a collision course.

    The role of women in shaping Syria’s future
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • The role of women in shaping Syria’s future

    Syrian activists Sarah Hunaidi, Rafif Jouejati, and Jomana Qaddour join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the involvement and role of women in civil society and efforts to shape the country’s political future.

    November 26, 2019

    The constitutional committee must be part of a holistic Syrian peace process
    Syrian Constitutional Committe, made up of opposition, civil society and regime members gather in Geneva, Switzerland on October 30, 2019 with the UN's facilitation.
  • Analysis
  • The constitutional committee must be part of a holistic Syrian peace process

    This week marks the second round of constitutional committee negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland convened by UN Special Envoy to Syria Geir Pedersen. The committee is convened under the auspices of UNSCR 2254, which requires the drafting of a new constitution among many other important obligations. The fact that only one of those requirements is being pursued seriously by the international community is — understandably — beyond frustrating for Syrians. Attempting to solve the Syrian conflict by addressing only one of so many outstanding issues is not only a mistake, but will also do little to bring any lasting peace to this war-torn country.

    November 26, 2019

    Will Israeli politicians prove their responsibility and flexibility?
    A picture taken on October 3, 2019 shows a general view of the plenum during the swearing-in ceremony at the Knesset in Jerusalem. - Israel's parliament was sworn in today without a new government formed as a deadlocked general election left Netanyahu scrambling to find a path to extend his long tenure in power.
  • Commentary
  • Will Israeli politicians prove their responsibility and flexibility?

    It is clear that the Israeli political system has reached a peak in terms of the challenges it faces: two elections campaigns to date this year have not led to conclusive results and a third round may be right around the corner.

    November 25, 2019

    Leveraging the Current Uprising for Sustained Political Change
    Lebanese demonstrators raise a new giant sign of a fist that bears the Arabic word
  • Analysis
  • Leveraging the Current Uprising for Sustained Political Change

    The nationwide protests are the most significant domestic political development in Lebanon since the end of the civil war. It would be useful to examine both the short and long term political potential of this new awakening.

    In the short term, the protests have already mobilized the power of the public to bring down a corrupt and ineffective government, and to gain great leverage on the rejection or acceptance of any new government. They have also raised urgent national demands and forced the ruling class to confront these demands. 

    November 22, 2019

    Lebanon’s leap into the unknown
    Anti-government activists take part in a protest in downtown Beirut, demonstrations across Lebanon entered its 2nd months.
  • Analysis
  • Lebanon’s leap into the unknown

    On a recent trip to my native Lebanon I looked on its ongoing, unprecedented protests with both wonder and worry. The country is a month into widespread anti-government demonstrations. The protests’ scale ebbs and flows but the relative calm during my stay had a fleeting if not sinister quality to it. That calm is unraveling. However this chapter of Lebanon’s history unfolds, this complicated country has changed irreversibly.

    November 21, 2019

    Russia’s military police face their toughest challenge yet in north Syria
    TOPSHOT - Russian military police members stand outside an armoured personnel carrier (APC) along a road in the countryside near the northeastern Syrian town of Amuda in Hasakeh province on October 24, 2019, as part of a joint patrol between Russian forces and Syrian Kurdish Asayish internal security forces near the border with Turkey. - Russian forces have started patrols along the flashpoint frontier, filling the vacuum left by a US troop withdrawal that effectively returned a third of the country to the
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s military police face their toughest challenge yet in north Syria

    Russia’s ability to control the pace and scope of developments in Syria has been a moving target ever since its intervention four years ago. At varying times, Moscow has found itself both firmly in the driver’s seat and a helpless bystander — the latter most vividly illustrated by events such as the regular Israeli airstrikes on Russia’s Iranian and Syrian regime allies.

    November 21, 2019

    The Role of Women in Syria's Future

    The Role of Women in Syria's Future

    November 21, 2019, 12:30 PM – 2:00 PM

    The Middle East Institute, 1763 N Street NW, Washington, District of Columbia 20036

    Pompeo’s audience: The Trumpian base
    U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo speaks during a press conference at the U.S. Department of State on November 18, 2019 in Washington, DC
  • Analysis
  • Pompeo’s audience: The Trumpian base

    It is not always recognized that Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s Nov. 18 declaration that Israeli “settlements are not inconsistent with international law” was primarily political, not diplomatic, designed for domestic American consumption as part of the president’s reelection campaign. Secondarily, it was intended to strengthen Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s hand in the current coalition negotiations and/or the likely upcoming Knesset election, if coalition negotiations fail. Third on the list, almost an afterthought, is the effect on the Palestinians, whose future state’s boundaries it purports to impact.

    November 21, 2019

    Return to the northeast: Syrian Army deployments against Turkish forces
    Syrian government soldiers climb up a wooden pole with a Syrian government national flag while deploying for the first time in the eastern countryside of the city of Qamishli in the northeastern Hasakah province on November 5, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Return to the northeast: Syrian Army deployments against Turkish forces

    In mid-October, five years after it was expelled from most of eastern Syria as ISIS swept in, the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) returned to much of the northeast as part of a deal between the Syrian Democratic Forces and Damascus struck just days after Turkey launched an offensive against the region. By examining the distribution and make-up of units sent to the northeast we can better understand the strength of the SAA in the region and the current state of its broader deployments across the country.

    November 20, 2019

    Setting the Middle Corridor on track
    China Railway Express crosses Istanbul's sub-sea tunnel, Marmaray (the railway system linking the eastern and western sides of Istanbul from under the Marmara Sea) in Istanbul, Turkey on November 7, 2019. The first freight train from China crossed to Europe using Marmaray.
  • Analysis
  • Setting the Middle Corridor on track

    China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has been a powerful driver of the development of existing and new Eurasian rail routes. A web of competing and complementary rail lines has begun to form across the Eurasian landmass. Railway cargo service between China and Europe has fast become a compelling “middle option” — cheaper than air and faster than sea.

    Escalation in Gaza tests Israel-Hamas détente
    Palestinian Islamic Jihad militants attend the funeral of a comrade in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip November 14, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Escalation in Gaza tests Israel-Hamas détente

    A Nov. 12 Israeli airstrike on the Gaza Strip killed Baha Abu al-Ata, a commander with the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) militant group. Over the ensuring 48 hours, the PIJ launched some 450 rockets from Gaza into southern and central Israel. Hamas, the Palestinian political party/militant group that acts as the de facto government of Gaza, stayed out of the fighting — despite relatively high civilian casualties and the killing of one of its fighters.

    November 18, 2019

    Lebanon protests enter their second month amid stalemate and uncertainty
    Lebanese students wave the national flag and chant slogans as they gather outside the Ministry of Education and Higher Education during ongoing anti-government protests, in the capital Beirut on November 8, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Lebanon protests enter their second month amid stalemate and uncertainty

    In Lebanon, the protests have entered their second month with contending parties stuck in a stalemate that is not hurting enough to incentivize concessions from any party. Ruling elites are at a loss what to do.

    November 18, 2019

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