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Egypt and Saudi Arabia: Any good relationship needs work
Photo by USGS/NASA Landsat/Orbital Horizon/Gallo Images/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Egypt and Saudi Arabia: Any good relationship needs work

    Egypt and Saudi Arabia share many foreign policy and regional security objectives and have a long and complicated relationship. Recent events in the Middle East have strengthened that relationship, even as they continue to negotiate difficult bilateral issues, like the long-running dispute over control of the islands of Tiran and Sanafir.

    Russia’s military presence in post-Assad Syria: A growing security liability undermining stability
    Photo by Izzettin Kasim/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s military presence in post-Assad Syria: A growing security liability undermining stability

    Six months since the collapse of the Assad regime, the Russian military presence in Syria has remained entrenched in strategic locations such as the Hmeimim airbase and Tartous port on the coast, as well as at Qamishli airport in the northeast. This persistence has reignited an increasingly pressing debate about Moscow’s role in the new Syria.

    July 2, 2025

    The Gulf’s water crisis: Why cooperation is crucial — and complicated
    Photo by Fayez Nureldine/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Gulf’s water crisis: Why cooperation is crucial — and complicated

    On June 19, false reports of an Israeli strike on Iran’s Bushehr nuclear plant sparked alarm across the Gulf. Though denied by Israeli officials, the claim traces back to a warning from Qatar’s prime minister of a potential catastrophe in the event of nuclear contamination — no water, no food, no life — due to the Gulf’s reliance on desalinated seawater. Gulf governments moved quickly to reassure the public that no radiation had been detected, but the episode underscored the region’s growing sense of vulnerability. A regional approach to water security could help to mitigate such risks.

    The balance of power in Yemen after the US-Houthi cease-fire
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The balance of power in Yemen after the US-Houthi cease-fire

    The May 6 cease-fire between the United States and the Houthi militia in Yemen has had a consolidating effect on the balance of power inside the war-torn state and hardened the status quo of the country’s civil war. In turn, the outcome of Israel and Iran’s subsequent 12-day war has the potential to temporarily shake up this status quo once again; but Yemen’s fracturing anti-Houthi coalition is unlikely to be able to exploit that opportunity.

    June 30, 2025

    Iraq tries to assert state authority during crisis
    Photo by Thaier Al-Sudani/Reuters/Pool/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iraq tries to assert state authority during crisis

    The Iraqi government has long navigated a path between maintaining political ties with its Iranian neighbor and Tehran’s allies inside Iraq on the one hand, and preserving its security relationship with the United States on the other. Unsurprisingly, it quickly welcomed US President Donald Trump’s June 23 Israel-Iran cease-fire agreement.

    The Israel-Iran war: Scenarios for the days — and years — ahead
    Photo by Majid Saeedi/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Israel-Iran war: Scenarios for the days — and years — ahead

    The evolving confrontation with Israel and the United States places the Islamic Republic of Iran at a critical inflection point. Tehran faces choices that range from limited negotiation and strategic restraint to escalation and eventual collapse. The following analysis explores the key scenarios that could unfold in the coming days, weeks, and years.

    June 18, 2025

    Sanctions are lifting, but Syrians still can’t go home
    Jobar, Syria, taken on 3 June 2025 by Jesse Marks
  • Analysis
  • Sanctions are lifting, but Syrians still can’t go home

    On May 23, President Donald Trump’s administration suspended the majority of sanctions on Syria, marking the most sweeping shift in the policy of the United States toward Damascus in over a decade. But lifting sanctions will not magically make Syria safe for return. For millions of displaced Syrians, their country remains a minefield — literally and bureaucratically.

    June 16, 2025

    The ripple effects of US foreign aid cuts to food and water access across North Africa
    Photo by John Falchetto/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The ripple effects of US foreign aid cuts to food and water access across North Africa

    When Executive Order (EO) 14169, “Reevaluating and Realigning United States Foreign Aid,” was issued and implemented by the administration of President Donald Trump in early 2025, it effectively halted nearly all US foreign aid. The order primarily suspended the disbursement of non-military aid programs, leading to the termination of US-funded assistance projects, contracts, and employment across the world. The impact of this abrupt elimination of foreign aid was especially acute for humanitarian and development programs, crippling those targeting food assistance, clean water access, public health, and agricultural support.

    June 12, 2025