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The New Old Middle East
  • Commentary
  • The New Old Middle East

    In many ways, the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran and the war in Gaza that preceded it seem transformative. After decades of shadow warfare, Iran and Israel have now attacked each other’s homelands directly. And Israel and the United States have joined forces in a genuinely novel way to wage war against Iran.

    The Strategic Cost of Palestinian Powerlessness
  • Report
  • The Strategic Cost of Palestinian Powerlessness

    This report considers the lack of Palestinian political agency as a driver of regional insecurity that must be resolved before wider conflicts can be settled. The author analyses the conditions that contributed to the destruction of Palestinian political capacity, including Israeli policies, Palestinian shortcomings, and exploitation by Iran, and makes recommendations for an Arab strategic initiative.

    Food Security in a Hotter, Drier North Africa
  • Podcast
  • Food Security in a Hotter, Drier North Africa

    This summer, brutally hot temperatures, deepening water scarcity, and spiking fertilizer costs have put North Africa’s agricultural sector under intense pressure. Host Alistair Taylor is joined by Mohammed Mahmoud, CEO and founder of the Climate and Water Initiative and lead for Middle East Climate and Water Policy at the United Nations University Institute for Water, Environment, and Health, to unpack the region’s food and water security challenges. Drawing on Mahmoud’s new report card on agricultural sustainability in North Africa, they explore the diverging picture across the region, why some countries have weathered the strain better than others, and what it will take to build a more resilient and secure food system.

    July 23, 2026

    Trump’s Family Business Deals Risk Further Undermining the Credibility of US Middle East Policy
  • Analysis
  • Trump’s Family Business Deals Risk Further Undermining the Credibility of US Middle East Policy

    President Trump’s family businesses are once again in the spotlight as a new financial disclosure showed they earned $2 billion in income in 2025 — a dramatic increase on the year before, with much of it coming from Gulf entities, raising emoluments concerns. Mounting perceptions of corruption, combined with unresolved crises in Iran and Israel-Palestine, are eroding trust among key partners in the Middle East. With the 2026 midterms approaching, these entanglements could represent a major political vulnerability and further undermine America’s already-strained standing in the region.

    Lebanon Back on Track
  • Commentary
  • Lebanon Back on Track

    Much work lies ahead, but the June 26 agreement is a rare act of constructive statesmanship in the Middle East.

    Outlook for Sustainable Agriculture in North Africa: Report Card Assessment
  • Report
  • Outlook for Sustainable Agriculture in North Africa: Report Card Assessment

    This report assesses the future sustainability of agriculture across North Africa using a multidimensional approach that considers the dynamics of water, climate, land, and economics. To enable this assessment of sustainable agriculture across the region, the author evaluates water resources reliability, water use efficiency, agricultural land sustainability, and the food sector economy for Egypt, Sudan, Libya, Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco, and Mauritania, and provides recommendations for action.

    June 22, 2026

    The Human Cost of the Strait of Hormuz Closure
  • Podcast
  • The Human Cost of the Strait of Hormuz Closure

    When the Strait of Hormuz closed in March, fertilizer prices spiked within weeks, triggering a food security crisis across North Africa and the Sahel. Host Alistair Taylor is joined by MEI Senior Fellow Intissar Fakir to explore what it means for the region, unpack the link between food security and regional stability, and assess how the strait’s reopening could impact those affected.

    June 18, 2026

    Iran: What’s Next for US Policy as the Region Seeks to Move On
  • Analysis
  • Iran: What’s Next for US Policy as the Region Seeks to Move On

    As the US and Iran move to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the war’s real lesson lies in how Gulf states rapidly adapted — building pipelines, ports, and rail to bypass the chokepoint. Washington should seize this momentum, pursuing a “long game” of regional connectivity that serves shared security and economic interests.

    Israeli Settlements in the West Bank
  • Backgrounder
  • Israeli Settlements in the West Bank

    Since 1967, Israeli settlements in the West Bank have been a contested feature of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The ultimate disposition of the settlements and ongoing activity related to their growth have repeatedly defied agreement in negotiations over a resolution to the conflict.

    June 9, 2026

    Can Hamas Be Disarmed?
  • Podcast
  • Can Hamas Be Disarmed?

    As the world’s attention shifts to the Iran war, Gaza is increasingly disappearing from the international spotlight. But more than six months after the United Nations endorsed a peace plan for Gaza, the humanitarian catastrophe continues. Israeli strikes remain relentless, while major international NGOs and aid groups say critical supplies are still not entering Gaza at anywhere near the scale needed.
    How Israel-Backed Sweida Became Syria’s Narcotics Capital
  • Commentary
  • How Israel-Backed Sweida Became Syria’s Narcotics Capital

    In the early hours of Sunday, May 3, Jordanian F-16 fighter jets crossed into Syrian airspace and launched strikes on at least six locations in the southern province of Sweida. In a statement issued hours later, Jordan’s military said that “Operation Jordanian Deterrence” had targeted “factories, facilities and warehouses used by trafficking groups as launch points for smuggling operations into Jordan.”

    The Far Reach of the Iran War: Food Insecurity from North Africa to the Sahel
  • Policy Memo
  • The Far Reach of the Iran War: Food Insecurity from North Africa to the Sahel

    Within weeks of the Strait of Hormuz closure, fertilizer prices began to rise sharply. Tanker traffic through the strait, which handles one-third of the global fertilizer trade, fell by 90%. Across North Africa the impacts are multiplying, and this is having ripple effects for the Sahel in the south, adding to food price inflation, migration pressures, and the erosion of state legitimacy. The situation underscores how food security is a governance issue compounded by geopolitical crisis.

    From Hormuz to the Sahel: A Fertilizer Shock, and a Maghreb Solution
  • Analysis
  • From Hormuz to the Sahel: A Fertilizer Shock, and a Maghreb Solution

    The war-time disruptions of international shipping passing through the Strait of Hormuz are spreading through the fertilizer market and affecting supply chains encompassing regions that have no margins to absorb the impact. The Sahel is one such region and now faces a severe threat of widespread hunger.