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Economics

Jordan’s Economy Weathers Iran War’s Shocks and Finds New Opportunities
  • Analysis
  • Jordan’s Economy Weathers Iran War’s Shocks and Finds New Opportunities

    In the summer of 2003, King Abdullah II told Bloomberg Jordan sits “between Iraq and a hard place,” a play on words designed to describe the kingdom’s challenging environment to an American audience amid the US-led Iraq war to the east and the lingering Palestinian-Israeli conflict to the west. Jordan is grappling with a much “harder place” today.

    Gulf Political Economy: The Cost of Accommodating Iran
  • Analysis
  • Gulf Political Economy: The Cost of Accommodating Iran

    There may be no near-term resolution to the conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran. The cease-fire and memorandum of understanding (MoU) signed on June 18  have broken down, there is little diplomatic engagement, and new flare-ups in early September indicate a further round of escalation. Gulf states may have no choice but to protect their assets and populations while trying to deter Iran by finding mechanisms of both containment and accommodation.

    Gulf Energy Markets: The Region’s Edge Will Survive — At a Price
  • Analysis
  • Gulf Energy Markets: The Region’s Edge Will Survive — At a Price

    Across the Gulf, views differ widely on how the Iran war can and should end, and what the region will look like once it does. Yet on the crisis over the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the view is near-unanimous that a repeat is not only possible but likely. That expectation, more than any single incident over the past year, is becoming a major driver of decision-making in industry and policy circles alike.

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    Justice and the rule of law: The World Bank in need of reinventing itself
    Egypt's constitutional court
  • Analysis
  • Justice and the rule of law: The World Bank in need of reinventing itself

    Today, on the streets of Iraq, Lebanon, Egypt, Algeria, Tunisia, Morocco, and other countries, we hear the demands of the youth, asking for justice, governance, dignity, and jobs. In contrast to these demands, we see governments unwilling or unable to move towards systems of governance that would ensure transparency, accountability, and fair competition for all. Corruption can only be vanquished if transparency, a rigorous justice system, and credible redress mechanisms are put in place. The World Bank can and must re-engage on that path.

    A crisis of confidence as Iraq’s protests continue amid violence
    Iraqi demonstrators stand at Tahrir Square in Baghdad during ongoing anti-government demonstrations on October 28, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • A crisis of confidence as Iraq’s protests continue amid violence

    Only one leader has the moral standing and mass appeal to be able to move Iraq out of the deadly stalemate in which it now finds itself and which may degenerate into more violence and chaos if the status quo is not upended: Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani.

    October 28, 2019

    It is time to save Lebanon
    A Lebanese national flag fixed on barbed wire protecting the government headquarters, known as the Grand Serail, in central Beirut.
  • Analysis
  • It is time to save Lebanon

    As protestors take to the streets across the country, Lebanon appears to be heading towards an economic meltdown with severe consequences for Lebanese citizens of all walks of life. We are concerned that failure to tackle current problems immediately and comprehensively could result in spiraling unemployment, uncontrollable inflation, more social unrest, civil strife and a severe deterioration in public health services and other basic resources.

    October 25, 2019

    Hezbollah’s counterrevolution
    Shiite Muslims watch a televised speech by Hassan Nasrallah, the Lebanese Shiite Hezbollah movement leader, in the city of Baalbek in Lebanon's eastern Bekaa Valley on October 19, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Hezbollah’s counterrevolution

    Lebanon’s current uprising, larger than the Cedar Revolution and rooted in long-held socio-economic grievances, has united protestors across the country in calls for fundamental political change. And this time, Shiites have joined the struggle. This is not a good outcome for Hezbollah — nothing threatens it more than discord within the Shi’a community — and it now finds itself in uncharted territory.

    October 23, 2019

    Lebanon’s protests continue as PM Hariri unveils reforms
    Lebanese protesters wave national flags during demonstrations to demand better living conditions and the ouster of a cast of politicians who have monopolised power and influence for decades, on October 21, 2019 in downtown Beirut.
  • Commentary
  • Lebanon’s protests continue as PM Hariri unveils reforms

    If the crowds continue to take to the streets, Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s resignation seems inevitable, but what comes next is a big question mark.

    October 21, 2019

    Only Lebanon can save Lebanon
    Demonstrators wave a flag during a protest against a government decision to tax calls made on messaging applications on October 17, 2019 outside the government palace in Beirut.
  • Commentary
  • Only Lebanon can save Lebanon

    Something had to give. Decades of corruption and criminal mismanagement by Lebanon’s ruling elites — the same clique who have governed the country since its independence in 1943 — have finally led to an economic implosion and a social explosion.

    October 18, 2019

    Putin reaps benefits of Trump’s Middle East policy collapse
    Russia's President Vladimir Putin (L) and King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud of Saudi Arabia at a ceremony to sign joint documents following Russian-Saudi talks at the Al-Yamamah Royal Palace.
  • Commentary
  • Putin reaps benefits of Trump’s Middle East policy collapse

    Putin’s visit to Saudi Arabia and the UAE takes place as the U.S. position in the Middle East collapses in the face of a series of misjudgments and “own-goals” by the Trump administration.

    October 15, 2019

    Iraqi youth protesters: Who they are, what they want, and what’s next
    Protesters shout slogans during an anti-government demonstration against the provision of jobs and the alleged government corruption, in Tahrir Square in central Baghdad.
  • Analysis
  • Iraqi youth protesters: Who they are, what they want, and what’s next

    “We reached a level of injustice we could no longer take. For every action, there is a reaction,” explained one civil society activist following the Oct. 1 outbreak of protests in Baghdad and central and southern Iraq.

    October 14, 2019

    Fair competition is needed to economically empower women in the Arab world
    Careem offices on June 23, 2018 in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
  • Analysis
  • Fair competition is needed to economically empower women in the Arab world

    Female labor force participation levels in Arab countries are the lowest in the world — despite the rising educational attainment of women reaching working age. Indeed, young women across the Arab world exceed the education levels of young men, who are worrisomely falling behind. Remedying the underrepresentation of Arab women in the labor force and reviving the educational motivation of young men are both social and economic imperatives.

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