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The Unavoidable Neighbor: Managing Iran Beyond the War
  • Analysis
  • The Unavoidable Neighbor: Managing Iran Beyond the War

    Gulf states and their partners are increasingly looking beyond their most immediate interests of containing the war with Iran. While recent talks between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Pakistan, and Iran have kept de-escalation on the agenda, a broader regional security framework and non-aggression pact has also emerged, envisioning a longer-lasting solution to regional conflicts. The talks have yet to produce a settlement, but they reflect a growing recognition that Gulf security cannot depend entirely on Washington. Iran will still be there, and its neighbors will have to find ways of living with it.

    Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Recent Elections and What They May Mean for the Middle East

    Recent elections for the Israeli Knesset and American Congress may make less of a difference in the Middle East than some people think. Elections are significant indicators of national political trends, but do not always translate into changes in national security strategies. That is likely the case now in both nations.

    The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf
  • Analysis
  • The Coming Debate Over the US Military Presence in the Gulf

    The war with Iran is hardly over, but the debate over the shape and nature of the post-conflict American posture in the Gulf region is just beginning. Undoubtedly, how the war ends will affect how the United States adjusts its role. While this debate is still in its early stages, something of a conventional wisdom is already developing in policy circles that could seriously compromise American influence in the Middle East.

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    Is the Israel-UAE agreement a game changer for Israel?
    Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Is the Israel-UAE agreement a game changer for Israel?

    In an Aug. 13 tweet, U.S. President Donald Trump celebrated the Israeli-Emirati accord to normalize relations as a “HUGE breakthrough.” Israel’s integration into the region has been a goal of U.S. and Israeli foreign policy for decades, and the mid-August announcement was the first major official step in that direction in over 25 years. But is this really a game changer for Israel’s strategy in the Middle East?

    UAE-Israel normalization gives rise to new risks for Yemen and the region
    Photo by MOHAMMED HUWAIS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • UAE-Israel normalization gives rise to new risks for Yemen and the region

    As unimportant as the move may seem for Yemen, the UAE’s normalization of relations with Israel and patronage of the STC, if left unaddressed, may ultimately lead to undesirable outcomes for both Yemen and the broader Arab world

    September 14, 2020

    The Iranian government’s risky stock market bet
    Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Iranian government’s risky stock market bet

    Following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) took a different path than the rest of the financial world. As markets around the globe plunged, the TSE soared to new heights. There has been a recent reversal, however, with the index falling sharply from its peak in early August and losing around 20 percent of its value over the course of a month. The story of the TSE is about the extreme measures a desperate government is willing to take to make ends meet. 

    Trump and the UAE give Abbas a new lease on political life
  • Analysis
  • Trump and the UAE give Abbas a new lease on political life

    A March 2018 poll by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research showed that satisfaction with the performance of President Mahmoud Abbas stood at 33 percent; 68 percent of the public wanted him to resign; and had elections been called, he would most likely have lost his presidency to a rival from Hamas.Nearly two and a half years later, however, and Abbas’s political fortunes have been restored, thanks in large part to the Trump administration and the United Arab Emirates

    September 10, 2020

    The many faces of Fairuz in Iran
    ​​​​​​​Photo by ANWAR AMRO/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The many faces of Fairuz in Iran

    Love for Fairuz has proven that Iranians, despite their intense political differences, can have a common interest. After the deadly explosion in Beirut — which killed more than 190 people and displaced about 300,000 — the first thing Iranians thought of to express their sympathy was Fairuz’s famous song “Li Beirut,” which became a trending hashtag on Persian Twitter.

    September 8, 2020

    Gender Politics in Oman: Between State, Sect, and Tribe
    (MOHAMMED MAHJOUB/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Gender Politics in Oman: Between State, Sect, and Tribe

    The issue of female (dis)empowerment in the Middle East lies at the very core of the Arab-Islamic world’s contemporary troubles. Most economists agree that significant levels of income inequality negatively impact economic growth and development, so why is it not commonly considered how significant inequality between genders might also diminish social and political outcomes? This essay explores this question of gender inequality and socio-political outcomes in the Sultanate of Oman and parses between the state, sect, and tribe to discuss the sources of reform and resistance to women’s empowerment.

    September 8, 2020

    Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East

    In a new briefing book released ahead of the U.S. elections in November, entitled Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East, MEI scholars lay out key issues across the region, highlight the U.S. interests at stake, and provide policy insights and recommendations for the path forward. 

    Continuity and change in British foreign policy toward Yemen
    Photo by NABIL HASAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Continuity and change in British foreign policy toward Yemen

    On Feb. 16, 2015, then British Ambassador to Yemen Jane Marriott wrote an article titled “Yemen: the ball is in the Houthis’ court,” asserting that the future of the country and its stability were dependent on the Houthis.

    September 1, 2020

    The GCC, US-China tech war, and the next 5G storm
  • Analysis
  • The GCC, US-China tech war, and the next 5G storm

    The U.S.-China rivalry is in uncharted territory. There is no clearer example of this than the U.S.’s intensifying and increasingly global fight with Chinese company Huawei over the security of 5G.

    Iran’s “#MeToo” moment
    Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s “#MeToo” moment

    The ripple effects of the 2017 “#MeToo” movement shook Iranian social media this week as rape allegations were levelled against some of the country’s most prominent figures. The movement, which has led to the arrest of at least one alleged rapist so far, has triggered a broader conversation around sexual violence and harassment — an unspoken topic in Islamic Iran.

    August 28, 2020

    Russian and Chinese views on the Israel-UAE normalization deal
    Photo by JACK GUEZ/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russian and Chinese views on the Israel-UAE normalization deal

    On Aug. 14, Israel and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) agreed to normalize diplomatic relations in exchange for a suspension of Israeli annexation plans in the West Bank. International reactions to this historic deal were sharply polarized, but the two main strategic rivals of the United States, Russia and China, responded cautiously to the announcement.

    August 27, 2020

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