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The US Has Secured a Cease-Fire in Lebanon. But Its Role Shouldn’t End There
  • Commentary
  • The US Has Secured a Cease-Fire in Lebanon. But Its Role Shouldn’t End There

    Last Thursday, the US announced a 10-day cease-fire “to enable peace negotiations between Israel and Lebanon”. The State Department statement – reportedly agreed to by both governments – marked a significant diplomatic shift. It included an affirmation that “the two countries are not at war,” a commitment to work toward “full recognition of each other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity,” as well as “achieving a permanent agreement that ensures lasting security, stability, and peace.”

    April 20, 2026

    Lebanon Has Another Opportunity of a Lifetime
  • Commentary
  • Lebanon Has Another Opportunity of a Lifetime

    As Lebanese, Israeli, and American teams prepare for their first-ever trilateral leaders summit, it is time to reflect on this opportunity and lessons from the past.

    How the War May Reshape Iran’s Political Future
  • Podcast
  • How the War May Reshape Iran’s Political Future

    As the international community focuses on the regional and economic reverberations of the US-Israel-Iran war, the wartime experiences of ordinary Iranians and their aspirations for the future have received much less attention. Arash Azizi, a postdoctoral associate at Yale University and contributing writer at The Atlantic, joins hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj to discuss the war’s repercussions for the Iranian population and how the outcome of the conflict may shape the peoples’ lives going forward. Together, they explore Iran’s internal politics, the viability of the opposition, and the conditions needed to achieve democracy in Iran.

    April 16, 2026

    Nazanin Boniadi: How the World Can Help Iran’s Democratic Struggle
  • Podcast
  • Nazanin Boniadi: How the World Can Help Iran’s Democratic Struggle

    Just weeks before President Trump’s war began, Iran was in the midst of a powerful wave of anti-regime protests spreading across the country. But once the war started, that momentum largely came to a halt. The conflict shifted the focus from dissent to survival and gave the regime an opening to crack down harder. With tighter controls, heightened fear, and everyday life suddenly more precarious, people pulled back from the streets. The protests may have paused, but the resentments that fueled them haven’t gone anywhere.
    Currency Boards as Political Commitments: Comparative Experience, Gold Reserves, and the Lebanese Case
  • Report
  • Currency Boards as Political Commitments: Comparative Experience, Gold Reserves, and the Lebanese Case

    The following study discusses the role of Lebanon’s gold reserves in the establishment of a currency board and evaluates four policy options: a true currency board, constrained central bank reform, full dollarization, and a unified managed float. Gold reserves are relevant under all four. The conclusion is consistent across them: no monetary framework, however carefully designed and however well backed, can substitute for the prior political decision on who bears Lebanon’s losses and how the state will finance itself sustainably.

    April 7, 2026

    US-Iran War Gives Syria’s Global Economic Pitch More Urgency
  • Commentary
  • US-Iran War Gives Syria’s Global Economic Pitch More Urgency

    When the United States and Israel launched military operations against Iran a month ago, the Middle East was plunged into debilitating conflict. Nevertheless, Syria has remarkably just completed its most stable month in 15 years. Damascus and its international partners must capitalize on this opportunity.

    Libya’s Fragile Equilibrium: Succession Risk and Energy Stability
  • Analysis
  • Libya’s Fragile Equilibrium: Succession Risk and Energy Stability

    Libya’s stability has taken on renewed strategic importance as the impact of the US and Israeli war with Iran reverberates through global energy markets. Sustaining existing Libyan oil production depends on a governing arrangement capable of keeping ports open, pipelines flowing, and revenues distributed without triggering conflict.

    Lebanon at the Brink: War, Hizballah, and the Fate of Democracy
  • Podcast
  • Lebanon at the Brink: War, Hizballah, and the Fate of Democracy

    Israel’s escalating campaign against Iran-backed Hezbollah is rapidly turning Lebanon into one of the most unstable fronts in the wider US-Israel confrontation with Iran — pushing an already fragile state to the brink. The war is tearing at Lebanon’s sectarian and political fabric, displacing Shiite communities and deepening polarization between Hezbollah and its rivals.

    As Iran Weakens, Can Hamas Survive?
  • Podcast
  • As Iran Weakens, Can Hamas Survive?

    MEI Senior Fellow Jaser AbuMousa joins hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj to unpack how Hamas is navigating the US-Israel conflict with Iran and its impact on Gaza. Nearly two and a half years after the start of the Gaza war, international attention has shifted away from the humanitarian crisis in the devastated coastal strip. Meanwhile, Hamas’ primary state sponsor, Iran, has been severely weakened by US-Israeli military strikes and the death of former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. AbuMousa examines how this could affect Hamas’ trajectory moving forward and its place within the Axis of Resistance, as well as what it all means for the Palestinian people.

    March 26, 2026

    The Kurdish Card: Can Iranian Kurds Shape the War’s Endgame?
  • Podcast
  • The Kurdish Card: Can Iranian Kurds Shape the War’s Endgame?

    The war against Iran has entered its third week with no clear endgame—and no clear strategy from Washington.
    At one point President Trump appeared to encourage Iranian Kurdish groups to rise up against the regime, before quickly walking it back. Meanwhile, some exiled Kurdish opposition figures say they already have an invasion plan and only need US air cover.
    The Kurdish question is once again at the center of regional politics. In this episode, we examine the role of Iranian Kurds in the opposition—and what this moment could mean for their future.
    Why we must talk about Gaza now
    Photo by Saeed M. M. T. Jaras/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Why we must talk about Gaza now

    As the war with Iran consumes regional attention, Gaza is again being pushed aside. That is not just a humanitarian failure. It is a strategic mistake that could squander a rare opening for political transition while allowing Hamas to weaponize abandonment once more.

    Lebanese Should Not Despair
    Photo by JOSEPH EID/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Lebanese Should Not Despair

    Once again, Iran and its proxy, Hezbollah, have dragged Lebanon into a war. But there are differences today. These differences are a cause for hope.

    Disarmament as a Means, Not an End: A Practical Strategy for Gaza’s Governing Transition
  • Analysis
  • Disarmament as a Means, Not an End: A Practical Strategy for Gaza’s Governing Transition

    Disarmament is necessary in Gaza. It is the only way to realize the goals articulated in the internationally endorsed 20-point plan laid out by the Trump administration. But a policy approach that makes disarmament a prerequisite for action on governance, recovery, freedom of movement for Gazans, and any credible political horizon is structurally and strategically counterproductive.