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US Policy in the Middle East

Reflections on a Diplomatic Career in the Middle East: A Conversation With Ambassador Yael Lempert
  • Podcast
  • Reflections on a Diplomatic Career in the Middle East: A Conversation With Ambassador Yael Lempert

    Brian is joined by Amb. (ret.) Yael Lempert, Vice President for Outreach at MEI, to discuss her career in diplomacy and the importance of US diplomatic efforts abroad. She shares stories from postings across the Middle East in Baghdad, Cairo, Tripoli, Jerusalem, and Amman and examines how her personal and professional experiences shaped her approach to the work. Together, Brian and Yael discuss the realities of life in the Foreign Service, the core tenets of American diplomacy, and why it matters in today’s Middle East.

    Trump’s South Caucasus Peacemaking Is His Most Successful, but It Remains Unfinished
  • Commentary
  • Trump’s South Caucasus Peacemaking Is His Most Successful, but It Remains Unfinished

    Of all the fronts in President Trump’s peacemaking agenda, the South Caucasus has delivered the most concrete results. The August 2025 Washington Declaration, signed between Armenia and Azerbaijan and witnessed by Trump, marked an important step toward peace in the region. The two sides initialed a peace agreement and advanced plans to unblock regional connectivity, including through the establishment of the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity (TRIPP), which would connect Azerbaijan to its Nakhijevan exclave through southern Armenia. Implementation of TRIPP has since made notable progress, but construction has yet to start. A breakthrough on those two tracks would, in turn, unlock Armenia–Türkiye normalization, transforming a long-fractured region into an area of trade and interdependence.

    The Iran War Was Always About Regime Change
  • Commentary
  • The Iran War Was Always About Regime Change

    Wars don’t just end. They get interpreted, reinterpreted, and turned into strategic doctrine. That is what happened after the Iran-Iraq War of the 1980s, a conflict that saw the United States back Tehran’s Iraqi adversaries. The war taught Tehran three lessons it never unlearned: that Washington wants the Islamic Republic gone, that Iran stands essentially alone in the world, and that it cannot survive a direct, overt fight with the U.S. and Israel.

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    Hamas at a Crossroads in the Post-Ali Khamenei Era
  • Analysis
  • Hamas at a Crossroads in the Post-Ali Khamenei Era

    The results of last month’s elections seemed to crystallize a fundamental divide between two competing visions for Hamas future. But the US-Israeli war against Iran has cast a heavy shadow over the groups leadership selection process, shifting it from a contest between personalities to a wider struggle over Hamas’ strategic identity, ideological orientation, and relationship with the broader Middle Eastern order.

    Five Fundamental Questions for US Foreign Policy as the Iran War Enters Its Fourth Week
  • Analysis
  • Five Fundamental Questions for US Foreign Policy as the Iran War Enters Its Fourth Week

    The US and Israeli conflict with Iran is currently just past the halfway mark, according to US President Donald Trump’s initial estimate that it would take four to six weeks to achieve his objectives, but for now there is no end in sight. Here are five fundamental, strategic questions that require more attention as the media and political debates fixate on the day-to-day breaking news and tactics of this war.

    How to Raise the Odds of Regime Change in Iran
    Photo by Contributor/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • How to Raise the Odds of Regime Change in Iran

    The decision U.S. President Donald Trump made to attack Iran was a high-stakes gamble. The gamble is not really in the military campaign itself. It is whether a massive air campaign can trigger a popular rebellion that takes down the regime in Tehran. This could pay off brilliantly, but it could also fail miserably.

    The Kurdish Card: Can Iranian Kurds Shape the War’s Endgame?
  • Podcast
  • The Kurdish Card: Can Iranian Kurds Shape the War’s Endgame?

    The war against Iran has entered its third week with no clear endgame—and no clear strategy from Washington.
    At one point President Trump appeared to encourage Iranian Kurdish groups to rise up against the regime, before quickly walking it back. Meanwhile, some exiled Kurdish opposition figures say they already have an invasion plan and only need US air cover.
    The Kurdish question is once again at the center of regional politics. In this episode, we examine the role of Iranian Kurds in the opposition—and what this moment could mean for their future.
    If the Regime Survives: Iran War Raises the Ante for US, Israel
  • Analysis
  • If the Regime Survives: Iran War Raises the Ante for US, Israel

    The United States and Israel both hope for the grand prize: the emergence of a new regime in Iran to replace the Islamic Republic. For the US, this would close the chapter on a hostile and at times violent relationship that has endured since 1979. For Israel, this would see the end not only of a regime with a deep ideological commitment against it but also the foe that Israel sees as behind all fronts of the war it has fought since October 7, 2023.

    How the US and Israel Can Stave off Strategic Failure in Iran
    Photo by Henry NICHOLLS / AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How the US and Israel Can Stave off Strategic Failure in Iran

    Despite a dazzling military onslaught, an Iranian regime that faces a threat to its very existence is demonstrating an entirely predictable willingness to stay the course at all costs. As things stand now, the joint US-Israeli war risks ending in military victory but becoming a strategic failure.

    War with Iran: A view from Israel
  • Event
  • War with Iran: A view from Israel

    Please join the Middle East Institute (MEI) for a webinar exploring Israeli views of the war in the Middle East.

    March 17, 2026, 10:30 AM – 11:30 AM

    Zoom Webinar

    Iraq’s oil paralysis: A self-inflicted wound and a gift to Tehran
    Photo by Ismael Adnan/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Iraq’s oil paralysis: A self-inflicted wound and a gift to Tehran

    With the Strait of Hormuz closed and oil production from Iraq’s south in free fall, Baghdad’s failure to maximize the Iraq-Turkey Pipeline is no longer a policy dispute. It is a national emergency.

    March 16, 2026

    Shockwaves Across Asia: The Iran War’s Strategic Fallout
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Shockwaves Across Asia: The Iran War’s Strategic Fallout

    The Israeli-U.S. military strikes on Iran that began on February 28 have done more than ignite a Middle Eastern war. They have sent shockwaves rolling across Asia, from the Strait of Hormuz to the Sea of Japan, exposing the brittle underpinnings of regional energy systems, straining diplomatic balancing acts, and forcing governments to make hard choices they have long deferred.

    US Leadership Can Dislodge Iran from Lebanon
  • Policy Memo
  • US Leadership Can Dislodge Iran from Lebanon

    Operation Epic Fury has created a dramatic opportunity in Lebanon that the US cannot afford to miss. Sustained leadership and support for the Lebanese Armed Forces can result in real disarmament, eliminating Hizballah as an Iranian proxy, and dealing Tehran another massive defeat that would further undermine the Iranian regime and help bring about its collapse.

    After the Most Intense Day of Strikes on Iran: What Comes Next?
  • Event
  • After the Most Intense Day of Strikes on Iran: What Comes Next?

    Watch a discussion with MEI Distinguished Military Fellow General Kenneth F. McKenzie (USMC, ret.) and MEI Senior Fellow Alex Vatanka as they seek make sense of the US military strategy and Iran's calculations as the conflict continues to shift and expand.

    March 11, 2026, 11:00 AM – 12:00 PM

    Zoom Webinar

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    The oldest peer-reviewed publication dedicated to the study of the modern Middle East, MEI’s flagship journal covers politics, society, and culture in the region.