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American Bases in the Gulf: Targets or Deterrents?
  • Analysis
  • American Bases in the Gulf: Targets or Deterrents?

    Did the presence of American military bases in the Gulf monarchies draw those states into the American-Israeli war against Iran, a war they had no say in initiating and no voice in prosecuting? That is certainly the feeling among some citizens of those states.

    After Islamabad
  • Commentary
  • After Islamabad

    Amb. Hale discusses three broad policy options for Washington following the failure of the US-Iran talks in Pakistan.

    Iraq in Between Iran and the United States
  • Podcast
  • Iraq in Between Iran and the United States

    Hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj are joined by MEI Distinguished Diplomatic Fellow Amb. (ret.) Robert S. Ford to examine what is at stake for Iraq in the Iran war. The only country to have been hit by both sides, Iraq is caught in the middle of a regional conflict, with the local Iranian-backed Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) carrying out attacks on American interests and personnel — and the US responding. This escalation comes at a period of internal political transition in Iraq, which has been locked in negotiations to form a new government since the November 2025 elections. Ford, who served as Deputy and later Acting Ambassador in Baghdad from 2008 until 2010, unpacks how Iraq is navigating the current moment, how the Kurdistan region fits into this equation, and what this all means for the future of US-Iraqi relations.

    April 9, 2026

    The US-Iran War Is Tanking Trump’s Popularity at Home
  • Commentary
  • The US-Iran War Is Tanking Trump’s Popularity at Home

    An operation that Donald Trump said could take Iran out “in one night” has now turned into a regional war that has just entered its sixth week, with the US president appearing increasingly frustrated over the situation.

    Trump Address Wages War on the Message
  • Analysis
  • Trump Address Wages War on the Message

    Iran’s leadership did not take long to respond to President Donald Trump’s latest address on the war. Regime-linked media dismissed the April 1 White House speech as a repetition of earlier claims, while officials and commentators close to the Iranian government framed it as further evidence that Washington remains uncertain about its own course. In the battle over messaging, Trump’s ambiguity is giving Iran’s narrative the edge.

    Special Episode: Europe and the Iran War
  • Podcast
  • Special Episode: Europe and the Iran War

    This special episode of Middle East Focus features a conversation from MEI’s Virtual Briefing Series. Host Alistair Taylor is joined by former National Security Council Senior Director Stephen Flanagan and MEI Senior Fellow Iulia-Sabina Joja to discuss the impacts of the Iran war on US-European relations. The conflict has hit Europe’s economy hard and created deep divisions across the continent, even as some European countries play a quiet supporting role to the US. President Donald Trump has called for NATO member states to help secure shipping through the Iranian-blocked Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for international maritime trade. Flanagan and Joja explore the prospects for stepped-up European military involvement, the knock-on effects on the war in Ukraine, and the potential longer-term impact on the future of the US-European alliance.

    April 2, 2026

    China’s Model of Power Projection in the Middle East
    Photo by Royal Court of Saudi Arabia/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • China’s Model of Power Projection in the Middle East

    China’s expanding role in the Middle East is often framed as geopolitical rivalry with other global powers, including the United States, Russia, India, and others; but this lens obscures the strategic subtlety of Beijing’s approach.

    Strikes (and Now Boots?) Without Strategy as Iran War Escalates
  • Analysis
  • Strikes (and Now Boots?) Without Strategy as Iran War Escalates

    “Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat” is a well-known axiom attributed to the ancient Chinese military general and strategist, Sun Tzu. With the Iran war now at the one-month mark, it is evident that the Trump administration failed to outline a clear end state or devise a workable war termination strategy before initiating Operation Epic Fury on February 28.

    As Iran Weakens, Can Hamas Survive?
  • Podcast
  • As Iran Weakens, Can Hamas Survive?

    MEI Senior Fellow Jaser AbuMousa joins hosts Alistair Taylor and Matthew Czekaj to unpack how Hamas is navigating the US-Israel conflict with Iran and its impact on Gaza. Nearly two and a half years after the start of the Gaza war, international attention has shifted away from the humanitarian crisis in the devastated coastal strip. Meanwhile, Hamas’ primary state sponsor, Iran, has been severely weakened by US-Israeli military strikes and the death of former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. AbuMousa examines how this could affect Hamas’ trajectory moving forward and its place within the Axis of Resistance, as well as what it all means for the Palestinian people.

    March 26, 2026

    Hamas at a Crossroads in the Post-Ali Khamenei Era
  • Analysis
  • Hamas at a Crossroads in the Post-Ali Khamenei Era

    The results of last month’s elections seemed to crystallize a fundamental divide between two competing visions for Hamas future. But the US-Israeli war against Iran has cast a heavy shadow over the groups leadership selection process, shifting it from a contest between personalities to a wider struggle over Hamas’ strategic identity, ideological orientation, and relationship with the broader Middle Eastern order.

    How to Raise the Odds of Regime Change in Iran
    Photo by Contributor/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • How to Raise the Odds of Regime Change in Iran

    The decision U.S. President Donald Trump made to attack Iran was a high-stakes gamble. The gamble is not really in the military campaign itself. It is whether a massive air campaign can trigger a popular rebellion that takes down the regime in Tehran. This could pay off brilliantly, but it could also fail miserably.