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The Axis of Resistance
Photo by Mohammadali Najib/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Backgrounder
  • The Axis of Resistance

    This backgrounder provides an overview of the Axis of Resistance, a loosely aligned network of armed groups and state actors led and supported by Iran to project its influence and military strength across the Middle East.

    December 3, 2025

    Help Syria move forward — Repeal the Caesar Act sanctions
    Photo by Rami Alsayed/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Help Syria move forward — Repeal the Caesar Act sanctions

    By repealing the 2019 Caesar Act sanctions, the United States today can take a meaningful, achievable step to reverse the Assads’ damaging legacy, supporting the emergence of a unified and integrated Syria that engenders peace and prosperity both at home and in the wider region.

    Divisions at home hinder America’s ambitions abroad
    Photo by BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Divisions at home hinder America’s ambitions abroad

    Over the past week, US President Donald Trump made an extended trip to Asia and threatened military actions against Latin American and African countries. But despite his administration’s continuing ambitions in the Middle East region, few major breakthroughs are expected there in the immediate future due to the government shutdown and unilateral cuts to national security infrastructure.

    Lebanon and Syria October 2025: A Snapshot
    Photo by Izz Aldien Alqasem/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Lebanon and Syria October 2025: A Snapshot

    Ambassador Ryan Crocker reports on his visit to Lebanon and Syria on October 12-17 as part of a small delegation organized by the Washington office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR).

    Will Syria join the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS?
    US Army photo by Sgt. Julio Hernandez courtesy of CENTCOM
  • Analysis
  • Will Syria join the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS?

    The joint al-Dumayr operation in mid-October was the fifth instance of coordination between the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS and the Syrian government to confront the Islamic State, amid Western calls for Damascus to officially join the international effort. What’s at stake and what are the potential scenarios moving forward?

    October 27, 2025

    A realistic, step-by-step approach to restoring Lebanese sovereignty
    Photo by Ahmad Kaddoura/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A realistic, step-by-step approach to restoring Lebanese sovereignty

    Seizing Lebanon’s once-in-a-generation opportunity hinges on its ability to resolve its core dysfunction: reclaiming the state’s monopoly on force and its exclusive authority to determine matters of war and peace. Beirut, backed by deepening US support, must focus on achieving tangible milestones and strategic victories that momentum, making Hizballah’s disarmament unstoppable and the state’s reassertion of authority irreversible.

    Lebanon’s judicial independence and the end of impunity
    Photo by Joseph Eid/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Lebanon’s judicial independence and the end of impunity

    Judicial independence is at the core of any successful democracy, and for decades, this issue has been a matter of public concern in Lebanon. At a time when a credible window of opportunity for change has opened in Lebanon, restoring judicial independence is both a necessity and a prerequisite to enable the judiciary to carry out its duties and end the impunity under which it has historically operated.

    October 20, 2025

    Priority policies for an economic recovery in Lebanon
    Photo by Golden_Brown via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Priority policies for an economic recovery in Lebanon

    The current government in Lebanon is keen to encourage financial recovery and find a new path to economic growth. A thorough understanding of the causes behind the country’s recession and the factors constraining a recovery are necessary to shape policy priorities. These are also important as an input into the discussions of the 2026 budget and to the ongoing negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Using the wrong framework for these decisions could yield low economic growth, which would be harmful for a quick and decisive economic recovery. Conversely, improved economic outcomes and broad buy-in, following public consultations, will ease the implementation of politically difficult reforms. Thus, policymakers must take great care to develop a narrative about how to achieve progress in the short and medium terms that is adjusted to local circumstances.

    October 20, 2025

    Reviving Lebanon’s economy
    Photo by Bilal Photos via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Reviving Lebanon’s economy

    Restoring both domestic and international confidence in the Lebanese government will ultimately depend on taking tangible steps towards economic revival. This article presents key policy options to achieve this result, including rebuilding trust through improved governance and judicial reforms, investing in digital infrastructure, driving sustainable growth via regional integration and innovation, and balancing economic revival with sovereign debt restructuring.

    October 20, 2025

    Lebanon’s monetary crisis and the future of the Central Bank
    Photo by Anwar Amro/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Lebanon’s monetary crisis and the future of the Central Bank

    While the banking crisis remains unresolved, there is still ample scope for Lebanon’s central bank to advance reforms and set the stage for a sustainable economic recovery even without a comprehensive reform program supported by the IMF.

    October 20, 2025

    A realistic, step-by-step approach to restoring Lebanese sovereignty
  • Analysis
  • A realistic, step-by-step approach to restoring Lebanese sovereignty

    Seizing Lebanon’s once-in-a-generation opportunity hinges on its ability to resolve its core dysfunction: reclaiming the state’s monopoly on force and its exclusive authority to determine matters of war and peace. Beirut, backed by deepening US support, must focus on achieving tangible milestones and strategic victories that momentum, making Hizballah’s disarmament unstoppable and the state’s reassertion of authority irreversible.

    October 20, 2025

    Defining and stabilizing Lebanon’s borders
    Photo by Christina Assi/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Defining and stabilizing Lebanon’s borders

    The central challenge facing Lebanon today is whether the country will graduate to functional statehood or continue struggling to survive. Yet with Lebanese officials now insisting that the state “monopolize arms” and become the decisive arbiter on matters of war and peace, a relevant question arises: Where, territorially, does Lebanon begin and end?

    October 20, 2025

    An international hands-on approach to Lebanon
    Photo by Houssam Shbaro/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • An international hands-on approach to Lebanon

    To encourage and incentivize long-overdue structural reforms, the European Union and the broader international community should adopt a more proactive, hands-on approach to Lebanon. The current context calls for an approach that balances assistance delivery with active support to the Lebanese government in its quest to reform and rebuild the state.

    October 20, 2025

    Can Lebanese Democracy Be Saved?
  • Podcast
  • Can Lebanese Democracy Be Saved?

    Once hailed as a rare democracy in the Middle East, Lebanon has now slipped into the ranks of closed autocracies. Decades of corruption, sectarian rule, and foreign meddling have left the country reeling — and the past year brought assassinations, mass displacement, and Israel’s full-scale war against Hezbollah in the south. With its economy in free fall and its political system on life support, Lebanon stands at a crossroads: could shifts in regional power, efforts to disarm Hezbollah, and a change in leadership pave the way for recovery, or will instability deepen?

    UNIFIL should reset or go home
    Photo by Niall Carson/PA Images via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • UNIFIL should reset or go home

    At the end of August, the future of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL), established nearly 50 years ago, goes on trial in New York, where the Security Council will debate the renewal of its mandate. Nearly two decades after its transformation under UN Security Council Resolution 1701, UNIFIL is now part of the problem it was created to solve. Ten thousand blue helmets from almost 50 countries, including major North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) members, failed to stop the latest conflict between Israel and Hizballah, and, if business continues as usual, will fail to prevent the next.